2.05 (Pertemps Final) - OUR FATHER has been raised 19lbs for
his Ascot win and never run on ground better than soft, but he’s a horse of
such potential that the 6/1 offered about him here is taken. A deeply
impressive winner of his hurdling debut - in a race that worked out well for
the grade- he was beaten twice after, although both times he was carrying a
penalty and on the last occasion it was evident that some physical growth would
do him good.
Back after a long absence, he was sent off just 8/5 for a
competitive handicap hurdle at Ascot but under a nearly perfect ride from Timmy
Murphy, he closed a gap of more than 10 lengths towards Shoreacres (who has
since been second in two good handicaps since) with ease and has been kept for
this since, so a 19lbs rise in the handicap might be negated with only 4 runs
under his belt. The David Pipe team are yet to have a winner here this week but
Kazilan and Balgarry both ran big races but for being sent on far too early and
they’ve had at least one placed winner in seven of the last 10 renewals.
Speaking of Pipe, last year’s winner Buena Vista has clearly
been readied for a repeat so a big run wouldn’t be a surprise, while the two
four time runners Sonofvic and Sergent Guib’s looks set to go well, with preference
for the former given his good ground form when getting within hailing distance of
Grands Crus at Newbury earlier on this season.
Thehillofuisneach is an interesting runner for a yard who
retained this with Creon in 2004, as he may have found things too heavy for his
liking and if he handles the better ground here then he could go well at a
price.
Advice: 1 pt win, 1 pt place Our Father (6/1 Bet Victor for
win, 11/8 Paddy Power to place)
Fulke Walwyn Kim Muir Challenge Cup Handicap Chase (4.40) - BEACUASEICOULDN’TSEE wasn’t beaten
when falling 2 out in the Paddy Power Chase and with a past festival run to his
name – albeit over 4 miles – he makes a lot of appeal in a race which has
turned into a slog in the past, despite the Irish having not won since 1983.
His prep run at
Fairyhouse is good enough to set him up for this and a mark of 140 seems
tractable enough for him to make his mark here, despite the presence of several
other horses – Up The Beat, Sunnyhillboy, Faasel, Midnight Appeal, and Mostly
Bob - in a race that looks a better
contest than most years.
Advice: 0.5 pt each/way Becuaseicouldntsee (12/1 general)
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