2.40 Longchamp
Qatar Prix Vermeille (Fillies' Group 1) (Class 1) (3YO plus)
Winner €200,235
Ante Post: 2 pts each/way Treve, Arc De Triomphe (8/1 general, 12 Aug)
Advice: 1 pt each/way Tasaday (7/1 general), 0.5 pt each/way Silasol (12/1 general)
Romantica: Only eighth in this last year but improved since,
winning Group 3 at Chantilly in April and making breakthrough at Group 1 level
when winning Prix Jean Romanet latest at Deauville (1m2f, good to soft); Today
obviously a much harder task, and on ground alien to her.
Galvaun: Doesn’t look good enough to take a major hand here;
Heavy ground listed winner last season but come up short twice at group level
this season. 
La Pomme D’Amour: Refound the form that she had as a three
year old in last two runs, second to Verema here before taking Deauville Group
2 latest; That said, near last in this last year and not good enough to be high
on the list. 
Wild Coco: Turning into a fine filly, impressive winner at
Goodwood after losing her way during 2011, and then landing Park Hill Stakes
before repeating win at Goodwood in arguably more impressive style recently;
This a big step up in class but get feeling she stll has something to give,
should relish today’s ground – an unkown for many – and can take a big hand
here. 
Treve: Just the three runs but impressive here on debut on
only Juvenile run, better when a clear cut winner in Saint-Cloud conditions
event, and just a brilliant winner of the Prix De Diane when blowing away a
strong field that included subsequent Irish Oaks winner Chiquita and with Group
1 winner (reopposing) Silasol in third; On that basis, promises to improve for
the step up in trip and sets an imposing standard; Only worry would be race
preparedness and ground but hard to beat and major arc player. 
Tasaday: One of the season’s most consistent improvers,
third in Pouliches and fourth in Diane, before winning the Prix de Physche and
Nonette, keeping her advantage of Sparkling Beam despite being 5lbs worse off
for second of those runs with runner up; Has form on soft ground and looks to
be improving, so place claims up in grade here.
Penelopa: Not much to recommend her here apart from German
Oaks win over Secret Gesture, a fine effort that’s she can improve from, but
one that puts her some way behind the best here; Needs more. 
Venus De Milo: Only the five runs but won three of them in
the type of a rapidly progressive horse and found new level upped to 12
furlongs flashing home in Irish Oaks for second behind Chicquita (which puts her
well behind Treve) when more strongly run race was needed and then idling
before putting Group 3 at Cork to bed from the front, too good when the race
entered business end; Brushed aside by The Fugue in the Yorkshire Oaks but that
mare since gone onto win Irish Champion Stakes and was a clear second; Won on
yielding/soft on debut and a much better horse now.
Orion Love: Down the field in German Oaks and looks
completely exposed in this company. 
Silasol: Winner of the Marcel Boussac at 2 on heavy ground
and after being beaten on return, strong at finish to land the Saint-Alary in
the last stride; Only thid in the Diane behind Treve but may like this step up
in trip more than most and fourth against colts latest not too bad in slowly
run race; Can go well.
VERDICT: A strong renewal of a race that has provided the
Arc winner twice in recent years since being opened upto older horses in 2006.
In those seven years since, 3yos have won this 5 times and Prix De Diane winner
Treve is currently our idea of the Arc winner but she’s never run on ground this soft and
hasn’t run since then, so can be avoided in today’s market at a best priced
7/4 and is much better as an ante post today, Yorkshire and Irish Oaks second Venus De Milo has a first rate chance but
two of Treve’s victims in the Diane, TASADAY, and SILASOL, can get closer to
her today with the step up in trip and easy ground likely to suit them more
than the Diane.
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