Saturday, 16 November 2013

Paddy Power Gold Cup 2013

2.30 Cheltenham

Paddy Power Gold Cup Chase (Grade 3 Handicap) (Class 1)  (4YO plus)
Winner £91,120


Advice: 2 pts each/way Nadiya De La Vega (12/1 general), 1 pt each/way Champion Court (8/1 general), 0.5 pts each/way Astracad (20/1 general) 

Owner detailsFinian’s Rainbow: Real class act, a winner of Champion Chase in 2012 and top 2m chaser until disappointing last season when never close to that form in four runs last season, albeit that heavy ground didn’t suit him twice and he’s now dropped to mark of 163 for those efforts (better when second at Sandown over 2m at end of last season); Given fair chance by handicapper.


Owner detailsWhishfull Thinking: Serious horse at his best (terrific novice season when first or second at all four big festivals) but had breathing issues since, including when well beaten in this race 2 years ago as favourite; Won twice last year and no disgraced elsewhere but vulnerable based on his limp run at Aintree behind Conqusito latest.


Owner detailsChampion Court: Loves it around here; Good novice who improved on that form when fourth in the King George, having gone the best for a long way before stamina gave out; Couldn’t run as well when only fifth in the Ryanair, although he did try to go head to head with Cue Card on that occasion, and limited handicap win over Menorah gives him very strong chance.

Owner detailsRajdhani Express: Soared some 30lbs in the ratings after string of successes that included win in novices’ handicap at the Festival (first 2 were well clear) and Grade 2 at Ayr afterwards, 15 lengths clear of Tap Night having been left clear infront at last when involved in prolonged battle up the straight; Has to be respected once again here for all one wonders how much he’ll have ahead of handicapper after such rises.


Owner detailsConqusito: Got the better of Astracad for valuable 2m4f prize at Aintree on return, having been touched off in similar contest at Hayodock on return (previously won well at Ayr); This significantly harder and not on the best terms with Astracad but deserves respect at the very least here.


Owner detailsHidden Cyclone: One time extremely promising novice who was tipped for big things following promising novice hurdling season and successes on first two novice chases, but proven disappointing since and well beaten on last handicap start in similar contest in Ireland.


Owner detailsVino Griego: Very decent handicapper, winning very decent contests here and at Ascot before Festival second; Not upto Graded company at end of a long season and might want more cut in the ground too here.


Owner detailsBattle Group: Has been given a new lease of life by new stable for stepping up to 3 miles on good ground, winning his last three in fine style including handicap hurdle and chase in space of 2 days at Aintree’s Grand National meeting before handicap another good handicap hurdle at Haydock; Could have yet more to offer still although up in class and back in trip significantly.


Owner detailsWoolcombe Folly: One time Champion Chase fancy after string of novice and handicap chase win and runner-up in three consecutive handicaps this summer; Latest sixth to John’s Sprit better than it looks on the formbook and weighted to go well although still a feeling that others have been more fairly threatening.

Owner detailsTap Night: Career best when second (stepped back upto 2m4f after tilt at the Arkle) in Grade 1 novice at Aintree but presumably not right when 15 lengths behind Tap Night at Ayr and while Carlisle reappearance will have gotten him spot on for this, could have expected a little more; Respected.

Owner detailsKumbeshwar: Loveable and uber consistent hurdler/chaser who has held his own at top level before (notably in season spent 2m chasing) but who has also been raced hard and looked exposed coming towards the end of last season; Latest effort at Exeter was creditable but that of an exposed horse.


Owner detailsCarrickboy: Never quite know what you’ll be getting with him but he comes from a very in form yard and he was a 50/1 Festival winner last year; Shown little since (57 lengths behind Champion Court in first run since) and similar story when last seen; Worse outsiders but very much leaving things to chance.


Owner detailsBallynagour: Ex-French chaser who made a mockery of his opening mark as so many do on UK debut at Warwick and travelling well within himself before he broke a blood vessel (as he has done in France) when favourite for festival handicap over C&D; If he’s on his best form he’s a huge player.


Owner detailsAstracad:  Seventh and beaten out of sight when 10/1 and fancied for December’s version of this race over C&D (heavy ground did him no favours) More in his fifth to Johns Spirit here than would meet the eye and runner-up, in second time tongue-tie in last three starts, to Conquisto at Aintree latest; If first time visor can improve him then entitled to be taken seriously here.


Owner detailsEaster Meteor: Second to Nadiya De La Vega last Octotber, before impressive Doncaster win followed by well beaten fourth behind Champion Court; would be good deal shorter if not for two flops this term, first when unable to raise a gallop behind John’s Sprit and no much better when second


Owner detailsNadiya De La Vega: Quality mare who has established herself since arriving from France; Took her fantastic first time out record to 4 wins from 4 on reappearance when landing well contested handicap at Showcase meeting last year in style; Well beaten third in this last year but 5lbs higher in handicap and one of few left standing in brutal, deep ground affair; Ground got better of her in December Gold Cup, on trials day, and then at Festival didn’t stay), but back on decent surface and convicting winner at Fairyhouse in graded company (not at best on bad ground since); Gets decent surface again today and can go very close.



Owner detailsJohn’s Spirit: 9 length second to Katkenko at Sandown last December but not in the same form (two bad late mistakes didn’t help his cause on previous course visits) before winning from well off the pace in same race Nadiya De La Vega won last season; 10lbs rise entirely justified and likely he has more to give still so shortlisted.


Owner detailsColour Squadron: Had threatened to make a very decent novice chaser (second in Grade 1 over hurdles) but continued and persistent hanging tarnished his chances, especially when favourite for the novices’ handicap chase at the Festival; More needed but if he stays straight, likely to think there’s more he’s got to offer.


Owner detailsGift of Dgab: Absent with injury for 17 months but a very good novice before that and travelled like a horse that retained at leas that ability before tank went in Kerry National; Disappointing over hurdles latest but still capable and not without his chance if that talent’s still there.

Owner detailsAttaglance: Not as convincing over his fences as he is over his hurdles, and struggled as a c chaser last season; Well in on best form but 6lbs wrong and has to get over his fences better to be considered.



VERDICT: A renewal possibly missing the second season star in waiting, but not without a touch of class and as competitive as ever. There’s still a sense that Ballynagour could be a step ahead of the handicapper and has something more to offer but this is infinitely more difficult than either of his two UK starts and others make a touch more appeal. CHAMPION COURT was travelling the best in the King George last season before his stamina gave way on heavy ground and he couldn’t run the finish out of them in a good Ryanair Chase, but his typically game success over C&D is some of the best form here and gives him a fighting chance. Of those lower in the weights, John’s Sprit and Colour Squadron have more to give if putting in a clean round and staying straight, while towards the top end of the handicap, Finian’s Rainbow and Rajdhani Express can be given realistic chances, but NADIYA DE LA VEGA’s excellent first time out record draws attention to her chances and with the sound surface that she craves, she can go much closer than her distant third in a brutal renewal last year. ASTRACAD gets clear preference of the outsiders and looks too big at 20/1.

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