The recommended bets are 2 e/w bets on Doctor David and Markazzi, who are both overpriced.
3.35 Newmarket
Racing Post breezeupbonus.com Craven Stakes (Group 3) (Class 1) (3YO only)
Winner £36,900
Critical Moment: Made a nice debut and got off the mark in good style on his first 2 starts as a juvenile; Not a bad run when fifth in the Horris Hill and trip/ground will suit, but step forward needed.
Dancing David: Very promising maiden win at Newbury considering that he was green from Pillar to post, making all to win impressively; Very good effort to finish fourth in Racing Post Trophy and that form gives him a competitive shot here.
Dubawi Phantom: Won fair maiden in Good style last time out (2nd has won since and was thought highly enough to try Group company); Then went on to run well in succession of races and that form is solid but maybe a little unspectacular.
Edinburgh Knight: Unplaced on only start as a 2 year olds but is 2-2 this year, having landed considerable support in his maiden first time up, and then landed handicap in good style (off 77); Improving and can’t be ruled out, but will need even more than his mark of 90 to win here.
Elusive Pimpernel: Elusive Quality colt who made a very taking debut when winning by a in what looked on paper and turned out to be a decent maiden, before then winning Acomb Stakes with a late charge after losing ground badly at the start; Form of that race worked out really well and his second in the Racing Post Trophy is the leading form.
Lucky General: Improved with racing last year (was good enough when breaking his maiden to be sent into Group company), landing Sales race on his last start; Very useful horse but stamina for this trip is a major worry, though.
Markazzi: Ran into a Group 1 horse in Pounced on his first start and then cantered his way to victory at Leicester; Ran better than his finishing position would suggest in sales race (didn’t get a clear run, on unfavored side) and may not be that far away on his best form.
Mont Agel: Got going late on Yarmouth debut and broke his maiden with smooth success next time out; Open to considerable improvement and stable horse’s look pretty sharp but has work to do.
Morana: Won the Autumn Stakes in gritty style and to be fair had shown some promise beforehand; Behind Doctor David and Elusive Pimpernel in Racing Post Trophy and will need to learn to settle to make more headway.
VERDICT: Another fiercely competitive classic traial with some real promising sorts. Even the Group 3 and maiden wins of Elusive Pimpernel should be good enough to win, but thing might not go his way (wants a fast gallop) and 1m might be a trip too short for him this year (looks already to get 10f on his head). I think he’ll win, but I’m leaving him alone at 11/8. There are 3 places up for grabs and the ones I like for e/w support are MARKAZZI, a potentially group class colt who’s better than this run last time, and DANCING DAVID, who’s Racing Post Trophy form entitles him to be close up here.
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