With the eight meetings all looked at and studied – the main
races get the horse – by – horse treatment – here are the best of the rest for
Boxing Day. Enjoy, and Merry Christmas to all!
2 pts win Midnight Game, 12.50 Leopardstown (11/10 Bet365)
Gigginstown House Stud and Willie Mullins will be carrying
much of the punters’ cash over Christmas and things can get off to a good start
with classy flat recruit Midnight Game, who takes a drop in class from Grade 1
company.
Highly useful on the flat – a runner up twice at Listed level
and winner twice otherwise – he didn’t make an expected winning debut when
beaten by Corbally Ghost, who bumped into him in home straight, but he may well
have had his momentum usurped by the bump he received after the last, and the
winner has since gone onto win a Grade 3 at Cork.
He was left behind in the Royal Bond novice hurdle, but the
first two are class acts and the third was a tough and consistent sort, so that
effort doesn’t stack up too badly in this context, where his main threat would
appear to be Competitive Edge, although his form may not be as strong as some
think (Jenari has proven a little disappointing over hurdles and was since
beaten again) while Thelze didn’t show a huge amount on his Irish debut at
Limerick.
2 pts win Swincombe Flame, 2.15 Wincanton (4/6 general)
Nick William’s Swincombe Flame can cope with a penalty and
win her second race over hurdles here. The 5 year old mare made it three from
four when landing a novice event at the beginning of this month, following a good
reappearance in a strong race. She holds Tante Sissi (who gave that form a
strong collateral look when running well in a good novice hurdle at Sandown)
based on her bumper form, while she was finished ahead of Queens Bay when
second on her opening run over hurdles and that form was boosted when Colin
Tizzard's mare struck last time. She could open up odds on but the forecast is
for 10/11 and that should be snapped up.
1 pt win Rangitoto, 3.20 Wincanton (4/5 general)
Paul Nicholls has a huge amount of promising horses but he’s
found no end of good openings for them and this represents a good opportunity
for Ragintoto to open his account over the bigger obstacles.
Beaten twice before opening his account over hurdles last
year, Paul Barber’s 6 year old landed a significant gamble on his handicap
debut at Cheltenham when staying on strongly to get the better of a previous
winner and 120 rated rival. He should come on for that again and should take
the beating here, while Trenchant sure to be his main rival.
1 pt win Problema Tic, 1.00 Fontwell (8/11 general)
Nicky Henderson is sure to have more important matters on his
mind with runners at Kempton but he should be more than capable to giving Andrew
Tinkler a comeback winner with promising recruit Problema Tic.
Unbeaten in three bumpers, he had Grade 1 winner Saint Are
behind on his hurdles debut before disappointing only slightly on his next two
starts, but both were good contests and this is a much easier opportunity.
1 pt William Hill’s Boxing Day Treble (Grands Crus 2.00 Kem
/ Swincombe Flame 2.15 Win / Long Run 3.10 Kempton)
There are plenty of good specials available today but by far
the most interesting one was the Boxing Day treble at William Hill are offering
above of Grands Crus, Swincombe Flame, and Long Run.
Two of the three have already been selected on the main page
and their chances look obvious, despite strong opposition. Grands Crus gave
7lbs and a beating to the highly liked Sonofvic, and while the World Hurdle
runner up hasn’t gone left handed since his novice hurdle days, he’s improved
upwards of 20lbs since and nothing suggests it should be a major problem. Bobs
Worth and Silviniaco Conti look like big threats but you could hardly be blamed
for thinking he was a good RSA Chase favourite, which gives him a puncher’s
chance at least here.
Swincombe Flame is just a little badly in with Tante Sissi
on bumper form, but has transferred that at least as well to hurdles with an excellent
win at Exeter last time and stands a strong chance even under a penalty on that
form.
The chance of Long Run, who is the best choice based on
personal bests in the King George, may not be the selection for this race but
is surely worth including based on his romps in this and the Gold Cup last
season, and should strip much fitter for his comeback behind Kauto Star at
Haydock.
Taken into account, the chance of all 3 winning looks to be
a lot better than 17/2 and it’s well worth having as general interest at the
very least.
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