Thursday, 18 August 2011

Nunthorpe Stakes 2011 - York Ebor Festival 2011 (Day 3)


3.40 York
Coolmore Nunthorpe Stakes (British Champions' Series) (Group 1) (Class 1)  (2YO plus)
Winner £156,066

Advice: 0.5 pt each/way Requinto (8/1 Coral)

Owner detailsBated Breath: Unbeaten in first three and excuses when beaten on first tires in Group company last year; First run was write off & very impressive in winning last two races, both strong enough contests; New career best on ground that wouldn’t have suited when fifth in the Golden Jubilee and better still when second in July Cup, but drop back to 5 furlongs asks a question of him.

Owner detailsCaptain Dunne: Has never been in better form and win in uber – competitive Epsom Dash as good as any here in field, especially given topweight; Should go well here at decent price.

Owner detailsHamish McGonagall: Formerly useful/high-class handicapper who made jump into conditions/pattern company last season with useful efforts here; Shaped as well as ever on first could of starts but well held in 6f Group 2 & Temple; Has tried to make all and only just failed on last two starts and unlikely same approach will reward him here.

Owner detailsHoof It: Has proven hugely progressive this year and put up one of the handicap performances of all time at Goodwood according to ratings when picking up the lead well over a furlong from home and running way with Stewards Cup under 10 stone; Should make a bold bid here, drop back in trip no problem.

Owner detailsInxile: 6 years old but evergreen as a sprinter and enjoying best season yet, winning listed races at Tipperary, Naas and Cork (twice) to add to his Prix Du Gros Chene win and Group 2 third; Can make another bold bid but this might be too good for him.

Owner detailsKingsgate Native: Top class when at peak form, a prime example Temple Stakes win last year (also past winner of Nunthorpe for past yard); Didn’t match up to form for the rest of the year but still fourth in the July and Betfred Sprint Cup; Beginning to look regressive and more solid options.

Owner detailsMasamah: Impressive when blitzing opposition at York and probably in wrong place when eighth in Dash next time, as showed when once again coming late and hard to win Listed event; Explosive pace when never in danger of losing Goodwood Group 2 (weak race) and should go well.

Owner detailsProhibit: Has continued progression throughout winter in Dubai, taking valuable event by a head before respectable fifth in high class Al Quoz sprint; strong at the finish on all starts this season, mainly when landing King’s Stand Stakes at Royal Ascot; Race could pan out in same fashion so has to be rated a big contender.

Owner detailsTiddliwinks: Back to something like his best when winning minor event at Nottingham, having resumed the progress he made in 2 Graded events in Ireland; This demands yet more.

Owner detailsBreathless Kiss: Has failed to improve on, or repeat his quite impressive Beverley win in four starts since in pattern company; Hard to imagine him suddenly winning now.

Owner detailsInvincible Ash: Beneficiary of a very good ride when winning Group 3 at the Curragh in June; Third to Inxile at Tipperary last time leaves her with a lot to do in this field.

Owner detailsPiccadilly Filly: Once a very sharp sprinter, and a very good third in this race last year at 100/1; That had come after promising efforts however, and this time round she seems well out of form.

Owner detailsSwiss Diva: Nothing short of brilliant last season, steadily progressing in recording a hat – trick of, all on soft ground, highlight when trashing rivals in Prix Petit Couvert; Unplaced on last two starts but circumstances against her on both occasions and worth a second look with the ground calmer for her here.

Owner detailsMargot Did: Shaped like a very useful horse as a 2yo, winning first two before strong of creditable efforts in top class company; Unlucky on first two starts this year (common theme) but found success when making all in Listed events; Shouldn’t discount after doing best of those with bad draw in Coral Charge. 

Owner detailsWizz Kid: Speedy as a juvenile and improved for drop back to 5f o win Prix du Gros-Chene (by a head from Prohibit) at Chantilly; Shouldn’t be as big as she is based on that form and of interest.

Owner detailsRequinto: Has impressed with raw speed on all but one start (when held up over 6f) and unbeaten at the minimum trip, overcoming flat spot in mid race to win Molecomb at Goodwood going away; Supplemented for this and could go very close here.

VERDICT: Much of the attention is centred around Stewards Cup winner Hoof It, who will have no trouble dropping back in trip here. His price is just a little short in this type of race and it may be worth siding with REQUNITO, who is unbeaten at 5 furlongs and overcame a flat spot in great style at Glorious Goodwood. Pick of the bigger prices in order are Captain Dunne, Wizz Kid, Margot Did and Swiss Diva

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