Saturday 1 October 2011

Qatar Prix Dollar 2011


4.25 Longchamp
Qatar Prix Dollar (Group 2) (Class 1)  (3YO plus)
Winner €74,373
Advice: 1 pt each/way Desert Blanc (10/1 Bet365)


Owner detailsDurban Thunder: Useful horse, as his form with Night Magic shows from this season, and took advantage of easy lead in his favoured soft conditions to turnover Famous Name; Penalty should ensure that’s turned around today and far better race.

Owner detailsCirrus Des Aigles: One of most prolific horses in training and enjoyed two easy wins of late  of his favoured soft ground, coasting on the bit last time; This harder under penalty but very few faults with his faster ground from, as he would have 2 Group 1 wins on quick surfaces this season had it not been for Goldikova and Sarafina; Hard to fault.  

Owner detailsByword: Enjoyed a fabulous time of things last season and seemed set for another big haul when unlucky second to Rjasman in Prix Du Muget; Only been seen twice since, one when disappointing in D’Isphan and other when seemingly back to something like his best in Chanitlly Group 3; Makes some appeal.


Owner detailsFamous Name: Has proven as good as ever this season in winning 4 races with ease, but easily held by So You Think in Tattersalls Gold Cup and still cannot claim that Elusive Group 1 win after odds on defeat in Germany; Should run well after brave effort in Irish Champion and that could be as good as he is.

Owner detailsShimraan: Given poor ride in this last year but not really ran to that level since, having been very poor on his second last start; Confidence boosting win should help but others readily preferred.

Owner detailsSaga Dream: Winner of small listed event here latest and would have better chance than odds suggest on strict formline through Cirrus Des Aigles but that flatters here and best to look elsewhere.

Owner detailsVagabond Shoes: Got within a length of Byword at Chantilly but that formline too might flatter him. Even though he followed it up with a good win against Biondetti; Flat effort in Turkey suggests he’s best left.

Owner detailsDesert Blanc: Should be unbeaten but for horrid passage when going for a four timer here in the Prince Du Orange; Wide draw in stall 11 again raises questions of what trip he could get, but vastly progressive and interesting here.

Owner detailsFrench Navy: Fancied by many of the back of an easy win in Goodwood Group 2 on second start for Mahmood Al Zarooni last time out, and while take was indeed a taking handicap, this is far harder; Still a very interesting contender but others preferred.

Owner detailsTheo Danon: Well beaten in German Derby but suspicion is that he didn’t fancy the ground that day – He’s got no soft ground wins – and his Group 3 win over Lindethaller is impressive form for the level, so of interest for value seekers.

Owner detailsNakayama Knight: Finished fourth of 18 in Japanese Derby on ground that was probably softer than ideal, and maybe distance was too long for him given his disappointing showing in the Prix Niel; Chance that’s brought him on, and if so, he’s well overpriced.

VERDICT: Cirrus Des Aigles had the makings of a bet but 7/4 is a touch too short now with a penalty. Byword, Famous Name and French Navy should go well but DESERT BLANC is a fascinating contender given the nature of his defeat last time and could be worth getting onside at 10’s. Nakyama Knight is interesting at 28/1 although there are no excuses – fitness apart – for his poor showing in the Niel. 

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