Saturday 17 April 2010

Scottish Champion Novice's Chase 2010

Ayr 2.15
Scottish Sun Future Champion Novices' Chase (Grade 2) (Class 1)  (5YO plus)
Winner £22,804
French Opera: Looked good last season over fences without winning a chase; Has won three this season, and second in Grand Annual was a huge effort; Trip on this ground should be just fine and hopefully he’s had enough time to recover from his Cheltenham Festival exertions.

Thico Polos: Showed what he could do when landing two novice hurdles by wide margins; Went off boil after brief foray into big handicaps and has stated chasing well with two good wins; Looked very tired when falling after running well for a long way in the Feltham; Second to Punchestowns and wide margin Sandown win makes him a major player here; Confirmed stayer.

Fiendish Flame: Front runner who has quickly made up into as good a chaser as hurdler, making all at Carlisle in October and Musselburgh in February; Good effort when 6th in the Jewson last time; chance here.

Fortysecondstreet: Always been well regarded and hasn’t done badly over fences / hurdles, (won twice over hurdles from 3 starts) and did well to get off the mark over fences, but that leaves him with a fair bit to find. 

Kangaroo Court: Went into plenty of notebooks when romping home at Doncaster before getting well beaten by Karabak; Thrashed in Supreme Novice’s Hurdle before romping home on final start over hurdles (Not needing to improve); Has cantered home on his first two chase starts and found the Arkle a bit too fast for him, but every chance over longer trip.

VERDICT: A competitive contest with some useful and pretty consistent and well known horses. The betting would have the likeliest winner as FRENCH OPERA, but 10/11 about him in a contest this tight doesn’t really appeal a lot. Tchio Polos is the one to give him most to do. 

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