Saturday, 17 April 2010

Newbury Grenham Day - Greenham Stakes

3.40 Newbury
Bathwick Tyres Greenham Stakes (Group 3) (Str) (Class 1)  (3YO only)
Winner £36,900

Pick: Arcano 

Arcano: Leading 2 year old over 6 furlongs who showed immense promise in winning all three of his starts, right up to Group 1 level; Broke track record when winning the Morny, beating Canford Cliffs and Special Duty; Raced as if he wants 7f and major chance today.

Bullwhip: Produced a storming performance to trash 15 runners in Doncaster maiden, where would have won by more than 7 lengths had he not been eased down; This huge step up in class, but he’s earned it.

Canford Cliffs: Looked unbeatable when landing his maiden an impressed even more when trashing Coventry field, having pulled hard and gone clear; Didn’t run too badly when third behind Arcano in Morny last August and no surprise if he reversed form / ran better, but is not value at 8/11; Connections still have faith and high class prospect.

Turpin: Unbeaten over 6 furlongs, having landed a maiden, Conditions, Sales race and Group 2 Richmond Stakes,  beating Buzzword convincingly on that start;  Looked for all the world as if he’d stay 7 furlongs when landing Tattersalls Sale Stakes in soft ground under a penalty, so his Jean Luc Gardere fifth was a bit disappointing, even allowing for blocked run; Not a bad effort when sixth in the Dewhurst and has to be allowed a realistic form chance here; Small field could prove ideal, as with Canford Cliffs.

Rodrigo De Torres: Hasn’t progressed from his first start as expected and hard task here.

VERDICT: A very high class Group 3 contest. ARCANO got the better of Canford Cliffs when the pair were last seen at Deauville nearly 8 months ago. The pick will improve bundles for the run and both remain exciting prospects but I cannot have the latter at 8/11 and 5/2 is a very fair price for the former especially as he comes here unpenalized. Turpin and Bullwhip can have their say too. 

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