Tuesday, 10 May 2011

York Dante Festival - Musidora Stakes


2.30 York
Tattersalls Musidora Stakes (Fillies' Group 3) (Class 1)  (3YO only)
Winner £36,900

Pick: Barefoot Lady (win)

Amazing Beauty: Bred to do better this year, not seen until December 2010 on debut but evidently well liked (sent off at evens) when fourth then; Made amends when keeping on well (longer trip suited) at Dundalk and respected.

Arizona Jewel: Shaped as if all the ability was there on only run at two and already far better on reappearance, taking route 4/5 wide but still convincingly on top at finish in decent maiden for sure at Sandown; In form trainer has exceptional record in this, so one to be feared.

Barefoot Lady: Came right away on debut despite needing plenty of stoking, achieved a lot more when winning at St Ledger festival next, doing job just as nicely, and not disgraced when third and second in Group/Listed contests at backend of last year; Feisty winner of Nell Gwyn on return and further improvement when fifth in 1,000 Guineas latest; Could make a bold bid over the trip.

Joviality: Only lost out for lack of experience when third in Newmarket maiden but hard to know if she bettered that form when going down by 1/4 of a length to previous winner Naqshabban at Sandown latest; Too keen for own good early and cannot afford that here (small field again).

Whey Sauce: Travelled like the winner when fourth on debut to Mantoba (form, winner apart has generally worked out), so disappointing that she was so poor next time (very keen); Worth another chance but may really struggle here.

VERDICT: Notable that 6 of the last 10 winners have had a prior run that season for a trial which could go a long way to giving us a genuine Oaks contender. Henry Cecil’s record in this and recent form will mean that Arizona Jewel will be well supported, but it may pay to get with BAREFOOT LADY after an excellent effort in the 1,000 Guineas last time out, form which promises to see her on the premises if this hasn’t come too soon. 

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