2 legged European ties offer a fascinating proposition as punters
weigh up recent form and then put in home/away advantage to the equation. Traditionally
home advantage is a key factor in this competition, especially given how tight
the matches are, but sometimes you see clear gaps in superiority that wouldn't necessarily be turned around for a differing factor.
I would not put anyone off the odds – on lying around but
the 13/10 still available for a Half Time/Full Time result is probably worth
taking – Bayern have won four of their last 5 away against harder opposition and
the double result has come on two occasions.
Dinamo Zagreb have now won all 6 home matches this season
after smashing Malmo out of sight last week and on that basis are worth a bet
to repeat the dose again with the tie seemingly well and truly over.
Having romped to the title by 17 points last season, losing
just twice in 30 matches, Dinamo have hit the ground running this time around
too 5 wins in as many matches seeing Krunoslav Jurcic’s side open up a cushion
at the summit already and Malmo’s one solitary goal was only the third they’ve conceded
in this tournament.
Malmo have won since and there’s a danger that the tie is a
dead rubber but given the abundant and between the teams I’m happy to chance 75
on a team that’s supposedly 3 goals better than their opponents, despite being
away from home.
Over in Zurich, Bayern Munich should enjoy yet another
stroll if their first leg was anything to go by, where only the profligacy of Mario Gomez prevented more goals for the hosts, who are beginning
to find their stride in the Bundesliga after an opening day loss to
Munchengladbach, proving most impressive when thrashing a relatively poor/raw
Hamburg side as Robben, Ribery and Gomez ran riot all day.
I would not put anyone off the odds – on lying around but
the 13/10 still available for a Half Time/Full Time result is probably worth
taking – Bayern have won four of their last 5 away against harder opposition and
the double result has come on two occasions.
The German champions certainly appeal more at 8/13 than Villarreal
at 1-4 against BK Odense. The Spanish side lost due to a mixture of match
fitness (the Danes are already six matches into their domestic season while La
Liga is yet to start) and complacency and while the tables should turned, 1/4 is
no value and neither is backing them with a -1 h’cap at 8/13. While my advice is
for no bet, OB do get a generous price for +1 & +2 and that may be worth a
wager If you too don’t like the Spanish side’s chance, as you know that they’ll
go all out to defend that lead.
In the other ties, APOEL might get the better of Wisla on
home turf but the price isn’t generous given that the Poles were probably
deserved winners and odds – against is a bit on the short side. Genk could also
get the better of Maccabi Haifa but 16/5 is a big price for the Israelis
against the 10/11 offered for the hosts, who can win but might be better value
in running.
Advice
1 pt Dinamo Zagreb (7/5 general)
1 pt
Bayern/Bayern (13/10 VC Bet)
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