Thursday, 1 December 2011

Today's Racing - 2nd December 2011


Sandown’s Tingle Creek meeting has more than enough intrigue already without an excellent renewal of the Winter Novices Hurdle – which this year will surely decide a new favourite for the Neptune Hurdle at the Festival later – along with the prospect of seeing the reigning Champion Chaser Sizing Europe going at it on Saturday.

Lexicon Lad isn’t going to attract the same names of those mentioned above but the 7lbs pull that he has to give to Henrietta Knight’s Loch Ba, who he beat easily last time out, makes the race very interesting form a betting point of view.



Henrietta Knight’s stable had a poor mid-season last year but much of that can be put down to weather hold ups at home and this year she should be much more on target, which leads me to believe that the 4/1 about Loch Ba reversing form with a 7lbs turnaround is worth an interest despite the ease of the victory from Lexicon Lad.

Semi Colon (seen above right) could easily prove better than them both but the dangers of backing debutants in this sphere was well borne out when the novices handicap chase at Newbury was turned into a mini Grand National with the well fancied favourite Master Fiddle falling for the same connections. That, along with the 7lbs rise (meaning she has topweight), makes her only just opposable.

Advice

1 pt win Loch Ba, 1.20 Sandown (7/2 general) 

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