Nearly have the season has gone in the Premier League but
this year’s title race already seems to be a repeat of last season’s dramatic
duel, and the famous Manchester rivals could once again be deadlocked after this
Sunday’s derby, assuming that Manchester City can make it a stunning 38 league games
unbeaten at home.
These two matches helped deicide the title last season and
today should be no different, with United three points clear of City in what
already looks to be a two horse race, and while defeat wouldn't be terminal
(the men in blue came from eight behind with six games remaining last season to
top the table on goal difference) this game is far more crucial for City than
United, who would be more than happy to keep the slim advantage they have in
hand.
Neither side have been at their best so far this year, but
City – despite being unconvincing for long periods of the campaign and
preforming even worse than usual in the Champions League despite a difficult
group against three league winners – are still unbeaten and will equal their
all-time top-flight club record 22-match streak if making it 16 matches unbeaten
today, testament to the attitude that Mancini’s men have gained in his time at
the helm here.
They’ve sometimes lacked creativity due to the absence of
David Silva (namely in October) but that shouldn’t be a problem for them today
with both the Spaniard (crucial in making the difference between the sides on
both occasions last season) being joined by Samir Nasri and Yaya Toure, they
will feel confident of being able to have the advantage in midfield.
There’s also the added bonus that a defence leaking at an
alarming rate earlier in the season have conceded just 3 goals in their last 9
league games – with 6 clean sheets during that time for Joe Hart. United’s
awesome foursome of Robin Van Persie (10 of United's 37 in the league) Javier
Hernandez (one of just two players to score at a rate of more than 1 goal per
100 mins in the League this season) Danny Wellbeck and a revitalised Wayne
Rooney (who has created the most goals in the league with 7) are always a giant
threat as Chelsea and namely Liverpool have found to their cost, although if
City – who boast a stronger defence than both those sides previously mentioned
-are able to control the midfield exchanged and starve them of wide ball, then
they can put the shackles on their neighbours and edge on a narrow win. There
have been just five goals scored in the last six league meetings between City
and United at the Etihad Stadium and no more than one in any of those games, so
the 1-0 home win makes sense although the 1 goal winning margin is worth a
dutch incase the game does happen to become more open; 5 of City’s 9 have come
by just one goal.
Advice
1 pt Manchester City to win by one goal (10/3 general)
1 pt 1-0 Manchester City (10/1 Ladbrokes)
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