2.40 Grand Prix De Deauville (Group 2) - Redwood and Monitor Closely seek to tighten the raiders' grip on this race but GOLDWAKI , whose much-anticipated elevation to Group 1 company resulted in a fourth-place finish in the Grand Prix de Paris, can take this. Shimraan, the lightly raced Shimraan, victorious last month in the Prix Eugene Adam, can give him most to do.
Advice: Back Goldwaki to beat Shimaraan at 11/10 with Ladbrokes
3.10 - Swiss Diva will have her supporters but I'm a Mariol man following a good effort last time and there could be a shock anyway.
Advice: Back Mariol to beat Swiss Diva at 5/6 with Ladbrokes.
Sunday, 29 August 2010
Saturday, 28 August 2010
Shadwell Travers Stakes 2010
10.46 Saratoga
Shadwell Travers Stakes (Grade 1) (3yo) (Dirt) (3yo) Winner £370,370
Ground: Fast Distance:1m2f Number Of Runners:12
Picks (all e/w / place, across board for 3 places): Trappe Shot, Super Saver, Fly Down
Miner’s Reserve: Showed a lot of promise when staying on third in Jim Dandy last time (major trail for this race),having looked set to come well beaten at top of straight; Should relish longer trip and not discounted by any means, although form of his Kentucky Derby run still leaves a lot of ground to be made up.
Trappe Shot: The improving buzz horse coming into Haskell, undefeated in four starts previosuly this season for Kieran McLaughlin, having overcome a poor start to win the Long Branch Stakes by 2 1/2 lengths on July 10 at Monmouth in his stakes debut and his first try at two turns; Creditable run in the Haskell, coming four wide into the straight and still beating most of the main players here; Major chance if staying extra furlong and no reason why he shouldn’t.
Admiral Alex: Made a winning start here over 1m1f at the track, and while time was 1.87 seconds slower than the Jim Dandy he seems sure to improve and trainer actually sent out a filly to win a Grade 1 on only her second start; This looks a very tall order even though.
First Dude: Probably better than he showed when fifth in the Florida Derby and was only 1l behind Paddy O´Prado in the Blue Grass on synthetics; Continued improvement when setting a hot pace and still lasting out front in the Preakness, only to be beaten by Lookin At Lucky; Did his usual thing again when leading until last 110yds in Belmont and grabbed third on line in Haskell; Hit frame on 3 of last 4 Grade 1 starts and sure to be right there again although he might have to go a touch quicker than ideal.
A Little Warm: Stepped up from an optional claimer to Grade 2 win in the Jim Dandy last time, beating 4 of today’s rivals in a race contested by 5 of the last 10 winners of this; That not looking like the greatest renewal, and with many runners coming from a very strong looking renewal of the Haskell, he may have it really tough.
Ice Box: Already proven in Grade 1 company, having won the Florida Derby and was making major ground at end of Kentucky Derby, having met with major interference beforehand, screaming that he was a 12 furlong horse; Ran an absolute stinker in Belmont and little better last time; Could run above odds if they go exceptionally fast but not trustworthy type.
Afleet Express: Very similar run to Miner’s Reserve, as he also showed a lot of promise when staying on third in Jim Dandy last time (major trail for this race),having looked set to come well beaten at top of straight; Similar profile but this is a much tougher race.
Fly Down: Although he flopped badly on first graded start he has improved a ton since, trashing Belmont winner Drosselmeyer, making him look unlucky to get beat given his ride that day; Disappointed in Jim Dandy but given lot of ground to make up, snatched up on rail late on and would have major chance if back to his best.
Friend Or Foe: Won 3 on bounce (all this year, unraced as juvenile) before a respectable fourth in the Jim Dandy; Did not look particularly progressive or unlucky there and has to pull out a lot more to be winning this.
Afleet Again: Favourably treated by weights when winning Withers Stakes and ran respectable race when tables were turned in Spend A Buck Stakes and Pegasus Stakes last twice; Hasn’t had the strong pace he truly needs since his last win though, and step up in trip and pace likely to suit, so the one to play at huge odds.
Super Saver: Although a fine ride and sloppy track (combined with dream run inside the rail) helped him a lot when winning the Kentucky Derby, he still showed himself to be a rapidly improving colt and won with plenty in hand; Disappointing when bombing in the Preakness but only having 2 weeks between races (connections worried beforehand) plausible excuse and chasing extremely hot pace cannot have helped; Same excuses could have been offered for the Haskell (chased hot pace) and not unusually, he looked in need of the run; Has all the ability when things go right and major player too.
VERDICT: You couldn’t get a more competitive event if you tried. There are no end of fantastic betting opportunities, with nice prices likely to be on offer as firms are going 5-1 the field. TRAPPE SHOT has been improving hand over fist and ran a very good race to come second to Lookin At Lucky in the Haskell conserving that he came 4 wide and must hold a decent chance if staying the stiff 10f at a fast pace here. It may be well worth giving another chance to SUPER SAVER, seeing as he looked on the way back in the Haskell and if given a sensible ride, could take all the beating. His speed will help him immensely too. Prices of 5 & 6/1 will do nicely for e/w purposes on the top 2. Alfeet Again should like the fast pace, and may be a ridiculously overpriced shot but FLY DOWN gets a special mention, being the guaranteed best stayer in the field and holding a high level of form. I’m going to e/w the 3.
Shadwell Travers Stakes (Grade 1) (3yo) (Dirt) (3yo) Winner £370,370
Ground: Fast Distance:1m2f Number Of Runners:12
Picks (all e/w / place, across board for 3 places): Trappe Shot, Super Saver, Fly Down
Miner’s Reserve: Showed a lot of promise when staying on third in Jim Dandy last time (major trail for this race),having looked set to come well beaten at top of straight; Should relish longer trip and not discounted by any means, although form of his Kentucky Derby run still leaves a lot of ground to be made up.
Trappe Shot: The improving buzz horse coming into Haskell, undefeated in four starts previosuly this season for Kieran McLaughlin, having overcome a poor start to win the Long Branch Stakes by 2 1/2 lengths on July 10 at Monmouth in his stakes debut and his first try at two turns; Creditable run in the Haskell, coming four wide into the straight and still beating most of the main players here; Major chance if staying extra furlong and no reason why he shouldn’t.
Admiral Alex: Made a winning start here over 1m1f at the track, and while time was 1.87 seconds slower than the Jim Dandy he seems sure to improve and trainer actually sent out a filly to win a Grade 1 on only her second start; This looks a very tall order even though.
First Dude: Probably better than he showed when fifth in the Florida Derby and was only 1l behind Paddy O´Prado in the Blue Grass on synthetics; Continued improvement when setting a hot pace and still lasting out front in the Preakness, only to be beaten by Lookin At Lucky; Did his usual thing again when leading until last 110yds in Belmont and grabbed third on line in Haskell; Hit frame on 3 of last 4 Grade 1 starts and sure to be right there again although he might have to go a touch quicker than ideal.
A Little Warm: Stepped up from an optional claimer to Grade 2 win in the Jim Dandy last time, beating 4 of today’s rivals in a race contested by 5 of the last 10 winners of this; That not looking like the greatest renewal, and with many runners coming from a very strong looking renewal of the Haskell, he may have it really tough.
Ice Box: Already proven in Grade 1 company, having won the Florida Derby and was making major ground at end of Kentucky Derby, having met with major interference beforehand, screaming that he was a 12 furlong horse; Ran an absolute stinker in Belmont and little better last time; Could run above odds if they go exceptionally fast but not trustworthy type.
Afleet Express: Very similar run to Miner’s Reserve, as he also showed a lot of promise when staying on third in Jim Dandy last time (major trail for this race),having looked set to come well beaten at top of straight; Similar profile but this is a much tougher race.
Fly Down: Although he flopped badly on first graded start he has improved a ton since, trashing Belmont winner Drosselmeyer, making him look unlucky to get beat given his ride that day; Disappointed in Jim Dandy but given lot of ground to make up, snatched up on rail late on and would have major chance if back to his best.
Friend Or Foe: Won 3 on bounce (all this year, unraced as juvenile) before a respectable fourth in the Jim Dandy; Did not look particularly progressive or unlucky there and has to pull out a lot more to be winning this.
Afleet Again: Favourably treated by weights when winning Withers Stakes and ran respectable race when tables were turned in Spend A Buck Stakes and Pegasus Stakes last twice; Hasn’t had the strong pace he truly needs since his last win though, and step up in trip and pace likely to suit, so the one to play at huge odds.
Super Saver: Although a fine ride and sloppy track (combined with dream run inside the rail) helped him a lot when winning the Kentucky Derby, he still showed himself to be a rapidly improving colt and won with plenty in hand; Disappointing when bombing in the Preakness but only having 2 weeks between races (connections worried beforehand) plausible excuse and chasing extremely hot pace cannot have helped; Same excuses could have been offered for the Haskell (chased hot pace) and not unusually, he looked in need of the run; Has all the ability when things go right and major player too.
VERDICT: You couldn’t get a more competitive event if you tried. There are no end of fantastic betting opportunities, with nice prices likely to be on offer as firms are going 5-1 the field. TRAPPE SHOT has been improving hand over fist and ran a very good race to come second to Lookin At Lucky in the Haskell conserving that he came 4 wide and must hold a decent chance if staying the stiff 10f at a fast pace here. It may be well worth giving another chance to SUPER SAVER, seeing as he looked on the way back in the Haskell and if given a sensible ride, could take all the beating. His speed will help him immensely too. Prices of 5 & 6/1 will do nicely for e/w purposes on the top 2. Alfeet Again should like the fast pace, and may be a ridiculously overpriced shot but FLY DOWN gets a special mention, being the guaranteed best stayer in the field and holding a high level of form. I’m going to e/w the 3.
Saratoga Tonight - Supporting races (King's Bishop, Ballerina Stakes)
Once again i've been unable to do supporting races but hopefully I can give a winner or two. The whole card is live on ATR and you'd be mad to miss it.
Ballerina Stakes (Grade 1) 7f, dirt, 3yo+ f/m (9.38pm) - First Passage is a late runner who may well find an abundance of speed playing to her strengths, but the focus will be on how INFORMED DECISION (win) performs on fares on dirt ahead of a repeat bid in the Breeders' Cup Filly & Mare Sprint, which she won last year on the Pro-Ride.
King's Bishop Stakes (Grade 1) 7f, dirt, 3yo (10.10pm BST) - I'm very interested in Hurricane Ike, who should love the blistering pace that's going to be set. in a 8 runner race, he would be the each/way pick. As things stand, it's a hard choice between D'Funnybone and DISCREETLY MINE will be favoured to turn the tables ( have met twice before, both times at this 7f trip, with the latter coming out on top on both occasions by a cumulative aggregate of nine lengths) after a couple of noteworthy efforts, including a blistering victory over half a furlong shorter earlier this month in Grade 2 company. The fact he handles the track is the clincher over a horse who was beaten was beaten at 1-9 at Calder on his most recent start.
Ballerina Stakes (Grade 1) 7f, dirt, 3yo+ f/m (9.38pm) - First Passage is a late runner who may well find an abundance of speed playing to her strengths, but the focus will be on how INFORMED DECISION (win) performs on fares on dirt ahead of a repeat bid in the Breeders' Cup Filly & Mare Sprint, which she won last year on the Pro-Ride.
King's Bishop Stakes (Grade 1) 7f, dirt, 3yo (10.10pm BST) - I'm very interested in Hurricane Ike, who should love the blistering pace that's going to be set. in a 8 runner race, he would be the each/way pick. As things stand, it's a hard choice between D'Funnybone and DISCREETLY MINE will be favoured to turn the tables ( have met twice before, both times at this 7f trip, with the latter coming out on top on both occasions by a cumulative aggregate of nine lengths) after a couple of noteworthy efforts, including a blistering victory over half a furlong shorter earlier this month in Grade 2 company. The fact he handles the track is the clincher over a horse who was beaten was beaten at 1-9 at Calder on his most recent start.
