Hard to recommend a horse here but if I was having a wager, I'd go for Equiano.
3.00 Newmarket
Connaught Access Flooring Abernant Stakes (Listed) (Class 1) (3YO plus)
Winner £22,708 - 8 run
Able Master: In good form last autumn and his new yard is in decent shape; He does need to improve off those runs to have a chance.
Barney McGrew: Hold-up performer who did pretty well last year, winning York handicap and runner-up in Ayr Gold Cup; Hasn’t hit that form this season thought and the big field that he wants might be lacking.
Doncaster Rover: Hadn’t shown much since promising enough debut victory flowed by a good 6th in the Flying Childers for the rest of his juvenile season; Was a good 2nd behind Danehill Destiny before landing a conditions event in progressive style; Ran two good races in Group/Listed company before a below par seventh and every chance here, as he goes well fresh.
Equiano: Came up well short at Group 1 level last year after finishing second in this race; He wasn’t totally disgraced on those efforts and you would have to give him a chances at this level, in what looks like a an open but weaker than last year’s renewal.
Muillionmileanhour: Only had 3 runs, the second being an excellent third in the Windsor Castle Stakes (form of that race very strong) and an excellent comeback when third in the Cleeves Stakes; Will be race fit, there is more to come and he would have to be right there.
Golden Stream: Didn’t really shape as though sprinting was her game when last seen in October, but excuses for that defeat; Form over 7f still needs some improving and the drop back in trip may not suit her as much as others .
Retaliate: Little sign of retaining ability since about 2006 and tilting at windmills on debut for another new stable.
VERDICT: A trappy event. Most of these horses would be hard pushed to do as well as EQUIANO has done in the Group 1 events, albeit being well beaten. The main threat is surely Mullionmileanhour, although EVENS AND ODDS is worth a small e/w at 11/2.
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