6 Nations 2013 - Specials

There are a myriad of options available for 6 Nations betting this year but by far the most appealing is England to score more than 118 points. It looks to be a high mark based on a total of just the 98 points last year but England are twice the team they were then and have the crucial benefit of playing Scotland and Italy at home rather than on the road this time around. They scored just 13 and 19 points in those two games but should do signficnatly better against those two this year – especially against Italy – and have real quality in the backline to use. The games against the elite in Ireland, France and Wales could prove problematic but from 2005 onwards they’ve scored 17, 26, 15, 34, and 17 in home games v Les Bleus, while they also have a healthy record of points on the board v Wales, who have conceded 20 points in 8 of their last 10 games, even if only scoring 9 and 12 in their last two games against them. High points tallies there should be enough to get them past the mark, even if Ireland are able to choke the English in Dublin. Considering that England have let in less than 82.5 points in the last 4 years, that mark is also interesting, but there’s a lot of attacking talent amongst the elite this year and it might be best to go for the offensive play here. They've also beaten France on 5 of their last 6 meetings, so backing them to be Les Bleus's 1st defeat at 5/6 might pay dividends. France have only lost one game to Italy and are a stronger team than in 2011 when the Azzuri turned them over by a point, and they haven't lost at home v Wales since 2005, meaning that statistically the chance of them going to Twickenham unbeaten like in 2011 is strong enough for the bet to be value. 

Advice

4 pts England to score more than 118 points (5/6 general) 

1 pt France's 1st loss to be England (5/6 Stan James)