Hopeful Stakes 2010
3.20 Newmarket
Novae Bloodstock Insurance Hopeful Stakes (Listed) (Class 1) (3YO plus)
Winner £21,005 - 8 run
Picks: Bated Breath (win), Mon Cadeaux (each/way)
Sir Gerry: Still a very smart sprinter on his day, last gasp win coming in Salisbury listed race in June; Seems to handle most ground and while he hasn’t matched that form, this trip is his optimum and should be taken seriously.
Advanced: Smart performer on day and no problem with today’s ground but has been put in place in good handicaps of late and more needed back on listed terms.
Doncaster Rover: Stepped his form up to a new level when fourth in Group 2 Duke Of York Stakes, and has run series of good races this season in better company than this on ratings; Could not get in a blow from very high draw at Chester and this likely to suit better.
Baited Breath: Quickly developed into useful sprinter, winning 3 on the bounce (maiden, 2 handicaps) before unbeaten run came to end on much slower ground than his first 2 wins 2 weeks ago; Ground was unknown then but handled it fine and arguably unlucky horse of race, forced to make his challenge wide while first 2 were on favoured stands rail; 3lbs better off with winner Dafeef and should take all the beating.
Dafeef: Good winner of 7f Salisbury handicap in May but looked quirky in small fields the next twice; Showed his true colours when things fell right for him (drop back in trip looking to suit) in C&D Handicap; Should be right there if repeating that form literally.
Mon Cadeux: Won twice as 2 year old and made a decent debut on seasonal reappearance when third behind Society Rock in 6f listed contest; Well beaten at Royal Ascot and in French Guineas but this much more suitable test and being a son of Cadux Genereaux (progeny have 9 & 11% strike rates on soft and heavy ground) chould be suited to conditions better than most; Chance.
Rodrigo De Torres: Hard to make a case on face of profile, having not built on good 7f win at Doncaster earlier this year and untried on ground slower than good; However drop back in trip may be making of a freegoing sort and wouldn’t need to find a whole lot on form to trouble this field; Dangerous if erring lead.
Caledonia Princess: Notched up hat – trick in quick ground Windsor Handicaps but the latest off just a mark of 75 and whole lot more on ground she hasn’t tried before.
VERDICT: A competitive but ordinary looking race for the Grade. If Rodrigo De Torres was given an easy lead he could be very hard to catch. That said, he must prove he handles the ground. The lameness worries over BAITED BREATH are hardly encouraging but if he does run, he’s well worth another chance based on his unlucky third last time. He should reverse form with Dafeef, who will be hard to pass if in the same mood as last time. Mon Cadeaux is a decent each/way alternative while Sir Gerry and Doncaster Rover should take a hand if at their best.
Novae Bloodstock Insurance Hopeful Stakes (Listed) (Class 1) (3YO plus)
Winner £21,005 - 8 run
Picks: Bated Breath (win), Mon Cadeaux (each/way)
Sir Gerry: Still a very smart sprinter on his day, last gasp win coming in Salisbury listed race in June; Seems to handle most ground and while he hasn’t matched that form, this trip is his optimum and should be taken seriously.
Advanced: Smart performer on day and no problem with today’s ground but has been put in place in good handicaps of late and more needed back on listed terms.
Doncaster Rover: Stepped his form up to a new level when fourth in Group 2 Duke Of York Stakes, and has run series of good races this season in better company than this on ratings; Could not get in a blow from very high draw at Chester and this likely to suit better.
Baited Breath: Quickly developed into useful sprinter, winning 3 on the bounce (maiden, 2 handicaps) before unbeaten run came to end on much slower ground than his first 2 wins 2 weeks ago; Ground was unknown then but handled it fine and arguably unlucky horse of race, forced to make his challenge wide while first 2 were on favoured stands rail; 3lbs better off with winner Dafeef and should take all the beating.
Dafeef: Good winner of 7f Salisbury handicap in May but looked quirky in small fields the next twice; Showed his true colours when things fell right for him (drop back in trip looking to suit) in C&D Handicap; Should be right there if repeating that form literally.
Mon Cadeux: Won twice as 2 year old and made a decent debut on seasonal reappearance when third behind Society Rock in 6f listed contest; Well beaten at Royal Ascot and in French Guineas but this much more suitable test and being a son of Cadux Genereaux (progeny have 9 & 11% strike rates on soft and heavy ground) chould be suited to conditions better than most; Chance.
Rodrigo De Torres: Hard to make a case on face of profile, having not built on good 7f win at Doncaster earlier this year and untried on ground slower than good; However drop back in trip may be making of a freegoing sort and wouldn’t need to find a whole lot on form to trouble this field; Dangerous if erring lead.
Caledonia Princess: Notched up hat – trick in quick ground Windsor Handicaps but the latest off just a mark of 75 and whole lot more on ground she hasn’t tried before.
VERDICT: A competitive but ordinary looking race for the Grade. If Rodrigo De Torres was given an easy lead he could be very hard to catch. That said, he must prove he handles the ground. The lameness worries over BAITED BREATH are hardly encouraging but if he does run, he’s well worth another chance based on his unlucky third last time. He should reverse form with Dafeef, who will be hard to pass if in the same mood as last time. Mon Cadeaux is a decent each/way alternative while Sir Gerry and Doncaster Rover should take a hand if at their best.
Windflower March Stakes 2010
2.30 Goodwood
Windflower March Stakes (Listed) (Class 1) (3YO plus)
Winner £22,708 - 6 run
Pick: Wajir (win)
Bergo: Best known as very useful novice chaser, winning 4 on bounce before highly respectable fourth in Maghull Novice’s Chase; Gained good form on flat though, winning competitive renewal of Queen Alexandra Stakes last time; Holds speed to play a part here and yard won this last year but ground a definite concern.
Drunken Salior: Now a solid performer for Luca Cumani team, winning twice in Dubai last winter and running well upped in trip this season, coming second in Listed York handicap and doing well to come second to Free Agent giving 12lbs in weight; That rival absent but will take the beating none the less.
Golden Sword: Brave front runner for the Ballydoyle team last year in both English and Irish Derby and King George, and ran to similar level when third in Dubai Group 2 race; Porgess has been slow since them but looked back on right road when fourth in 1m5f Newbury Group 3 and if repeating building on that in this ground, should be there at finish.
Wajir: Progressed into really useful stayer for Elle Leouche last season and made satisfactory Godolphin debut when third in Yorkshire Cup; Well beaten in Hardwicke and Goodwood Cup but this ground should suit a lot more, and this is a drop in class at his right trip; Major claims.
Deportment: Ran well when fourth to Opinion Poll at Nottingham on reappearance, having won handicap at backend of last year; Well held in Germany since and that gives her lot to find back from break.
Cacus: Steadily improving type and was making headway when third in Bahrain Trophy last time (form solid for the level) and this greater test should help but unproven on ground (well beaten on soft ground debut) and may need a bit more to tackle some useful older rivals.
VERDICT: The best recent form goes to Drunken Salior, who should be right there at the finish having handled heavy ground in Ireland, but WAJIR holds form at least as good on his preferred underfoot going and this is a drop in class from what he’s done this season.
Windflower March Stakes (Listed) (Class 1) (3YO plus)
Winner £22,708 - 6 run
Pick: Wajir (win)
Bergo: Best known as very useful novice chaser, winning 4 on bounce before highly respectable fourth in Maghull Novice’s Chase; Gained good form on flat though, winning competitive renewal of Queen Alexandra Stakes last time; Holds speed to play a part here and yard won this last year but ground a definite concern.
Drunken Salior: Now a solid performer for Luca Cumani team, winning twice in Dubai last winter and running well upped in trip this season, coming second in Listed York handicap and doing well to come second to Free Agent giving 12lbs in weight; That rival absent but will take the beating none the less.
Golden Sword: Brave front runner for the Ballydoyle team last year in both English and Irish Derby and King George, and ran to similar level when third in Dubai Group 2 race; Porgess has been slow since them but looked back on right road when fourth in 1m5f Newbury Group 3 and if repeating building on that in this ground, should be there at finish.
Wajir: Progressed into really useful stayer for Elle Leouche last season and made satisfactory Godolphin debut when third in Yorkshire Cup; Well beaten in Hardwicke and Goodwood Cup but this ground should suit a lot more, and this is a drop in class at his right trip; Major claims.
Deportment: Ran well when fourth to Opinion Poll at Nottingham on reappearance, having won handicap at backend of last year; Well held in Germany since and that gives her lot to find back from break.
Cacus: Steadily improving type and was making headway when third in Bahrain Trophy last time (form solid for the level) and this greater test should help but unproven on ground (well beaten on soft ground debut) and may need a bit more to tackle some useful older rivals.
VERDICT: The best recent form goes to Drunken Salior, who should be right there at the finish having handled heavy ground in Ireland, but WAJIR holds form at least as good on his preferred underfoot going and this is a drop in class from what he’s done this season.
Chichester Observer Prestige Stakes 2010
Goodwood 3.40
Chichester Observer Prestige Stakes (Fillies' Group 3) (Class 1) (2YO only)
Winner £22,708 - 7 run
Pick: Cape Dollar (win)
Cape Dollar: Showed plenty of promise on her debut when third at Newmarket and took major step forward when winning at Newbury last time, coming away in good style from a solid yardstick in Zanazzi; Had nice break since and looks set to take a big hand.
Cochabamba: Made good start to life, following debut win with second in listed race over this trip at Sandown; Form of that race is working out nicely and not to be underestimated although there are plenty of very promising fillies in this field.
Date With Destiny: Came into racing with big reputation, being the only offspring of George Washington and fetching 320,000Gns at yearling sales; Justified hype with smooth success in Newbury maiden and should be up to this Grade; Major contender.
Masaya: Was out of depth in Queen Mary at Royal Ascot, and looked exposed last time when second in maiden off lightweight; This probably going to be too tough if she can’t win off 7-12.
Princess Severus: Emphatic debut win, but that in ordinary maiden at Leicester over 6f; Trip, ground and track all possible stumbling blocks and this is a very tough task on only second run.
Sonning Rose: Shown pretty high level of form on all 3 runs, coming second in Gimcack second Crown Prosecutor on this track on debut; Did well to win on second run before good second in Chesham Stakes at Royal Ascot; Form of that race working out well for listed event and that run probably sets the standard.
Theyskens Theory: Could hardly have been more impressive in winning her maiden, making all in very smart time and drawing away from a subsequent winner by 5 lengths; Deal going for her and exciting prospect.
VERDICT: A Group 3 more about potential than proven form, with none proven on ground slower than good. Special mention is given to Date With Destiny, who would be a highly desirable winner being the only progeny of George Washington. As things stand, this is an incredibly difficult one but the pick might just be CAPE DOLLAR, who holds a very fair chance on form and may have been overlooked after his ready win last time by many in favour of the impressive Newmarket winner Theyskens´ Theory. Sonning Rose may well give her most to think about if literally repeating her run last time.
Chichester Observer Prestige Stakes (Fillies' Group 3) (Class 1) (2YO only)
Winner £22,708 - 7 run
Pick: Cape Dollar (win)
Cape Dollar: Showed plenty of promise on her debut when third at Newmarket and took major step forward when winning at Newbury last time, coming away in good style from a solid yardstick in Zanazzi; Had nice break since and looks set to take a big hand.
Cochabamba: Made good start to life, following debut win with second in listed race over this trip at Sandown; Form of that race is working out nicely and not to be underestimated although there are plenty of very promising fillies in this field.
Date With Destiny: Came into racing with big reputation, being the only offspring of George Washington and fetching 320,000Gns at yearling sales; Justified hype with smooth success in Newbury maiden and should be up to this Grade; Major contender.
Masaya: Was out of depth in Queen Mary at Royal Ascot, and looked exposed last time when second in maiden off lightweight; This probably going to be too tough if she can’t win off 7-12.
