Wednesday, 23 February 2011

Today's Pointers - Doncaster and Fairyhouse 23rd Feb

The maiden hurdle (2.00) looks to be between Master Fiddle and Rya Star but I think both can be swerved. A fall two out when feeling to pinch behind Accorintolawrence doesn’t make Raya Star a 5/4 shot and while Master Fiddle will be much happier down in trip (tongue tie applied) he was well beaten in the end and can’t be backed with any real confidence.

In the Novice Chase (2.35) Beshabar was unlucky to be brought down (and jockey Christian Williams even unluckier to break both arms) and while he had been shoved along a lot he was coming into a clutch of useful prospects in a very strong novice chase at Cheltenham and he should get the job done in a small field before a possible RSA Chase tilt.

While the Juvenile Hurdle is an above average contest it may be one to stay away from as well. Moose Moran should have learn a lot from his hurdling debut at Sandown but he’ll need to jump better in an equally strong contest. City Ground and Emirani were very consistent on the flat and make their debuts in a strong race. The one that makes most appeal is Comedy Act, back on good ground, but a penalty stops me from suggesting him even at a big looking 9/2.

The veterans chase (3.40) offers a decent opportunity in WOGAN, who is fantastically unexposed for a 11 year old (has only had 10 starts over fences), has won twice at Doncaster (including the Killyglen Chase off only a 5lbs lower mark) , has won twice for today’s jockey, and should be at near peak form having already bumped into a very progressive horse in King Fontaine earlier this season. The ground’s of no real concern, as he’s won on good to soft. Dark Ben and Lothian Faclon would be my two main dangers.

In the 4.10 ACKERTAC may have the easier task he’s faced for some time. He was brought down when going really well behind Lush Life just two starts ago and his run in a far stronger race (the Lanzarote) can be thrown out at the Twiston Davies Yard were struggling for form and should be straighter now. I don’t think he’d need to do a lot to get seriously involved.

A strong card is run at Fairyhouse, where some good solid juveniles run in the Winning Fair Juvenile Hurdle (grade 2) at 2.05. There’s no standout bet in the race but don’t think it’s unreasonable to expect Chaperoned to reverse form with Fearless Falcon if she races more prominently.

The Bobbyjo Chase (3.45) is probably the most significant race of the day, especially from an ante post perspective with 5 horses all strongly fancied for the Grand National set to run. If THE MINDNIGHT CLUB is a Grand National horse he’ll go very close today and the feeling is that’s the case, so he’s taken to reverse form with Siegemaster from the Thyestes. He’s a shortish price in such a strong race but we’re in safe hands with Paul Townend and Wille Mullins. One I just can’t ignore at a big price is BLUESEA CRACKER who ran a belter on her only chase start this season when fourth behind Midnight Chase, who’s now a widely touted Gold Cup Dark horse. Second Any Currency is a solid yardstick, while third Junior has a lot of useful form. She’s tuning up for April but is well worth a chance of this mark and same thing applied to all of the field today. Vic Venturi’s ready to bounce back to form but will need to in a big way. While Oscar Time’s been brought just for Sam Whaley Cohen and rates a serious threat.

Advice

2 pts win Wogan in the 3.40 Doncaster (7/4 Ladbrokes, Sportingbet, Stan James, Skybet)

1 pt each/way Ackertac (7/1 Sportingbet)

2 pts win The Midnight Club in the 3.45 Fairyhouse (7/4 general)

1 pt each/way Bluesea Cracker in the 3.45 Fairyhouse (14/1 VC Bet) 

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