4.30 Punchestown
AES Champion Four Year Old Hurdle (Grade 1) (Class 1) (4YO only)
Winner €49,600
Advice: 1 pt win Balder Succes (15/8 general)
Arnaud: Useful enough juvenile who performed well enough off
a mark of 132 when fifth in the Fred Winter at Cheltenham but disappointed in
Grade 2 at Fairyhouse and needs much more than that here.
Balder Succes: Came to Britain with only the one hurdles starts
under his belt but since proven to be seriously high class over hurdles,
unbeaten in three UK starts before unlucky Triumph fall; Never in danger of
losing at Ascot against older horses previously though and has to be given a
big chance here with soft ground not a problem to him.
Darroun: Made several mistakes when unable to get past
Shadow Catcher (Grade 1 second) on heavy ground at Punchestown but beat
Hisaabaat with bit in hand at Leopardstown nearly a month on; Runner up
(reopposes) went onto win Grade 1 Spring Juvenile Hurdle at Leopardstown so
disappointing that Darroun couldn’t do better in the Triumph but should be
given a chance here despite looking like second best of stable on riding
arrangements.
Darwins Threory: Won nicely at Wexford latest but had
previously been well held by Darroun and Hisaabaat so has to have found 10lbs
improvement inbetween and that looks unlikely.
Edeyemi: Even more disappointing that Arunaud in Grade 3 at
Fairyhouse when finishing stone last, having won well at Clonmel to follow
several solid efforts (then second to Une Artiste at Cheltenham Festival);
Needs more than that today and held by Darroun and Shadow Catcher on
Punchestown form earlier.
His Excellency: Has been severely held back by his tendency
to swish tail under pressure, running shockers in maiden company before running
on Grade 2 second; Masterful ride when delivered late and perfectly to land
Grade 2 but exposed by several of these and hard to fancy as he has something
to find.
Hisaabaat: Had become a little frustrating after unseating
on debut with 3 runner up efforts but chose perfect time to break his maiden
with Grade 1 success (blinkers), following route of very useful Unaccompanied
for same yard; Really good second in Triumph makes him arguable form choice but
get feeling that better ground improved him a lot there despite previous
soft/heavy ground form and that the question today.
Secret Edge: Made more than a few mistakes on debut at
Chepstow when only just losing out late on and major improvement from that led
to him winning Listed juvenile hurdle, when making good use of stamina late on
(followed up in easier company since); Shaped as if he would be suited by a
step up in trip when third in the Finale Juvenile Hurdle and then again better
when third behind Battonier at Cheltenham, although he could never get into the
Neptune; Needs more here despite clearly handling cut.
Shadow Catcher: Made a great hurdling debut (sent off
favourite) when beating Darroun (who made several jumping mistakes) on debut at
Punchestown; Travelled best for long way when second in Spring Juvenile Hurdle
(pulled hard and sloppy over the last two) when just behind Hissabaat and
didn’t get a great run throughought the Triumph, so has to be shown respect
here given his maiden hurdle win on heavy and one of the main players.
Unkown Rebel: Sent off favourite for hurdling debut but ran
wide on Paddock and never really into it after that, but 15 length beating of
Kazilan looks really good right now; Ground and class still a worry though.
Ut De Sivola: Looked to have a future when winning first two
starts (in heavy ground) with relative ease, although Hissabaat cost himself
with mistake at the last in Grade contest (Ut De Sivola pulled very hard that
day); Struck into himself when lacklustre seventh in Spring Juvenile Hurdle and
never in the Triumph but still stable choice of Ruby Walsh and trainer seems
very bullish about his chances.
Wingtips: Only had the three runs but big improvement on
every single one of them, namely when fifth in the Triumph Hurdle last time;
That has him down as a horse going the right way but
Maggie Neary: AW handicap winner off 79 on the flat who had
looked useful when landing maiden hurdle at Gowran but well beaten next time
out when upped in class at the same track and much more needed.
VERDICT: Triumph Hurdle runner up Hissabaat has to be
respected and he – like a few of the field – has form in ground listed as soft
to heavy, but he might have improved for the better conditions at Cheltenham
and there’s a feeling that Darroun and Shadow Catcher weren’t at their best on
that day – both handle testing condtions well enough based on their maiden
hurdle form. BALDER SUCCES is a fairly short priced favourite at just 15/8 but
he’s already won in heavy ground and looked as if he could go in any Grade when
romping home at Ascot before falling in the Triumph, while he also represents a
very strong juvenile team in Alan King.
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