Princess Severus: Emphatic debut win, but that in ordinary maiden at Leicester over 6f; Trip, ground and track all possible stumbling blocks and this is a very tough task on only second run.
Sonning Rose: Shown pretty high level of form on all 3 runs, coming second in Gimcack second Crown Prosecutor on this track on debut; Did well to win on second run before good second in Chesham Stakes at Royal Ascot; Form of that race working out well for listed event and that run probably sets the standard.
Theyskens Theory: Could hardly have been more impressive in winning her maiden, making all in very smart time and drawing away from a subsequent winner by 5 lengths; Deal going for her and exciting prospect.
VERDICT: A Group 3 more about potential than proven form, with none proven on ground slower than good. Special mention is given to Date With Destiny, who would be a highly desirable winner being the only progeny of George Washington. As things stand, this is an incredibly difficult one but the pick might just be CAPE DOLLAR, who holds a very fair chance on form and may have been overlooked after his ready win last time by many in favour of the impressive Newmarket winner Theyskens´ Theory. Sonning Rose may well give her most to think about if literally repeating her run last time.
Celebration Mile 2010
3.05 Goodwood
totesport.com Celebration Mile (Group 2) (Class 1) (3YO plus)
Winner £56,770 -
Pick: Main Aim
Main Aim: Started last year on a real streak, winning this very race, beating Arabian Gleam, Asset and Tariq; Good effort when second in Group 1 July Cup, but amiss on next 2 starts last year; Has comeback as good as ever this year, and sets standard on fourth in Goodwood Cup last time; Handles soft ground.
Vitznau: Been running well in good handicaps of late, but has a lot on his plate here; Well placed.
Summer Fete: Lightly-raced filly who won Oak Tree Stakes before unsuccessful crack at Group 1 company in Prix Du Moulin; Had presumably been kept fresh for follow up, so surprising when not given hard time when seventh in same race; Well beaten again last time and while small field may suit, might have a bit to find.
Poet’s Voice: Showed plenty of potential for all that he was very keen in the early part of last season (Broke out of stalls and managed to lose the Acomb Stakes by pulling to hard); Showed what he could do when beating Viscount Nelson in Champagne Stakes only to then run below his best when fourth in Middle Park; Hasn’t run anywhere near best this season but back to form last time and best sets standard, but ground a worry.
VERDICT: A fairly weak looking renewal, although the top 2 on form are very good sorts in their own right. MAIN AIM has proven soft ground ability, earning him the vote over arguable form pick Poet’s Voice.
totesport.com Celebration Mile (Group 2) (Class 1) (3YO plus)
Winner £56,770 -
Pick: Main Aim
Main Aim: Started last year on a real streak, winning this very race, beating Arabian Gleam, Asset and Tariq; Good effort when second in Group 1 July Cup, but amiss on next 2 starts last year; Has comeback as good as ever this year, and sets standard on fourth in Goodwood Cup last time; Handles soft ground.
Vitznau: Been running well in good handicaps of late, but has a lot on his plate here; Well placed.
Summer Fete: Lightly-raced filly who won Oak Tree Stakes before unsuccessful crack at Group 1 company in Prix Du Moulin; Had presumably been kept fresh for follow up, so surprising when not given hard time when seventh in same race; Well beaten again last time and while small field may suit, might have a bit to find.
Poet’s Voice: Showed plenty of potential for all that he was very keen in the early part of last season (Broke out of stalls and managed to lose the Acomb Stakes by pulling to hard); Showed what he could do when beating Viscount Nelson in Champagne Stakes only to then run below his best when fourth in Middle Park; Hasn’t run anywhere near best this season but back to form last time and best sets standard, but ground a worry.
VERDICT: A fairly weak looking renewal, although the top 2 on form are very good sorts in their own right. MAIN AIM has proven soft ground ability, earning him the vote over arguable form pick Poet’s Voice.
Tuesday, 24 August 2010
Jumps Season - 10 to follow, and some to remember.
Don't get me wrong, I love the flat. I love it even over jumps, as there is so much quality every single weekend and then the end of season parties that are the Breeders Cup and Arc meets, not to mention racing from US, France, Italy, Germany, Ireland and Austalia and NZ. It's a wonderful marathon but we are definitely heading towards the latter stages now with the York Ebor meeting underour belt and the St Leger meeting at Doncaster the next on the menu, and the Arc trials not too far away.
There are a lot of jumps fans on twitter though, and a mid season 10 to follow might spark some interesting debate and I wanted to show my hand for the time being at least. If you have any opinions, tweet me back at twitter.com/KeejayOV - Happy reading.
1. Sizing Europe – Always shown promise and was well on his way to winning Champion Hurdle when breaking down coming to two out, but was a revelation over fences last season, jumping like a stag when winning 5 out of his 6 chase starts, including a strong renewal of the Arkle. Stepped up into open all aged company with credit at the Punchestown Festival, coming third after seeming set to forge clear, having given a big leap at the second last. I thought there were no excuses but apparently he might have liked a stronger gallop and the sky could still be the limit this season, over any trip.
2. Peddlers Cross – Bolted up on all of his hurdling starts last season, looking like an immense prospect when bolting up by 19 lengths in heavy ground. Proved he was top novice hurdler when winning Neptune (strong renewal, form promising) and then being one of few horses to follow up at Aintree festival. Could be anything but looks possible champion hurdle contender.
3. Big Bucks – Only “champion” of 2009 to actually follow up in 2010, winning Long Distance, Long Walk, World and Liverpool Hurdles. Looked even better in those races and set to dominate again, although though tests could be around the corner in the shape of Quevga.
4. What A Friend – Always been a quirky type but had talent in abundance, and proved he was up to top table level when winning Lexus Chase at Christmas. Followed that p with Success at Aintree festival, jumping smoothly an actually finding fair bit off the bridle. Wind operation may well have sorted his head carriage out, and that can only help him regarding festival racing. Major player this year.
5. Go Native – Already proven his festival credentials, having won the Supreme Novice’s Hurdle 2 years ago. Showed best form of hurdlers throughout last season, winning Fighting Fifth and Christmas Hurdles before disappointing at Cheltenham. He had a valid excuses however, landing at an awkward angle after the second and stretching a muscle, the reason behind his disappointment. Already had an each/way for the Champion at 20’s in places and many horses have disappointed in Champion only to come back and this horse has a level of form that entitles him to win major hurdles again this season.
6. Pandorama – Was the one time favourite for Neptune Hurdle, before Mikael D’Augenet came onto the scene. Got off to excellent start over fences though, winning beginners chase and making instant step up to Grade 1 company when winning Drinmore Novices Chase. Showed how hard he could battle when challenged win winning Grade 1 Knight Frank Novice Chase at Leopardstown, beating the eventual RSA winner Weapon’s Amnesty. Would have been my bet in the RSA but for him getting injured, but still holds all the potential and great jumper too.
7. Mikael D’Augenet - Had looked something special since moving to Ireland from France, winning all of his four races in his first Irish novice hurdling season, three of which had come in Graded company (Barry & Sandra Kelly Memorial Novice Hurdle, Slaney Novice Hurdle, Moscow Flyer Novice Hurdle). Looked superstar when bolting up in Ballymore Hurdle and Land Rover Hurdle at Cheltenham and Punchestown, before being injured last season, Wisely saved for this campaign, and has scope, speed, class, and jumping to make it at top level chasing.
8. Zaynar – Looked top class when winning Triumph Hurdle 2 seasons ago, and looked set for big things after winning Ascot and Reelkeel Hurdles. Shocked at 1/18 at Kelso but that run best forgotten, and excellent third in Champion and Aintree Hurdles, looking ready for step up to 3 miles in latter, Wherever he goes, top prospect.
9. Quevga – Pulled off a feat that many great horses would struggle to emulate when winning at Cheltenham on her seasonal reappearance, dominating mare’s hurdle field. Then boloted up in Ladbrokes World Hurdle, making her the main threat to Big Bucks.
10. Tarla - Lightly raced and will be unknown to most, having come through same route as Mikael D'Haguenet from France but made instant winning start in Grade 3 mares hurdle at Punchestown festival, jumping well and winning cosily. With Quevga set to go for the World Hurdle, she looks to have the race at her Mercy. Like famous, I’ll be on at 5/1.
Others that didn’t make the list that a lot like/mentioned or that I like personally.
Kauto/Denman – What is there we don’t already know??? It would be a brilliant boost for racing if they were back to their best though, but they will have it tough.
Binocular –Amazingly high class on his day, winning the Champion Hurdle in style of possibly great hurdler. Inconsistency is his biggest problem though, and he is very hard to catch at his peak, as was shown by last season’s blowouts. May well become a great hurdler, or a value e/w bet If he blows out again.
Big Zeb – Just like Binocular, very high class on his day and easily up to Champion Chase Class as he showed when romping away with it this year. Jumping may still be an issue though but one very much to be treated like Binocular (back e/w for Champion race at festival if blowing out through season)
Imperial Commander – Another who is very high class in right conditions and it’s not necessarily just at Cheltenham. Seeing as he pushed Kauto to a nose at Haydock in the Betfair Chase. Will have it tougher this season though, and trends are against him.
Menorah – Clearly a high class hurdler but lucky to win Supreme (Get Me Out Of Here came very late, Dunguib would have won for slicker hurdling and better trip)and disappointingly beaten with no penalty at Aintree.
Dunguib – I’m still adamant that he would have won the Supreme Novices had he jumped better or not gone so wide. He may have been well over the top at Punchestown (hard race at Festival) and ruined his chances by pulling very hard. Will be very interesting to see how he performs when settled, and I wouldn't be so quick to write him off, with connections planning to keep him fresh for Cheltenham. A good e/w flyer for the Champion.
Cue Card – Hacked up on debut by 6 lengths before smashing his rivals by eight lengths on only his second career start at the Cheltenham Festival in the Champion Bumper. The form looks good enogh at this stage (second Grade 2 winner beforehand, 5th and 6th were 1-2 in Aintree Bumper and 19th had won Grade 1 since with 7th and 13th winning as well) but can’t take a price on him until he proves he can really jump.
Reve De Sivola – Did very well in major novice hurdles all last season and nice win in Challow Hurdle conserving he hit every hurdle but was eventually well beaten in second at the festival behind Peddlers Cross (also well behind Tell Massini) and had the advantage of a previous season’s racing.
Captain Cee Bee – Obviously top class and put together a slick round of jumping when winning Champion Novices Chase at Punchestown. However, blood vessel problems (has blown out twice in past) are major worry, as is his jumping and I don’t think he would have come third in the actual champion chase.
Walkon – For all he looked like a chaser in the making before being injured, he was beaten pretty well by Zaynar and that is going to be no easy division to make waves in this year, so he has it all to do.
Long Run – Looked amazing when romping home with Feltham and Kingmaker Novices Chases, and still ran very well when third in the RSA Chase, having made mistakes at the 6th, 12th, 16th and 18th fences. Looks sure to go well but needs confirmation of assured jumping. Would still have to be a top prospect and personally hoping that he goes for the Paddy Power.
Mad Max – Had always been a chaser in making and anything he achieved in hurdling was going to be a bonus. Made perfect start to fencing at Kempton, so was disappointing when beaten at Doncaster but was giving away 7lbs to winner. Was travelling really well in the Arkle before blundering, and still finished fourth, correcting that by slamming Somersby at Aintree over 2m4f. Looks serious prospect but Somersby was kicked at Start of Manifesto Novices Chase, weakening form a little.
Oscar Whiskey – Made a very good start to his career, winning two national hunt flat races and two hurdle races, nothing coming under pressure in any of the four contests. Travelled very well when stepped up to top level in the Supreme Novice’s, and stuck on gamely for fourth. Still unexposed and would be a very interesting fencing prospect.
