Saturday, 28 January 2012

Lightning Novices' Chase 2012


1.50 Doncaster
Sky Bet Mobile For iPhone Lightning Novices' Chase (Grade 2) (Class 1)  (5YO plus)
Winner £14,238

Advice: 1.5 pts win Menorah (5/6 Bet365)


Owner detailsMenorah: High class over hurdles (Supreme Novice, Greatwood, and International Hurdle winner) who’s taken his time with fences, unseating over fences on debut before making several blunders in two facile wins in novice events; This seems a good opportunity in theory but has to give away significant amount of weight and error free round the call today.


Owner detailsKumbeshwar: Four runs over fences and two wins, both by a decent amount; Easily beaten by Menorah last time although it’s worth noting that today he’s 5lbs better off, which gives him a chance in theory; More needed but shouldn’t be too far away.


Owner detailsKid Cassidy: Massive promise on hurdling debut when winning by 15 lengths and while beaten easily next time (winner gone onto better things), he bounced back to win impressively at Punchestown Festival; Set to win when falling at Lingfield on his chasing debut and put that right with easy win at Ludlow latest; Gets 7lbs from Menorah here to make things very interesting.

VERDICT: This is a tough task for MENORAH. Not only is he now competitively weighted with Kumbeshwar based on his beating last time, he’s also got to give 7lbs to the promising Kid Cassidy, which makes life very interesting for Richard Hobbs’s charge. At his best he’ll have enough to win although it may be worst just a small bet that he does so. 

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