Friday 1 November 2013

Breeders' Cup 2013 - Dirt Mile

10.05 Santa Anita

Breeders' Cup Dirt Mile (Grade 1) (Class 1)  (3YO plus)
Winner $572,101


Owner detailsTaptowne: Sent off a warm favourite for the Ack Ack Handicap following smooth win in the West Virginia’s Governor Stakes at Mountaineer Park but rapidly outpointed by Pants On Fire after pressing a fast pace and again tired late after pressing early in lower company; This a much deeper race and will do well to get to the lead here.

Owner detailsGolden Ticket: Highlight of career when deadheating with Alpha as longshot for Travers Stakes and in that same vein of form when second and fourth in major 10 furlong races at Chruchill Downs and here; If able to repeat either of those efforts, can go well.

Owner detailsHymn Book: By far his best effort when third behind rapidly improving Graydar in the Kelso Handicap, an effort that can be upgraded given that winner set his own fractions infront; Pace should be more to his linking here and not without his chance if there’s a total burnout upfront’ Had previously been behind Pants on Fire.

Owner detailsBrujo De Olleros: Has found his best form hand over fist lately, running a close second in the Donald Levine Handicap (pushed a hot pace, fell into a hole late) before easy allowance win and second to Graydar in the Kelso handicap when he was forced wide early and could never quite run him down (winner set own fraction) progressive feel about him for all he needs to improve.


Owner detailsFed Biz: Three time C&D winner who well fancied for this last year but disappointment then, never any better than fifth and fading badly; Didn’t take his best form to turf when only fourth in Eddie Read handicap but withering late run under perfect ride saw him catch Goldencents in Pat O’Brien Stakes latest; That arguably a career best and if able to repeat that has to be considered strongly.


Owner detailsBroadway Empire: Here slightly under the radar, having won a pair of stakes at Northlands Park in Canada before leading pillar to post in Oklahoma Derby latest; Respected here for all that fierce competition for lead can be slightly off-putting.


Owner detailsAlpha: Very, very good on his day, as wins in the Travers (2012) and Woodward Stakes two starts back, both at Saratoga; Flat in the Jockey Club Gold Cup when he stumbled at the start and could never reach the lead; Mile should suit him and not without a chance if he shows his best but worry he’ll burn himself out early.

Owner detailsHoly Lute: Game as a pebble when winning Del Mar’s El Cajon Stakes in August but put in his place behind Power Broker in Indiana Derby

Owner detailsCentralintelligence: So impressive when landing the Triple Bend Handicap sprinting over a long 7 furlongs at Holllywood Park but never able to get into it in the Santa Anita Sprint Championships here and might be caught between a rock and a hard place here.

Owner detailsVerrazano: Carried huge amount of buzz coming into the Triple Crown season but a blowout in Kentucky Derby where insane pace and sloppy track got better of him and many others; Stunning Haskell Invitational win was all of his earlier promise and more but taken on for the lead, pushed early, and never got going when a well beaten seventh in Travers; The worry is that he’s taken on early in a race burning with early speed but at the same time dropping back to a mile looks to be a great positive and only beaten at 10 furlongs so far.


Owner detailsPants On Fire: One time Derby contender who lost his way but has since started to show something close to his best and come here having beaten two rivals in equally impressive fashion last twice at Montmouth and Churchill Downs, dismissing Taptowne in fine style latest; Another that likes to be close to the early pace but not one to give in easily and contender here.


Owner detailsGoldencents: Launched his name into the Derby reckoning when landing the Santa Anita Derby and while Triple Crown campaign was a blowout, strong efforts the last thrice dropped down to sprint trips, although on each occasion he’s been beaten; Chase and set far too hard a pace when Fed Biz mowed him down in the Pat O’Brien but can be more reserved and one of the leading players here.


Owner detailsEaster Gift: First reserve but couldn’t land a blow behind two key rivals in the Kelso latest.



VERDICT: With stretch-out sprinters a plenty and classic distance non stayers aiming at this, there’s a strong possibility of a hot pace if anyone of the front-runners takes eachother on. Favourite Verrazano should relish the trip of a mile – his only two defeats have come at 10 furlongs and his very best form so far is at 9 – but he is in a race loaded with early speed to take him on and lumbered with a draw of 10, which tempers enthusiasm for his chances in a race no favourite has won from 6 runnings.  Goldencents and Pants on Fire are just two who merit respect here while Brujo De Olleros and Hymn Book would relish a turn up, but GOLDEN TICKET’S efforts of late are as good as any form he’s shown and his late stamina could play a big part, especially if he's improved for his recent four in the Awesome Again Stakes after a two month break. Of the rest, perhaps FED BIZ can make amends for last year if this race develops into a last man standing contest.
 

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