There are a lot of jumps fans on twitter though, and a mid season 10 to follow might spark some interesting debate and I wanted to show my hand for the time being at least. If you have any opinions, tweet me back at twitter.com/KeejayOV - Happy reading.
1. Sizing Europe – Always shown promise and was well on his way to winning Champion Hurdle when breaking down coming to two out, but was a revelation over fences last season, jumping like a stag when winning 5 out of his 6 chase starts, including a strong renewal of the Arkle. Stepped up into open all aged company with credit at the Punchestown Festival, coming third after seeming set to forge clear, having given a big leap at the second last. I thought there were no excuses but apparently he might have liked a stronger gallop and the sky could still be the limit this season, over any trip.
2. Peddlers Cross – Bolted up on all of his hurdling starts last season, looking like an immense prospect when bolting up by 19 lengths in heavy ground. Proved he was top novice hurdler when winning Neptune (strong renewal, form promising) and then being one of few horses to follow up at Aintree festival. Could be anything but looks possible champion hurdle contender.
3. Big Bucks – Only “champion” of 2009 to actually follow up in 2010, winning Long Distance, Long Walk, World and Liverpool Hurdles. Looked even better in those races and set to dominate again, although though tests could be around the corner in the shape of Quevga.
4. What A Friend – Always been a quirky type but had talent in abundance, and proved he was up to top table level when winning Lexus Chase at Christmas. Followed that p with Success at Aintree festival, jumping smoothly an actually finding fair bit off the bridle. Wind operation may well have sorted his head carriage out, and that can only help him regarding festival racing. Major player this year.
5. Go Native – Already proven his festival credentials, having won the Supreme Novice’s Hurdle 2 years ago. Showed best form of hurdlers throughout last season, winning Fighting Fifth and Christmas Hurdles before disappointing at Cheltenham. He had a valid excuses however, landing at an awkward angle after the second and stretching a muscle, the reason behind his disappointment. Already had an each/way for the Champion at 20’s in places and many horses have disappointed in Champion only to come back and this horse has a level of form that entitles him to win major hurdles again this season.
6. Pandorama – Was the one time favourite for Neptune Hurdle, before Mikael D’Augenet came onto the scene. Got off to excellent start over fences though, winning beginners chase and making instant step up to Grade 1 company when winning Drinmore Novices Chase. Showed how hard he could battle when challenged win winning Grade 1 Knight Frank Novice Chase at Leopardstown, beating the eventual RSA winner Weapon’s Amnesty. Would have been my bet in the RSA but for him getting injured, but still holds all the potential and great jumper too.
7. Mikael D’Augenet - Had looked something special since moving to Ireland from France, winning all of his four races in his first Irish novice hurdling season, three of which had come in Graded company (Barry & Sandra Kelly Memorial Novice Hurdle, Slaney Novice Hurdle, Moscow Flyer Novice Hurdle). Looked superstar when bolting up in Ballymore Hurdle and Land Rover Hurdle at Cheltenham and Punchestown, before being injured last season, Wisely saved for this campaign, and has scope, speed, class, and jumping to make it at top level chasing.
8. Zaynar – Looked top class when winning Triumph Hurdle 2 seasons ago, and looked set for big things after winning Ascot and Reelkeel Hurdles. Shocked at 1/18 at Kelso but that run best forgotten, and excellent third in Champion and Aintree Hurdles, looking ready for step up to 3 miles in latter, Wherever he goes, top prospect.
9. Quevga – Pulled off a feat that many great horses would struggle to emulate when winning at Cheltenham on her seasonal reappearance, dominating mare’s hurdle field. Then boloted up in Ladbrokes World Hurdle, making her the main threat to Big Bucks.
10. Tarla - Lightly raced and will be unknown to most, having come through same route as Mikael D'Haguenet from France but made instant winning start in Grade 3 mares hurdle at Punchestown festival, jumping well and winning cosily. With Quevga set to go for the World Hurdle, she looks to have the race at her Mercy. Like famous, I’ll be on at 5/1.
Others that didn’t make the list that a lot like/mentioned or that I like personally.
Kauto/Denman – What is there we don’t already know??? It would be a brilliant boost for racing if they were back to their best though, but they will have it tough.
Binocular –Amazingly high class on his day, winning the Champion Hurdle in style of possibly great hurdler. Inconsistency is his biggest problem though, and he is very hard to catch at his peak, as was shown by last season’s blowouts. May well become a great hurdler, or a value e/w bet If he blows out again.
Big Zeb – Just like Binocular, very high class on his day and easily up to Champion Chase Class as he showed when romping away with it this year. Jumping may still be an issue though but one very much to be treated like Binocular (back e/w for Champion race at festival if blowing out through season)
Imperial Commander – Another who is very high class in right conditions and it’s not necessarily just at Cheltenham. Seeing as he pushed Kauto to a nose at Haydock in the Betfair Chase. Will have it tougher this season though, and trends are against him.
Menorah – Clearly a high class hurdler but lucky to win Supreme (Get Me Out Of Here came very late, Dunguib would have won for slicker hurdling and better trip)and disappointingly beaten with no penalty at Aintree.
Dunguib – I’m still adamant that he would have won the Supreme Novices had he jumped better or not gone so wide. He may have been well over the top at Punchestown (hard race at Festival) and ruined his chances by pulling very hard. Will be very interesting to see how he performs when settled, and I wouldn't be so quick to write him off, with connections planning to keep him fresh for Cheltenham. A good e/w flyer for the Champion.
Cue Card – Hacked up on debut by 6 lengths before smashing his rivals by eight lengths on only his second career start at the Cheltenham Festival in the Champion Bumper. The form looks good enogh at this stage (second Grade 2 winner beforehand, 5th and 6th were 1-2 in Aintree Bumper and 19th had won Grade 1 since with 7th and 13th winning as well) but can’t take a price on him until he proves he can really jump.
Reve De Sivola – Did very well in major novice hurdles all last season and nice win in Challow Hurdle conserving he hit every hurdle but was eventually well beaten in second at the festival behind Peddlers Cross (also well behind Tell Massini) and had the advantage of a previous season’s racing.
Captain Cee Bee – Obviously top class and put together a slick round of jumping when winning Champion Novices Chase at Punchestown. However, blood vessel problems (has blown out twice in past) are major worry, as is his jumping and I don’t think he would have come third in the actual champion chase.
Walkon – For all he looked like a chaser in the making before being injured, he was beaten pretty well by Zaynar and that is going to be no easy division to make waves in this year, so he has it all to do.
Long Run – Looked amazing when romping home with Feltham and Kingmaker Novices Chases, and still ran very well when third in the RSA Chase, having made mistakes at the 6th, 12th, 16th and 18th fences. Looks sure to go well but needs confirmation of assured jumping. Would still have to be a top prospect and personally hoping that he goes for the Paddy Power.
Mad Max – Had always been a chaser in making and anything he achieved in hurdling was going to be a bonus. Made perfect start to fencing at Kempton, so was disappointing when beaten at Doncaster but was giving away 7lbs to winner. Was travelling really well in the Arkle before blundering, and still finished fourth, correcting that by slamming Somersby at Aintree over 2m4f. Looks serious prospect but Somersby was kicked at Start of Manifesto Novices Chase, weakening form a little.
Oscar Whiskey – Made a very good start to his career, winning two national hunt flat races and two hurdle races, nothing coming under pressure in any of the four contests. Travelled very well when stepped up to top level in the Supreme Novice’s, and stuck on gamely for fourth. Still unexposed and would be a very interesting fencing prospect.
Monday, 23 August 2010
Racing Today - 23 August (Kempton and Windsor)
Windsor
5.10 - INVINCIBLE RIDGE (win) was just pipped on his first attempt here a fortnight ago but should make no mistake here having learned from that. He may be a very short price but he should take all the beating.
5.45 – Rather Cool should like the longer trip and will improve for the run but INDICRACER (win) takes a steep drop in class and gets the vote.
Kempton
3.45 – The booking of Tom Queally catches the eye for LORD OF THE REINS (each/way), who is 3lbs lower than when last winning here (has won here four times) and is well drawn.
4.20 – A wide draw won’t help SET TO MUSIC (win) but the maiden she came fourth in at Newmarket last time looks very good for a newcomers’ only event, she should improve for that run, and the Michael Bell yard are going well of late.
4.55 – Although he’s been bypassed by Frankie Dettori (rides Sirocco Breeze) and has ever won around a turn, SECREY (win) is going to take all the beating If running to the same level he did when less than a length back in third in a Group 3 race at Salisbury earlier this month.
5.10 - INVINCIBLE RIDGE (win) was just pipped on his first attempt here a fortnight ago but should make no mistake here having learned from that. He may be a very short price but he should take all the beating.
5.45 – Rather Cool should like the longer trip and will improve for the run but INDICRACER (win) takes a steep drop in class and gets the vote.
Kempton
3.45 – The booking of Tom Queally catches the eye for LORD OF THE REINS (each/way), who is 3lbs lower than when last winning here (has won here four times) and is well drawn.
4.20 – A wide draw won’t help SET TO MUSIC (win) but the maiden she came fourth in at Newmarket last time looks very good for a newcomers’ only event, she should improve for that run, and the Michael Bell yard are going well of late.
4.55 – Although he’s been bypassed by Frankie Dettori (rides Sirocco Breeze) and has ever won around a turn, SECREY (win) is going to take all the beating If running to the same level he did when less than a length back in third in a Group 3 race at Salisbury earlier this month.
Sunday, 22 August 2010
Darley Prix Jean Romanet 2010
3.15 Deauville
Darley Prix Jean Romanet (fillies' Group 1) (Class 1) (4YO plus)
Winner €172,075 - 8 run
Picks: Stacelita (win), Shalanaya (each/way)
Shalanaya: Evidently slow learner last year, getting well beaten on first start in Group company last year but seriously progressive after that, creating a surprise when running out the 20-1 winner of the Opera last October and coming an unlucky fourth in the Queen Elizabeth II Commemorative Cup in Japan; Looked as good as ever when coming second to Cutlass Bay In Prix Ganay but well below par in Prince Of Wales’s Stakes; If back to form, major player.
Rainbow Dancing: Looks exposed on all evidence.
Board Meeting: Well beaten on both starts this year but would surely take major hand based on efforts in Vermille and L’Opera last season, only a couple of lengths behind major form players in Stacelita and Shalnnaya; One to keep note of if market signals right move.
Anatara: Promising Godolphin recruit who romped home with German group event when last seen there; Made perfect start for Goldophin when winning Princess Elizabeth Stakes at Epsom (gave 3lbs to Reggane)and ran respectable race in Windsor Forest; Better effort in Nassau last time out, but seemingly well held behind Stacelita.
Reggane: Ran excellent races last season, and Coronation Stakes second is an effort as good as any; Has been disappointing his year due to mitigating circumstances and while booking of Maxime Guyon is plus point, looks like she hasn’t trained on.
Celimane: Came with a beautifully timed late run to frustrate favourite Shemiyla in the Group 3 Prix de Flore at Saint-Cloud last year and has only gotten better since, progressing to a Group 1 fourth behind Plumania; Needs to pull out a little more as this is no easier.
Fleur Enchante: Won last time but has suffered last 5 defeats in Grade 3 or lesser company; Bypassed here.
Stacelita: Developed into a top class 10f – middle distance filly last year, romping him in Prix Saint Alary and French Oaks before very respectable efforts in Vermille and Arc (1m4f not suiting); Fair effort when fourth behind Goldikova but looked on way back to best when comfortably landing odds in Group 3 at Longchamp; Excellent second behind Midday and should take the beating under ideal conditions.
VERDICT: A good renewal with 3 high class fillies in attendance and a solid field of older performers. Conditions should be ideal for STACELITA, who looked back to something near her best when second to Midday in the Nassau last time, getting slightly impeded in the process. The winner has since won the Yorkshire Oaks and Stacelita should get back to winning ways, as she has the progressive Antara held on form. The biggest danger maybe a back to form SHALANAYA, who should not be ingored at an each/way price of 13/2.
