4.15 Curragh
Etihad Airways Irish 1,000 Guineas (Fillies' Group 1) (Class
1) (3YO only)
Winner €188,500
Pick: Misty For Me (each/way)
Ballybacka Lady: Not always the most straightforward,
unplaced on two occasions but four length winner on final two year old start;
Improved out of all recognition (based on earlier form ) when registering
comfortable success in 1,000 Guineas trial; Should be taken seriously despite
marked step up in class.
Banimpire: One of most improved fillies this season, landing
pattern hat trick which included defeat of Derby contender Recital with fairly
confortable beating of Spin under a penalty in listed race latest; May still be
able to improve further and one of main contenders, with likely strong pace
enough to negate drop in trip.
Crysanthemum: Two from two so far, both in pattern company
when comfortably winning Listed race on debut and good attitude to gain Group 3
win over 7 furlongs here; Form of that race been well upheld since, and big
player if ready.
Claiomh Solais: Fancied and ran a decent race on debut in
average maiden before suffering heavy form reversal with third placed horse at
Leopardstown latest; Broke her maiden last time out but well behind Emiyna in
Athasi Stakes and no reason for form reversal.
Emiyna: Was backed like a good horse when winning only
modest 3 –YO maiden at Dundalk on seasonal reappearance, and far better when
only just holding off multiple Group winner Lolly For Dolly; That form some of
best in field, but she was getting caught at the line and must go further
today.
Handassa: Shaped as a filly with considerable potential when
making winning debut in maiden at the Curragh last year (backed as if she was a
very good sort beforehand); Ran promising race on reappearance when well behind
Ballybacka Lady and can do well again, but this demands more of her.
History Note: Taking winner on debut & only run at two
and didn’t get good trip when third behind Wild Wind and Empowering in trial
for this event at Leopardstown; Can do better here although stable would seem
to have better chances, so while not discounted, others preferred.
Laughing Lashes: Progressed with every run as a juvenile,
showing plenty of talent when runner-up in maiden at the Curragh, Group 3 at
Leopardstown, and in Moyglare; Did get better of Misty For Me in Debuante &
can be taken seriously if awful comeback in Guineas ignored.
Look At Me: Won despite inexperience on debut but that
factor too costly in Group 3 Oh So Sharp Stakes, pulling notably hard early
before making eye-catching late headway (awkward when asked for effort but
still clear of UAE Oaks/Derby winner Kawlah); Dissapointing on comeback but
that seasonal return (and was reported in season after race) so another major
player, albeit one with lot to prove.
Majestic Dubawi: Looked in need of the experience on debut
at Newbury in very good maiden, and went onto to confirm that promise by
winning maiden and then Group 3 at Ayr; Well beaten in Free Handicap on return
and hard to trust after that, up in trip/class.
Misty For Me: Hugely progressive through last year, stepping
off maiden win to come second in Debutante and reversing form with Laughing
Lashes to grab all the way win in Moyglare before outbattling Helleborine to
win Marcel Boussac; Well beaten on comeback in Guineas but clearly needed the
run and major form chance if that forgiven.
Rose Bonheur: Never out of first two in 5 starts, nearly
beating History Note as a two year old last season, and completed double with
impressive win in handicap latest; That said, stamina for this trip extremely
doubtful.
Seeharn: Looked a
filly with a future when winning her maiden and listed race, doing the job comfortably
when asked on that occasion; Not lived up to that promise over longer trips,
and well behind Emiyna latest.
Together: One of most consistent fillies of last year,
following Moyglare fourth with Fillies Mile second & although didn’t run to
that form afterwards, found best foot when making bold bid to come second in
Guineas at Newmarket last time out; Can go well if repeating that form.
Wild Wind: Ran with credit for much of last season and has
come back in good form this year, with Group 3 and Listed seconds; Carrer best
third in French 1,000 Guineas last time and if repeating that effort literally,
can have her say here.
VERDICT: A tightly contested renewal, as with the Newmarket
guineas. Aidan O’Brien (3 wins since 2000) seems to have a very strong hand,
and it might pay to side with him. His Together is favourite based on her 1,000
Guineas form, but it could be worth giving another chance to MISTY FOR ME. She
didn’t look prepared when 11th in the 1,000 Guineas, and with a run
under belt, can do much better today. The stable’s 2,000 Guineas winner Roderic
O’Connor had a similar profile.Of the other Ballydoyle runners, Wild Wind could
be significantly overpriced if literally repeating her form from last time,
while Look At Me has a lot to prove.
John Oxx’s Emyina holds a strong chance on her win last time out, but an
extra furlong could pose a problem, Laughing Lashes is held by the selection on
form, while Banimpire has been racing a lot of late.
No comments:
Post a Comment