Sunday 14 November 2010

Independent Newspaper Novices' Chase (Registered As The November Novices' Chase)

1.10 Cheltenham
Independent Newspaper Novices' Chase (Registered As The November Novices' Chase) (Grade 2) (Class 1) (4YO plus)
Winner £17,103

Pick: Loosen My Load (win)

Kilmurry: Won his first 2 chase starts in good style for Henry De Bromhead and produced new career best for new and inform Tizzard yard when trashing very smart Ghizao (reopposing) ; Even more impressive considering that he was giving away 8lbs in weight and should go well again.

Loosen My Load: Made very smart start to life under rules last year, winning his first three races before running a good race on his first start over fences behind Fosters Cross; Won Grade 2 over hurdles here a year ago but struggled in face of stiff tasks; Has been flawless in 3 from 3 over fences though, running away with Graded event last time; That was weak affair but clearly a class above opposition that day and major player here.

Radium: Made good impression when winning Novice Handicap Hurdle here last year and went on to be second in Conditional Jockey’s Hurdle at the Festival; Impressed with easy win in Beginners Chase and should only improve for that.

Captain Chris: Made a huge impression when winning his first 3 hurdles starts by an aggregate of 36 lengths, including a very strong end of season event here; Well beaten on seasonal return but plainly didn’t stay a yard on ground he hated, and will be much better for that, so major player and exciting recruit to chasing.

Ghizao: Unbeaten in 2 bumpers and went on to achieve useful form in 4 starts over hurdles last season, coming second to Graded winner General Miller; Not up to it at spring festivals but made decent debut when second to Kilmurry; Should jump better for the run but hard to see reverseal of form on worse weight terms.

VERDICT: Some top notch performers have taken this Grade 2 contest in past years- Best Mate, Azertyuiop and Seebald amongst them (not to mention Tatanaino)- and a small but select field assembles for this renewal. It would be some achievement for LOOSEN MY LOAD to give weight and a beating to Radium, Ghizao, and Captain Chris but he’s looked perfect on his 3 chase starts and wins and should run a big one once again. Kilmurrry may well be next best. Paul Nicholls has taken this 4 times since 2001 and as such Ghizao is accorded massive respect while Captain Chris looks made for chasing but I think Loosen My Load can take this.

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