Darley Prix Jean Romanet (fillies' Group 1) (Class 1) (4YO plus)
Winner €172,075 - 8 run
Picks: Stacelita (win), Shalanaya (each/way)
Shalanaya: Evidently slow learner last year, getting well beaten on first start in Group company last year but seriously progressive after that, creating a surprise when running out the 20-1 winner of the Opera last October and coming an unlucky fourth in the Queen Elizabeth II Commemorative Cup in Japan; Looked as good as ever when coming second to Cutlass Bay In Prix Ganay but well below par in Prince Of Wales’s Stakes; If back to form, major player.
Rainbow Dancing: Looks exposed on all evidence.
Board Meeting: Well beaten on both starts this year but would surely take major hand based on efforts in Vermille and L’Opera last season, only a couple of lengths behind major form players in Stacelita and Shalnnaya; One to keep note of if market signals right move.
Anatara: Promising Godolphin recruit who romped home with German group event when last seen there; Made perfect start for Goldophin when winning Princess Elizabeth Stakes at Epsom (gave 3lbs to Reggane)and ran respectable race in Windsor Forest; Better effort in Nassau last time out, but seemingly well held behind Stacelita.
Reggane: Ran excellent races last season, and Coronation Stakes second is an effort as good as any; Has been disappointing his year due to mitigating circumstances and while booking of Maxime Guyon is plus point, looks like she hasn’t trained on.
Celimane: Came with a beautifully timed late run to frustrate favourite Shemiyla in the Group 3 Prix de Flore at Saint-Cloud last year and has only gotten better since, progressing to a Group 1 fourth behind Plumania; Needs to pull out a little more as this is no easier.
Fleur Enchante: Won last time but has suffered last 5 defeats in Grade 3 or lesser company; Bypassed here.
Stacelita: Developed into a top class 10f – middle distance filly last year, romping him in Prix Saint Alary and French Oaks before very respectable efforts in Vermille and Arc (1m4f not suiting); Fair effort when fourth behind Goldikova but looked on way back to best when comfortably landing odds in Group 3 at Longchamp; Excellent second behind Midday and should take the beating under ideal conditions.
VERDICT: A good renewal with 3 high class fillies in attendance and a solid field of older performers. Conditions should be ideal for STACELITA, who looked back to something near her best when second to Midday in the Nassau last time, getting slightly impeded in the process. The winner has since won the Yorkshire Oaks and Stacelita should get back to winning ways, as she has the progressive Antara held on form. The biggest danger maybe a back to form SHALANAYA, who should not be ingored at an each/way price of 13/2.
Darley Prix Morny 2010
2.40 Deauville
Darley Prix Morny (Group 1) (Class 1) (2YO only)
Winner €240,905
Picks: Libranno (win), Irish Field (each/way)
Captain Chop: Looked like horse to follow when winning first 2, bolting up on debut before comfortably winning conditions event; Has since had limitations rather exposed though following defeats in Group company (behind 3 runners today on last 2 runs).
Dream Ahead: Smashed into on debut and didn’t disappointing, looking group class colt with a future when bolting in by 9 lengths on debut, still green as he hung badly left when clear; Could well be more to come and while this is a whole world tougher than his maiden must be taken seriously.
Moinesur Le Prince; Broke his maiden at fifth time of asking but that very weakish looking contest and looks second string of Eoghan O’Neill pair on jockey bookings and form.
Al Aasifh: Had been an easy winner at Haydock before not running his race in the Norfolk Stakes at Royal Ascot in Norfolk Stakes; Back to form in good style when taking Rose Bowl Stakes, staying on strongly from Cape To Rio; Form boosted since and powerful 2 year old team to be feared, but needs more.
Broox: Quickly made up into very smart colt after promising debut, winning 2 races at Chantilly very easily before a good second in the Prix Morny; Worth his place here but brushed aside rather easily by Irish Field last time though and no reason for form reversal.
Libranno: Looked useful when winning what turned out to be an excellent maiden on the Newmarket July Course and has gone onto win July and Richmond Stakes, making all in gutsy fashion on both occasions; Had to do it under a penalty last time and major player, particularly if there is more to come for leading 2 year old stable in Britain; Quicker the better for him.
Tin Horse: Looked like horse with future when bolting up by a combined total of 7 lengths on his first 2 starts, barely extended to beat Realisatrice and Zack Yield; Well beaten in Robert Papin last time and this simply tougher.
Irish Field: Seriously progressive horse, bolting up on first 2 starts in Spain and did hold Coventry entry until being withdrawn late on; Unlucky to get caught on line by Keratiya and improved for different tactics when impressive winner of Prix Robert Papin last time quickening clear of Broox in impressive style; That form makes him leading player here although switched of stable is an unknown factor.
Karatiya: Won pretty easy race in the Provinces first time out but showed that did not offer much of a test when getting caught due to greenness next time out; Improved for experience of that when coming with blistering late run to nail Irish Field in photo finish (possibly little lucky to get there when she did), benefitting from getting cover in race; Form got a big boost in shape of Prix Robert Papin win for runner up but he looked improved that time and was unlucky to be caught on day; Holds major chance although this is much tougher task.
Soraaya: Progressive sort for yard that won this in 2005, making no mistake when very impressive in 6f Hamilton maiden on debut, and stepped forward front in big way when second behind Memory in Cherry Hinton; Benefitted from excellent Ryan Moore ride and stiff finish when collaring Margot Did in Princess Margret Stakes, but that good form nonetheless and will be right there if improving.
Pontenuovo: Looked like a different horse from one on debut (understandably) when winning Prix De Turquie, overturning a good looking odds on prospect; While she should step forward again, so should many others and the form of her win doesn’t seem to be all that solid.
VERDICT: A very interesting and classy looking renewal of the Prix Morny, and it should produce a good winner, and it’ll be interesting to see if the winner goes on seeing as the majority of the field look predominantly like 2 year olds, and Irish Field is set to race in Hong Kong after this. The ground could have a big effect on this, and should it turn soft IRISH FIELD (each/way) is the suggested pick. He should reverse form with the progressive Karatiya, as he may have gone too soon in the Prix Du Bois. It’s hard to know which is the best of the British horses, as they must surely rate Dream Ahead highly to run him here after having missed the Acomb Stakes, while Soraaya’s win in the Princess Margaret Stakes is a good price of form but may have been thanks to an excellent Ryan Moore ride and stiff finish. Even saying that though, her form with Memory is excellent. You’d think that the Hannnon yard would have her covered with LIBRANNO, and gives as they are still on fire at the moment, he’s taken to come out on top of the British horses and possibly beat the French too.
Darley Prix Morny (Group 1) (Class 1) (2YO only)
Winner €240,905
Picks: Libranno (win), Irish Field (each/way)
Captain Chop: Looked like horse to follow when winning first 2, bolting up on debut before comfortably winning conditions event; Has since had limitations rather exposed though following defeats in Group company (behind 3 runners today on last 2 runs).
Dream Ahead: Smashed into on debut and didn’t disappointing, looking group class colt with a future when bolting in by 9 lengths on debut, still green as he hung badly left when clear; Could well be more to come and while this is a whole world tougher than his maiden must be taken seriously.
Moinesur Le Prince; Broke his maiden at fifth time of asking but that very weakish looking contest and looks second string of Eoghan O’Neill pair on jockey bookings and form.
Al Aasifh: Had been an easy winner at Haydock before not running his race in the Norfolk Stakes at Royal Ascot in Norfolk Stakes; Back to form in good style when taking Rose Bowl Stakes, staying on strongly from Cape To Rio; Form boosted since and powerful 2 year old team to be feared, but needs more.
Broox: Quickly made up into very smart colt after promising debut, winning 2 races at Chantilly very easily before a good second in the Prix Morny; Worth his place here but brushed aside rather easily by Irish Field last time though and no reason for form reversal.
Libranno: Looked useful when winning what turned out to be an excellent maiden on the Newmarket July Course and has gone onto win July and Richmond Stakes, making all in gutsy fashion on both occasions; Had to do it under a penalty last time and major player, particularly if there is more to come for leading 2 year old stable in Britain; Quicker the better for him.
Tin Horse: Looked like horse with future when bolting up by a combined total of 7 lengths on his first 2 starts, barely extended to beat Realisatrice and Zack Yield; Well beaten in Robert Papin last time and this simply tougher.
Irish Field: Seriously progressive horse, bolting up on first 2 starts in Spain and did hold Coventry entry until being withdrawn late on; Unlucky to get caught on line by Keratiya and improved for different tactics when impressive winner of Prix Robert Papin last time quickening clear of Broox in impressive style; That form makes him leading player here although switched of stable is an unknown factor.
Karatiya: Won pretty easy race in the Provinces first time out but showed that did not offer much of a test when getting caught due to greenness next time out; Improved for experience of that when coming with blistering late run to nail Irish Field in photo finish (possibly little lucky to get there when she did), benefitting from getting cover in race; Form got a big boost in shape of Prix Robert Papin win for runner up but he looked improved that time and was unlucky to be caught on day; Holds major chance although this is much tougher task.
Soraaya: Progressive sort for yard that won this in 2005, making no mistake when very impressive in 6f Hamilton maiden on debut, and stepped forward front in big way when second behind Memory in Cherry Hinton; Benefitted from excellent Ryan Moore ride and stiff finish when collaring Margot Did in Princess Margret Stakes, but that good form nonetheless and will be right there if improving.
Pontenuovo: Looked like a different horse from one on debut (understandably) when winning Prix De Turquie, overturning a good looking odds on prospect; While she should step forward again, so should many others and the form of her win doesn’t seem to be all that solid.
VERDICT: A very interesting and classy looking renewal of the Prix Morny, and it should produce a good winner, and it’ll be interesting to see if the winner goes on seeing as the majority of the field look predominantly like 2 year olds, and Irish Field is set to race in Hong Kong after this. The ground could have a big effect on this, and should it turn soft IRISH FIELD (each/way) is the suggested pick. He should reverse form with the progressive Karatiya, as he may have gone too soon in the Prix Du Bois. It’s hard to know which is the best of the British horses, as they must surely rate Dream Ahead highly to run him here after having missed the Acomb Stakes, while Soraaya’s win in the Princess Margaret Stakes is a good price of form but may have been thanks to an excellent Ryan Moore ride and stiff finish. Even saying that though, her form with Memory is excellent. You’d think that the Hannnon yard would have her covered with LIBRANNO, and gives as they are still on fire at the moment, he’s taken to come out on top of the British horses and possibly beat the French too.
Saturday, 21 August 2010
BONUS - Betfair TVG Alabama Stakes 2010 - Saratoga 10:48 on ATR (415 Sky)
10.48 Saratoga
Betfair TVG Alabama Stakes (Grade 1) (3yo Fillies) (Dirt) (3YO) Winner £185,185
Course: Fast Distnace: 1m2f Number Of Runners: 6
Pick: Blind Luck
Acting Happy: was a well-beaten third to Devil May Care in the Coaching Club American Oaks last time out following her sole graded stakes triumph in the Black Eyed Susan beforehand; Bred for 10f and tactical speed should be useful from the rail but she's really going to have to turn out her career best to beat this lot.
Devil May Care: 2-3 in juvenile season, holding off a determined challenge from Awesome Maria to win the Frizette Stakes at Belmont before flopping on Pro Ride; flopped on 2010 debut at the Fair Grounds but since then only blemish was tenth place finish in the Derby; Barely extended to land 2 good Grade 1 events on last 2 starts and possibly one they all have to beat.
Tizahit: Won Grade 2 Demoisel at Aqueduct last November but hasn't shown same form as a three year old as she did as a juvenile, having lost both her starts against poor field this year.
