Saturday 2 November 2013

Breeders' Cup 2013 - Turf Sprint


9.05 Santa Anita
GEICO Breeders' Cup Turf Sprint (Grade 1) (Class 1)  (3YO plus)
Winner $572,101

Advice: 1 pt win Mizdirection (4/1 general), 1 pt win Chips All In (8/1 general)

Owner detailsJeranimo: Twice a Grade 1 winner over a mile and nine furlongs, most recently the Eddie Read Stakes in July before not enjoying dirt last twice; This a whole different ball game and worst draw possible so others make more appeal today.


Owner detailsRock Me Baby: C&D winner in the past and never got a run when behind a host of these in big Grade 3 trial for this event but draw to opposite of right handed turn is no help to him; No surprise to see him go well here however.

Owner detailsChips All In: Just a nose behind Unbridled’s Note here in February and since gained two Grade 3 wins at this track, including in the Eddie D Stakes, the main warmup over this course, tracking a blistering pace before fidning enough to hold off number of contenders here (on 5lbs better terms with all reposing though) although did win San Simeion Stakes as well; Should go well although slight worry about him falling into a hole late as some others have here in past over this course (he would have been beaten in just a couple of strides latest).

Owner detailsReneesgotzip: Pushed the pace from the word go and outlasted the other front runners before falling into a hole late behind Unbridled’s Note and Mizdirection; Since finished runner up in first Grade 1 over 7 furlongs here before pair of easy wins here and a prime contender once again.


Owner detailsCaracortado: Previously unbeaten going less than 7 furlongs before finding Churchill Downs too quick for him in 2011 renewal and since a convincing winner when beating just the three rivals here before 20 month absence due to foot injury; Returned from that with fourth here behind Chips All In and Boat Trip and tremendous potential if he doesn’t bounce to better than effort.


Owner detailsBoat Trip: Good record over this C&D; Crack sprinter who bettered his previous form by considerable distance when flying home to go down by just a nose to Chips All In latest; Early pace will be at least strong so has to come into the reckoning and be high on shortlist for all that he’s going to be 5lbs worse off with that one; Should go well today.


Owner detailsTightened Touchdown: Making a mockery of his $35,000 claiming price but no track experience and been racing in much weaker events so needs to up his game considerably to make an impact here with so many specialists running.


Owner detailsHandsome Mike: Written off by bookmakers on both sides of the Atlantic but last time that he had what one could call his ideal conditions, he won Grade 3 Commonwealth Stakes at Keenland and has won over this C&D too; Not without his chance.


Owner detailsCapo Bastone: Very useful juvenile last season; Surprising to see him here after surprise win in King’s Bishop at Saratoga given that he’s not raced this course and maybe we should take note of that for all he’s up against some serious speedsters.


Owner detailsHavelock: Ready winner of Keenland’s Woodford Stakes last time after failing to make a mark when sent to the UK for two major events; Needs more than that and first time up on this course here is a worry.


Owner detailsSpring to the Sky: No answer to Havelock’s charge in that Keenland Grade 3 and doesn’t look good enough here.


Owner detailsMizdirection: 5-5 over this C&D, including when moving whole field down to land thrilling renewal of this last year in nick of time, and won every single start since barring failure to stay a mile on yielding Ground in Belmont’s Flower Bowl; Long absence no worry as she showed last year and the one to beat once again.


Owner detailsDimension: Never raced on this course which is a negative but that seems to be where they stop; Deeply impressive winner of Play The King Stakes at Woodbine two starts back and then did too much when behind Wise Dan at Woodbine but that effort can be tossed; This requires a career best but prime draw and not without a shot of giving Conor Murphy a second fairtyale big win in a year.



Owner detailsUnbridled’s Note: Mid pace and came to win her race in straight before a close second, caught in the last half a furlong by Mizdirection, last year; Beat Chips All in at the beginning the year here but couldn’t catching him latest on 5lbs better terms; That said, plenty to like about her and will be there or thereabouts.



VERDICT:  The most unique course in American racing plays host to one of its most exciting races. There are any number of potential scenarios but defending champions MIZDIRECTION, unbeaten over this course, good off a layoff and likely to enjoy what is always a blistering gallop, looks a good place to start. Best of the trailblazers is likely to be CHIPS ALL IN, who would have been passed by Boat Trip - a prime contender - with one more stride in the Eddie Read but is now 5lbs better off and rates a value back up bet.  Last year’s second and third, Unbridled’s Note and Renreesgotzip, are sure to be there again. 
 

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