8.57 Belmont Park
Vosburgh Invatational Stakes (Grade 1) (Dirt) (Class 1) (3YO plus)
Winner $223,581
Advice: 1 pt win Trappe Shot (10/3 Skybet)
Caixa Electroica: Had be en running (with success) at longer
trips, having taken third in the Met Mile after Grade 3 win; Drop down in trip
might not be for him and seems to be here just as coupled entry.
Calibrachoa: Just behind Trappe Shot having helped force the
early pace in the Vanderbilt, having previously been blown away by the same
horse in the True North; 16/1 is possibly generous but Trappe Shot preferred.
Force Freeze: Got the better of very useful sprinters Jersey
Town and Ravalo when an unfancied longshot at Momouth, his first win since February
2009; The lack of consistency worrying enough to avoid.
Aprority: Runner up in pair of strong Graded races before
missing intended assignment with a sore foot; Well held in Vanderbilt last time
and others make more appeal.
Euroears: Found new lease of life since being moved to Bob
Baffert, winning the Palo Verdes Handicap at Santa Anita, finishing second to
the Singapore star Rocket Man in the Dubai Golden Shaheen, and romping home in
the Bing Corsby Stakes, never seeing another horse; Did beat two top sprinters
there although one can’t help but this this is a steeper test (also helped by
Smiling Tiger missing break); Should go well though.
Giant Ryan: Won his fifth straight race when taking the
Smile Sprint handicap at Calder last time out, and dangerous to underestimate here;
Going to need career best to win this and it rests on whether he still have
improvement left to offer .
Justin Phillip: Impressive winner of the Woody Stephens
handicap earlier on in the season, taking his record here to wins from 2
starts; Efforts since have bettered that in defeat and real chance here if
enough horses take each – other on at the front, which is very possible;
Interesting.
Trappe Shot: 3 for 3 at Belmont and transformed as a
sprinter, despite agonising defeat to longshot Sean Avery on surprisingly speed
favouring Saratoga track; That still a top effort and rates a major player
here, with running style favourable.
VERDICT: The presence of Giant Ryan and Justin Phillip will
make sure that this isn’t a 2 horse race between Euroears and TRAPPE SHOT, with
the latter getting the vote on account of his running style and 3-3 record
here.
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