Blind Luck: Ran amok as a juvenile, cruising to 2 facile successes (One by 13 and a half lengths over just 4 and half furlongs) before then making a very pleasing Stakes debut in Grade 1 company when closing well to take second place behind Mi Sueno in Darley Debutante before taking the Oak Leaf in very impressive style (Should have won Breeders Cup fillies juvenile but for wide trip); Same story this year, with 2 Grade 1 wins in the Kentucky Oaks and Las Virgines sandwiched in-between some very tough tasks (had to give 10lbs in weight twice this year); Toughest test yet but must have excellent shot of confirming herself best 2 year old filly.
Connie And Michael: Turned into a different filly once she switched from turf/synthetic to dirt this spring, coming excellent second to Devil May Care at Belmont last time; Logical third choice and there if either fav’s fluff their lines.
Havre De Grace: Ran best race of career when all-out to finish second by a nose to Blind Luck in the Delaware Oaks just a month ago but there's got to be a bit of a question as to how valid this form is, as she was in recpit of 6lbs that day and now faces Blind Luck on levels.
VERDICT: An excellent renewal of a race that looks set to decide the top 3 year old filly in America this year. With the improving Connie And Michael sure to be there at the end, it would be foolish to assume this is a match. That said, it’s going to be very hard to split dual Grade 1 winners (this year) Devil May Care and BLIND LUCK, with the latter getting the vote due to exceptional attitude and consistency.
Betfair TVG Alabama Stakes (Grade 1) (3yo Fillies) (Dirt) (3YO) Winner £185,185
Course: Fast Distnace: 1m2f Number Of Runners: 6
Pick: Blind Luck
Acting Happy: was a well-beaten third to Devil May Care in the Coaching Club American Oaks last time out following her sole graded stakes triumph in the Black Eyed Susan beforehand; Bred for 10f and tactical speed should be useful from the rail but she's really going to have to turn out her career best to beat this lot.
Devil May Care: 2-3 in juvenile season, holding off a determined challenge from Awesome Maria to win the Frizette Stakes at Belmont before flopping on Pro Ride; flopped on 2010 debut at the Fair Grounds but since then only blemish was tenth place finish in the Derby; Barely extended to land 2 good Grade 1 events on last 2 starts and possibly one they all have to beat.
Tizahit: Won Grade 2 Demoisel at Aqueduct last November but hasn't shown same form as a three year old as she did as a juvenile, having lost both her starts against poor field this year.
Blind Luck: Ran amok as a juvenile, cruising to 2 facile successes (One by 13 and a half lengths over just 4 and half furlongs) before then making a very pleasing Stakes debut in Grade 1 company when closing well to take second place behind Mi Sueno in Darley Debutante before taking the Oak Leaf in very impressive style (Should have won Breeders Cup fillies juvenile but for wide trip); Same story this year, with 2 Grade 1 wins in the Kentucky Oaks and Las Virgines sandwiched in-between some very tough tasks (had to give 10lbs in weight twice this year); Toughest test yet but must have excellent shot of confirming herself best 2 year old filly.
Connie And Michael: Turned into a different filly once she switched from turf/synthetic to dirt this spring, coming excellent second to Devil May Care at Belmont last time; Logical third choice and there if either fav’s fluff their lines.
Havre De Grace: Ran best race of career when all-out to finish second by a nose to Blind Luck in the Delaware Oaks just a month ago but there's got to be a bit of a question as to how valid this form is, as she was in recpit of 6lbs that day and now faces Blind Luck on levels.
VERDICT: An excellent renewal of a race that looks set to decide the top 3 year old filly in America this year. With the improving Connie And Michael sure to be there at the end, it would be foolish to assume this is a match. That said, it’s going to be very hard to split dual Grade 1 winners (this year) Devil May Care and BLIND LUCK, with the latter getting the vote due to exceptional attitude and consistency.
Galileo European Breeders Fund Futurity Stakes (Group 2) 2010
4.25 Curragh
Galileo European Breeders Fund Futurity Stakes (Group 2) (Class 1) (2YO only)
Winner €60,000
Pick: Glor Na Mara
Glor Na Mara: From very high class US family (dam unraced daughter of minor US 7f stakes winner Angelina Capote, herself half-sister to US 8.5f Grade 1 winner Do It With Style) and comes with huge reputation, such that he made his debut in Anglesey Stakes (was just 2/1); Bettered that with huge run in Phoenix Stakes, only just getting caught by Zoffany and beating Coventry winner Strong Suit; Major chance of breaking maiden.
High Ruler: Justified market confidence at second attempt when winning Roscommon maiden in July, having previously been smashed into last on debut; Bettered that form when workmanlike second to Zoffany last time out, and while flattered to get that close, good effort nonetheless.
Longhunter: Won his maiden in much the same way stable companion Pathfork did when cruising up in Leopardstown maiden; Well beaten on step up to this level when last of seventh in Superlative Stakes last time and more needed.
Pathfork: Always been highly regarded by trainer and chalked in at 20/1 for Guineas when he created a big impression when landing a maiden over the course and distance that has made host of top-class performers, with Teofilo and New Approach among the winners in recent years by four lengths last month, beating subsequent Galway maiden winner Robin Hood and looking every inch a Group class colt; More to come and major contender.
Robin Hood: Improving with races, having beenrushed aside by Pathfork in maiden here before winning similar race at Galway (2 subsequent winners behind him); Improving all the time but this likely to be too tough.
Rudolf Valentino: Looked Group class when bolting up at Naas 2 starts ago, leaving decent field in his wake but disappointing when well-held third (Samuel Morse second) in Group 3 Anglesey Stakes last time; Has something to find on that form.
Samuel Morse: Created good impression when scoring here on debut and has progressed since, winning 5 Marble Hill and coming fourth behind Strong Suit in Coventry; Has been rather disappointing considering that result since with seconds in Superlative and Anglesey Stakes (well beaten)and another step backwards when fifth in phoenix; This step down and presumably pick of decent looking Ballydoyle team, with 7f sure to help.
VERDICT: Pathfork looked a group race winner waiting to happen when iwnning his maiden but he’ll have to be very good to bet the better of GLOR NA MARA, who sets a very high standard based on his second in the Phoenix Stakes last time. Samuel Morse should like 7f but may not necessarily be the best of the O’Brien four, as High Ruler could have more to come.
Galileo European Breeders Fund Futurity Stakes (Group 2) (Class 1) (2YO only)
Winner €60,000
Pick: Glor Na Mara
Glor Na Mara: From very high class US family (dam unraced daughter of minor US 7f stakes winner Angelina Capote, herself half-sister to US 8.5f Grade 1 winner Do It With Style) and comes with huge reputation, such that he made his debut in Anglesey Stakes (was just 2/1); Bettered that with huge run in Phoenix Stakes, only just getting caught by Zoffany and beating Coventry winner Strong Suit; Major chance of breaking maiden.
High Ruler: Justified market confidence at second attempt when winning Roscommon maiden in July, having previously been smashed into last on debut; Bettered that form when workmanlike second to Zoffany last time out, and while flattered to get that close, good effort nonetheless.
Longhunter: Won his maiden in much the same way stable companion Pathfork did when cruising up in Leopardstown maiden; Well beaten on step up to this level when last of seventh in Superlative Stakes last time and more needed.
Pathfork: Always been highly regarded by trainer and chalked in at 20/1 for Guineas when he created a big impression when landing a maiden over the course and distance that has made host of top-class performers, with Teofilo and New Approach among the winners in recent years by four lengths last month, beating subsequent Galway maiden winner Robin Hood and looking every inch a Group class colt; More to come and major contender.
Robin Hood: Improving with races, having beenrushed aside by Pathfork in maiden here before winning similar race at Galway (2 subsequent winners behind him); Improving all the time but this likely to be too tough.
Rudolf Valentino: Looked Group class when bolting up at Naas 2 starts ago, leaving decent field in his wake but disappointing when well-held third (Samuel Morse second) in Group 3 Anglesey Stakes last time; Has something to find on that form.
Samuel Morse: Created good impression when scoring here on debut and has progressed since, winning 5 Marble Hill and coming fourth behind Strong Suit in Coventry; Has been rather disappointing considering that result since with seconds in Superlative and Anglesey Stakes (well beaten)and another step backwards when fifth in phoenix; This step down and presumably pick of decent looking Ballydoyle team, with 7f sure to help.
VERDICT: Pathfork looked a group race winner waiting to happen when iwnning his maiden but he’ll have to be very good to bet the better of GLOR NA MARA, who sets a very high standard based on his second in the Phoenix Stakes last time. Samuel Morse should like 7f but may not necessarily be the best of the O’Brien four, as High Ruler could have more to come.
Other Races (Sat 21/08/10) & Arlington Million 2010
Curragh
2.25 - A fairly strong maiden in which horses with previous form should be hard to beat. The form of ORCALE’S (win) maiden has worked out excellently, with the winner Temple Meads winning the Super Sprint and running well in the Gimcrack and Al Asifth winning a listed race at Newbury. The 5lbs claims of Joesph O’Brien is also a clincher.
3.25 – An on form ROSES FOR THE LADY (win) would take all the beating if reproducing her effort here last time behind Tactic and Profound Beauty in the Curragh Cup.
Sandown
3.10 – SANDOR (each/way) should enjoy a less demanding test of stamina and has been rather unlucky the last twice, looking the type to run well off a 1m2f stiff track. DANSIL DANCER (each/way) loves Sandown, Is on his best mark for 3 years, has John Fahy taking another 3lbs off and has run well in tough company on his last 3 starts.
Arlington Million
Secretariat Stakes (9.37) – It looks like the top 3 could have a strangle hold on this one. Wigmore Hall looks a Group class winner when swiping aside Chabal and others in a conditions contest at Newmarket last time and should go well here, with this looking like a very open race for the Grade. Let’s hope he goes well. The biggest hurdle he has to overcome is surely PADDY O’PARDO (win), who was third in the Kentucky Derby on dirt in May, and he sets a high standard on winning both the Colonial Turf Cup and Virginia Derby on his last two outings. Woking For Hops is three-from-three at this venue and could get an easy lea, although the top 2 have useful turns of foot in any situation and should be right there at the finish.
Beverly D. Stakes (10.37) - Following the unfortunate absence of Tuscan Evening and Rainbow View, Gerard Butler will be pretty hopeful of a decent run from Patchattack with Kieren Fallon on board. In another open race for the grade, TREAT GENTLY (win) comes here off back-to-back scores in the Sheepshead Bay (gr. IIT) at Belmont Park May 22 and the Robert G. Dick Memorial Handicap at Delaware Park July 17, giving her the best recent form which could be enough to give her this repeating those performances. Ave was a Group 3 winner in Ireland for former trainer Sir Michael Stoute, the bay filly lost by a nose to Mekong Melody in Woodbine's nine-furlong Dance Smartly Stakes but an outside draw won’t help her.
Arlington Million (11.14) – A good mention is given to General Quarters but this should be between 4 main contdenders. Three British-trained horses lining uphave a tough nut to crack in the shape of defending champ GIO PONTI (win) as he looked back to form when winning the Man o'War Stakes at Belmont Park.
2.25 - A fairly strong maiden in which horses with previous form should be hard to beat. The form of ORCALE’S (win) maiden has worked out excellently, with the winner Temple Meads winning the Super Sprint and running well in the Gimcrack and Al Asifth winning a listed race at Newbury. The 5lbs claims of Joesph O’Brien is also a clincher.
3.25 – An on form ROSES FOR THE LADY (win) would take all the beating if reproducing her effort here last time behind Tactic and Profound Beauty in the Curragh Cup.
Sandown
3.10 – SANDOR (each/way) should enjoy a less demanding test of stamina and has been rather unlucky the last twice, looking the type to run well off a 1m2f stiff track. DANSIL DANCER (each/way) loves Sandown, Is on his best mark for 3 years, has John Fahy taking another 3lbs off and has run well in tough company on his last 3 starts.
Arlington Million
Secretariat Stakes (9.37) – It looks like the top 3 could have a strangle hold on this one. Wigmore Hall looks a Group class winner when swiping aside Chabal and others in a conditions contest at Newmarket last time and should go well here, with this looking like a very open race for the Grade. Let’s hope he goes well. The biggest hurdle he has to overcome is surely PADDY O’PARDO (win), who was third in the Kentucky Derby on dirt in May, and he sets a high standard on winning both the Colonial Turf Cup and Virginia Derby on his last two outings. Woking For Hops is three-from-three at this venue and could get an easy lea, although the top 2 have useful turns of foot in any situation and should be right there at the finish.
Beverly D. Stakes (10.37) - Following the unfortunate absence of Tuscan Evening and Rainbow View, Gerard Butler will be pretty hopeful of a decent run from Patchattack with Kieren Fallon on board. In another open race for the grade, TREAT GENTLY (win) comes here off back-to-back scores in the Sheepshead Bay (gr. IIT) at Belmont Park May 22 and the Robert G. Dick Memorial Handicap at Delaware Park July 17, giving her the best recent form which could be enough to give her this repeating those performances. Ave was a Group 3 winner in Ireland for former trainer Sir Michael Stoute, the bay filly lost by a nose to Mekong Melody in Woodbine's nine-furlong Dance Smartly Stakes but an outside draw won’t help her.
Arlington Million (11.14) – A good mention is given to General Quarters but this should be between 4 main contdenders. Three British-trained horses lining uphave a tough nut to crack in the shape of defending champ GIO PONTI (win) as he looked back to form when winning the Man o'War Stakes at Belmont Park.
Alexis Catchpole Celebration Solario Stakes 2010
2.35 Sandown
Alexis Catchpole Celebration Solario Stakes (Group 3) (Class 1) (2YO only)
Winner £21,289
Pick: Roayh (win)
Measuring Time: Improved on 7f Salisbury maiden when winning decent 4-runnerevent at Newbury, finding plenty to beat Amwell Pinot by ½ length; That level of form ben upheld nicely enough since and bold bid on cards for top 2 year old combo.
Native Khan: Very highly regarded 180,000 gns colt & RP Trophy entry who was impressive when quickening clear to win 7f maiden at July Meeting; Seems set for better things according to trainer and must be taken seriously.
Ocean Bay: Major step forward from maiden run when close fifth of 6 to King Torus in Group 2 Superlative Stakes at Newmarket; 2 steps back when beaten over 10 lengths in maiden back there, hanging in final furlong.
Roayh: Fast improver who bolted up in Leicster maiden and took them all along for long way in Coventry; Very poor when only behind Casual Glimpse at July festival but back to form when good closing third behind Libranno last time and every chance if repeating that form for in – from yard; Should stay 7f.
Stenoiran: Coming forward with every run, improving from debut fifth to win 7f Leicester maiden before runner-up to Phoenix winner Zoffany in listed race at Leopardstown: Filled same position when well beaten by King Torus but that still good effort and should take hand.
Surrey Star: Well and truly trashed by Epliptic on second run by penny dropped when off the mark in 7f Epsom maiden, staying on nicely; Exposed when last of 7 behind Stenorian and Waltz Darling at Goodwood last time.
Titus Mills: Holds some loft entries and took some fair scalps when making a successful debut in 7f maiden at Ascot last month, sticking on strongly after having come off bridle long way out; Loads more to come and should be there or thereabouts.
Waltz Waltz: Won a weak maiden at Ripon first time out but followed up in good style next time, achieving lot more when beating 3 previous winners (giving weight away to second ) at Newcastle on second start; Well beaten in Vintage Stakes last time and more needed.
VERDICT: A good solid renewal, with 3 unexposed horses meeting up with 2 solid progressive types, who show decent form. Whatever wins will be good. There is a lot more to come from Measuring Time, Titus Mills and Native Khan, while Stenorian’s efforts at Goodwood and Leopardstown are very solid. ROYAYH looked as if he’d get 7f when staying on nicely into third in what looked a decent Vintage Stakes and if repeating that effort can go well for a team whose 2 year olds are in blistering form of late.
Alexis Catchpole Celebration Solario Stakes (Group 3) (Class 1) (2YO only)
Winner £21,289
Pick: Roayh (win)
Measuring Time: Improved on 7f Salisbury maiden when winning decent 4-runnerevent at Newbury, finding plenty to beat Amwell Pinot by ½ length; That level of form ben upheld nicely enough since and bold bid on cards for top 2 year old combo.
Native Khan: Very highly regarded 180,000 gns colt & RP Trophy entry who was impressive when quickening clear to win 7f maiden at July Meeting; Seems set for better things according to trainer and must be taken seriously.
Ocean Bay: Major step forward from maiden run when close fifth of 6 to King Torus in Group 2 Superlative Stakes at Newmarket; 2 steps back when beaten over 10 lengths in maiden back there, hanging in final furlong.
Roayh: Fast improver who bolted up in Leicster maiden and took them all along for long way in Coventry; Very poor when only behind Casual Glimpse at July festival but back to form when good closing third behind Libranno last time and every chance if repeating that form for in – from yard; Should stay 7f.
Stenoiran: Coming forward with every run, improving from debut fifth to win 7f Leicester maiden before runner-up to Phoenix winner Zoffany in listed race at Leopardstown: Filled same position when well beaten by King Torus but that still good effort and should take hand.
Surrey Star: Well and truly trashed by Epliptic on second run by penny dropped when off the mark in 7f Epsom maiden, staying on nicely; Exposed when last of 7 behind Stenorian and Waltz Darling at Goodwood last time.
Titus Mills: Holds some loft entries and took some fair scalps when making a successful debut in 7f maiden at Ascot last month, sticking on strongly after having come off bridle long way out; Loads more to come and should be there or thereabouts.
Waltz Waltz: Won a weak maiden at Ripon first time out but followed up in good style next time, achieving lot more when beating 3 previous winners (giving weight away to second ) at Newcastle on second start; Well beaten in Vintage Stakes last time and more needed.
VERDICT: A good solid renewal, with 3 unexposed horses meeting up with 2 solid progressive types, who show decent form. Whatever wins will be good. There is a lot more to come from Measuring Time, Titus Mills and Native Khan, while Stenorian’s efforts at Goodwood and Leopardstown are very solid. ROYAYH looked as if he’d get 7f when staying on nicely into third in what looked a decent Vintage Stakes and if repeating that effort can go well for a team whose 2 year olds are in blistering form of late.
Danepak Atlanta Stakes 2010
2.05 Sandown
Danepak Atalanta Stakes (Fillies' Listed) (Class 1) (3YO plus)
Winner £19,870
Picks: Seta (win), Chachamaidee (each/way)
Arrivederla: 2 creditable efforts from 3 in handicaps this year look way short of the required standard to win this.
Flora Trevelyan: Took big step forward when winning handicap here in May by 5 lengths but not gone on since; Odds on when only fourth in listed company since, and was well beaten in this level last time, so needs more.
Summer Fete: Lightly-raced filly who won Oak Tree Stakes before unsuccessful crack at Group 1 company in Prix Du Moulin; Had presumably been kept fresh for follow up, so surprising when not given hard time when seventh in same race; Well beaten again last time but this is far easier and should be fitter now.
Victoria Sponge: Lost form since leaving Hannon yard (was three-time winner in 7f handicaps for them last year); Not at best this year.
Chcamaidee: Good sort; Ran very well form bad draw in Albany stakes (race has worked out well since) before then disappoint when sent to Sweet Solera Stakes as a 2 year old; Done well on only 2 starts at 3, winning decent listed event before coming nearly last in Coronation; Ran well under penalty last time and with form boosted since, bold bid expected.
Blue Angel: Second to Aviate in minor event at Ascot on return, but since behind Flora Trevlyan and Alsace Lorraine in big handicap on straight course there; Been well beaten since and while she was unlucky last time, others preferred.
Decorative: Created deep impression when winning both starts (10 months apart), the first being a maiden at Yarmouth and the next being a Nottingham handicap; Well worth crack at this level for in form yard although form of last race need a lot of improving on.
Long Lashes: Holds a decent level of form, landing listed race at the Curragh on debut for Jessica Harrington and, having joined Godolphin, Sweet Solera Stakes at Newmarket; Form tailed off towards end of last season, finding soft ground too much when 4th in the Moylgare Stud Stakes and coming badly beaten eighth in Fillies Mile; Ran as if needing last month's return, travelling all over the winner until fading badly late; Should come on for that and yard’s runner are in fantastic form of late so every chance.
VERDICT: There can only be more to come from Decorative and Long Lashes, who will be difficult to beat at the weights for in – from yards but SETA (win) still holds an immense amount of potential and sets the standard on her Group 2 third, while CHACHAMAIDEE (each/way)has had her form boosted since coming second to the progressive Field Day at Ascot last time and if settling better here can go nicely.
Danepak Atalanta Stakes (Fillies' Listed) (Class 1) (3YO plus)
Winner £19,870
Picks: Seta (win), Chachamaidee (each/way)
Arrivederla: 2 creditable efforts from 3 in handicaps this year look way short of the required standard to win this.
Flora Trevelyan: Took big step forward when winning handicap here in May by 5 lengths but not gone on since; Odds on when only fourth in listed company since, and was well beaten in this level last time, so needs more.
Summer Fete: Lightly-raced filly who won Oak Tree Stakes before unsuccessful crack at Group 1 company in Prix Du Moulin; Had presumably been kept fresh for follow up, so surprising when not given hard time when seventh in same race; Well beaten again last time but this is far easier and should be fitter now.
Victoria Sponge: Lost form since leaving Hannon yard (was three-time winner in 7f handicaps for them last year); Not at best this year.
Chcamaidee: Good sort; Ran very well form bad draw in Albany stakes (race has worked out well since) before then disappoint when sent to Sweet Solera Stakes as a 2 year old; Done well on only 2 starts at 3, winning decent listed event before coming nearly last in Coronation; Ran well under penalty last time and with form boosted since, bold bid expected.
Blue Angel: Second to Aviate in minor event at Ascot on return, but since behind Flora Trevlyan and Alsace Lorraine in big handicap on straight course there; Been well beaten since and while she was unlucky last time, others preferred.
Decorative: Created deep impression when winning both starts (10 months apart), the first being a maiden at Yarmouth and the next being a Nottingham handicap; Well worth crack at this level for in form yard although form of last race need a lot of improving on.
Long Lashes: Holds a decent level of form, landing listed race at the Curragh on debut for Jessica Harrington and, having joined Godolphin, Sweet Solera Stakes at Newmarket; Form tailed off towards end of last season, finding soft ground too much when 4th in the Moylgare Stud Stakes and coming badly beaten eighth in Fillies Mile; Ran as if needing last month's return, travelling all over the winner until fading badly late; Should come on for that and yard’s runner are in fantastic form of late so every chance.
VERDICT: There can only be more to come from Decorative and Long Lashes, who will be difficult to beat at the weights for in – from yards but SETA (win) still holds an immense amount of potential and sets the standard on her Group 2 third, while CHACHAMAIDEE (each/way)has had her form boosted since coming second to the progressive Field Day at Ascot last time and if settling better here can go nicely.
Thursday, 19 August 2010
Coolmore Nunthorpe Stakes - York Ebor Festival 2010 (Day 3)
3.25 York
Coolmore Nunthorpe Stakes (Group 1) (Class 1) (2YO plus)
Winner £136,248
Pick: Starspangledbanner (win), Kingsgaite Native (each/way)
Borderlescott: Never run a bad race, and proved himself better than ever last year when campaigned mainly at this trip, winning this for second year running, placed in Temple and the Abbaye (didn’t get run in L’Abbaye); Run well all season and best effort when winning King George Sprint last time; Always goes well here and maximum respect of completely recovered from muscle injury.
Equiano: Been revelation this year, coming right back to best and winning Abernant, Palace House, and King’s Stand Stakes (second in Temple inbetween), with an excellent second in the July Cup last time; Has to face Starspangledbanner again today but was pushing him hard all way and flat 5f is his home turf; Major chance.
Kingsgate Native: Arguably best in this field when on form, having beaten Equiano without match practice in Temple Stakes but flopped in King’s Stand; Did have throat infection for latter mentioned race but record is one of inconsistency and disappointed in this race as favourite last year; Very talented and chance but unreliable.
Prime Defender: Back to form when fifth in Maurice De Gheest last time but well behind most of field on last 2 starts and more needed now.
Spin Cycle: Had some smart juvenile form and hasn’t exactly had things go his way since but has tried hard on all starts this year and last; Well behind Borderlescott last time though and a lot to find on last 3 efforts.
Starspangledbanner: Held some excellent form in Australia and has possibly even improved based on what he has done for Ballydoyle, winning the Golden Jubilee and the July Cup in near record times, marking him down as one to beat in Sprinting division; One to beat on those efforts but only worry is that Equiano was pushing him hard at 5f in July Cup and on a flat track, the 2 will be tightly matched; Arguably world’s best sprinter though and trainer thinks trip will suit fine.
Mister Hughesie: Won handicap well at Newmarket and would have won again had he not fallen at Beverley suffering confidence dent which led to loss of form; Closing late in King George Stakes at Glorious Goodwood last time but more needed.
Sole Power: Promising at 2 yrs, placed in listed event at the Curragh and sales race at York before landing short odds in Dundalk maiden; Hasn’t held form brilliantly in Group sprints and this much tougher.
Fleeting Sprit: The best filly/mare sprinter around, having won the July Cup in sensational style last year and having been unlucky not to land the Abbaye (no run up inside) and Sprint Cup (ground too soft); Excellent fourth when beating side in Golden Jubilee but did not go on from that as expected when rather lacklustre fifth in July Cup last time; Drop back to 5f might suit her though, and major contender anyway.
Piccadilly Filly: Holds some really good juvenile form over this trip in maidens and a French listed race; run with credit both starts this term (particularly when second in French Group 2 on seasonal reappearance) but needs to improve.
Rose Blossom: Impressive wins either side of her Queen Mary 7th last year, which is easily forgiven (raced impossible pace to keep that day) and ran respectably in Flying Childers at end of season, showing plenty of promise; Blitzed rivals over 5f at York to begin season and when things have gone her way, she has been way too good for 9 rivals here in Group 3 last time; Good filly if things go right but this toughest test yet.
Dinkum Diamond: Comfortable success in maiden was greatly improved on when winning listed race in nice style at Sandown; Came up short in Norfolk although he wasn’t at best that day (had sore joints afterwards) ; Still, this much harder and needs a lot more to be competitive here.
Stone Of Folca: Always been highly regarded from stable that has good record with this type, having won this event with similar horse in Kingsgate Native (when at their yard), and showed promise when twice occupying fourth place within the space of 3 days at Royal Ascot in June; Caught on line when second in Molecomb and would be foolish to discount given his pedigree and huge weight concession.
VERDICT: A stellar renewal to round off a stellar week of racing. It’s dangerous to turn races into 2 horse matches, but it’s going to be hard to split Equiano and arguably world leading sprinter STARSPANGLEDBANNER. The former should be much better at this trip, but the latter gets the vote on the basis that his main 3 form rivals are all drawn 10 stalls away from him, and that he wasn’t beaten at 5f in the July Cup last time. There are a few opportunities for each/way bets here, not least Kingsgate Native who should be competitive if back to his best at 5f (holds Equiano on Temple Stakes win).
Coolmore Nunthorpe Stakes (Group 1) (Class 1) (2YO plus)
Winner £136,248
Pick: Starspangledbanner (win), Kingsgaite Native (each/way)
Borderlescott: Never run a bad race, and proved himself better than ever last year when campaigned mainly at this trip, winning this for second year running, placed in Temple and the Abbaye (didn’t get run in L’Abbaye); Run well all season and best effort when winning King George Sprint last time; Always goes well here and maximum respect of completely recovered from muscle injury.
Equiano: Been revelation this year, coming right back to best and winning Abernant, Palace House, and King’s Stand Stakes (second in Temple inbetween), with an excellent second in the July Cup last time; Has to face Starspangledbanner again today but was pushing him hard all way and flat 5f is his home turf; Major chance.
Kingsgate Native: Arguably best in this field when on form, having beaten Equiano without match practice in Temple Stakes but flopped in King’s Stand; Did have throat infection for latter mentioned race but record is one of inconsistency and disappointed in this race as favourite last year; Very talented and chance but unreliable.
Prime Defender: Back to form when fifth in Maurice De Gheest last time but well behind most of field on last 2 starts and more needed now.
Spin Cycle: Had some smart juvenile form and hasn’t exactly had things go his way since but has tried hard on all starts this year and last; Well behind Borderlescott last time though and a lot to find on last 3 efforts.
Starspangledbanner: Held some excellent form in Australia and has possibly even improved based on what he has done for Ballydoyle, winning the Golden Jubilee and the July Cup in near record times, marking him down as one to beat in Sprinting division; One to beat on those efforts but only worry is that Equiano was pushing him hard at 5f in July Cup and on a flat track, the 2 will be tightly matched; Arguably world’s best sprinter though and trainer thinks trip will suit fine.
Mister Hughesie: Won handicap well at Newmarket and would have won again had he not fallen at Beverley suffering confidence dent which led to loss of form; Closing late in King George Stakes at Glorious Goodwood last time but more needed.
Sole Power: Promising at 2 yrs, placed in listed event at the Curragh and sales race at York before landing short odds in Dundalk maiden; Hasn’t held form brilliantly in Group sprints and this much tougher.
Fleeting Sprit: The best filly/mare sprinter around, having won the July Cup in sensational style last year and having been unlucky not to land the Abbaye (no run up inside) and Sprint Cup (ground too soft); Excellent fourth when beating side in Golden Jubilee but did not go on from that as expected when rather lacklustre fifth in July Cup last time; Drop back to 5f might suit her though, and major contender anyway.
Piccadilly Filly: Holds some really good juvenile form over this trip in maidens and a French listed race; run with credit both starts this term (particularly when second in French Group 2 on seasonal reappearance) but needs to improve.
Rose Blossom: Impressive wins either side of her Queen Mary 7th last year, which is easily forgiven (raced impossible pace to keep that day) and ran respectably in Flying Childers at end of season, showing plenty of promise; Blitzed rivals over 5f at York to begin season and when things have gone her way, she has been way too good for 9 rivals here in Group 3 last time; Good filly if things go right but this toughest test yet.
Dinkum Diamond: Comfortable success in maiden was greatly improved on when winning listed race in nice style at Sandown; Came up short in Norfolk although he wasn’t at best that day (had sore joints afterwards) ; Still, this much harder and needs a lot more to be competitive here.
Stone Of Folca: Always been highly regarded from stable that has good record with this type, having won this event with similar horse in Kingsgate Native (when at their yard), and showed promise when twice occupying fourth place within the space of 3 days at Royal Ascot in June; Caught on line when second in Molecomb and would be foolish to discount given his pedigree and huge weight concession.
VERDICT: A stellar renewal to round off a stellar week of racing. It’s dangerous to turn races into 2 horse matches, but it’s going to be hard to split Equiano and arguably world leading sprinter STARSPANGLEDBANNER. The former should be much better at this trip, but the latter gets the vote on the basis that his main 3 form rivals are all drawn 10 stalls away from him, and that he wasn’t beaten at 5f in the July Cup last time. There are a few opportunities for each/way bets here, not least Kingsgate Native who should be competitive if back to his best at 5f (holds Equiano on Temple Stakes win).
Strensall Stakes 2010 - York Ebor Festival 2010 (Day 3)
2.15 York
Sky Bet Strensall Stakes (Group 3) (Class 1) (3YO plus)
Winner £48,254
Pick: Rainbow View (win) Critical Moment (each/way)
Cesare: Classy veteran who is good enough to take this on his day (has been fourth and second in Queen Anne Stakes, and Fourth in Lockinge), gets on very well with Johnny Murtagh, (who’s in saddle today) and quickened up well to land 4-runner minor event at Doncaster last time; Best caught fresh and this much tougher.
Distant Memories: Tough and consistent performer who's sure to run his race, only just getting outstayed in final stages of race behind Red Badge in Newbury listed contest before coming third at Haydock last time; Hard a pretty hard race that day and may struggle bit here.
Confront: Smart miler last year but has lost his form in 2010;On face of it, this most realistic task he’s been set for some while, Stoute team have had 2 good days at this meet and booking of Oliver Peslier is a plus, but was nearer last than first in listed contest earlier this season and that tempers enthusiasm.
Halicarnassus: Tough as nuts horse who got yet another win in Dubai with a valiant all-the-way success over 1½m at Meydan in February; Been well beaten since and last behind Rainbow Peak latest, so hard to recommend.
Harrison George: Put in a number of good handicap efforts last term and has already improved on them with 2 wins this year, the first being a handicap romp off a mark of 95 and then a tight win in Conditions company; Has continued in same vein but behind Rio De La Plata last time and looks rather exposed on basis of that.
Kings Gambit: Has some very high class form (is a Grade 1 winner in South Africa in 2008) and while he hasn’t run to that level (second in 2 hot handicaps the last twice) he has held his form well; Was well beaten in second when behind Rainbow Peak and same thing looks set to happen off 2lbs worse terms.
Rainbow Peak: Showed immense promise last year when winning AW Maiden, Classified Stakes, and decent Newmarket handicap; Desperately unlucky not to win here on seasonal return, but put that right when landing immense gamble at Royal Ascot in the Wolferton last time; Looked Group class that day and major chance here.
Rio De La Plata: Looked like a potentially immense horse when landing National and Prix Jean Luc Stakes as a 2 year old, before injury curtailed plans; Has come back to form but still looks nowhere near his best and does look best at a mile now; Ran badly in soft ground last time and comes here rather quickly after that.
Vesuve: Won twice up to 11f in France for Elie Lellouche and ran up to that level in Dubai, coming midfield in decent Group 3/2 affairs; Hasn’t run up to that level since and behind Cesare last time, so a fair bit to do on face of things.
Critical Moment: Made a nice debut and got off the mark in good style on his first 2 starts as a juvenile; Has found steady improvement this year, winning a listed event at Goodwood 3 weeks ago (made most, found plenty) in good style; That form gives him chance to be there or thereabouts.
Field Of Dream: Improved drastically on all previous when beating Red Jazz in listed race at Newmarket in May, and has bettered that effort with fifth in Jersey Stakes and third behind Critical Moment last time; Needs more here but booking of Fallon could be difference.
VERDICT: A rather ordinary listed race which is there for the taking. Based on the fact that he’s progressing fast, has recent form and the yard is going well, RAINBOW PEAK gets the vote. The form of his Wolferton win has been boosted with the second filling that position in the John Smith's Cup , the fourth doing the same in the Ebor and the sixth horse landing a strong Goodwood handicap. Critical Moment will be hard to pass infront and looks a decent each/way saver.
Sky Bet Strensall Stakes (Group 3) (Class 1) (3YO plus)
Winner £48,254
Pick: Rainbow View (win) Critical Moment (each/way)
Cesare: Classy veteran who is good enough to take this on his day (has been fourth and second in Queen Anne Stakes, and Fourth in Lockinge), gets on very well with Johnny Murtagh, (who’s in saddle today) and quickened up well to land 4-runner minor event at Doncaster last time; Best caught fresh and this much tougher.
Distant Memories: Tough and consistent performer who's sure to run his race, only just getting outstayed in final stages of race behind Red Badge in Newbury listed contest before coming third at Haydock last time; Hard a pretty hard race that day and may struggle bit here.
Confront: Smart miler last year but has lost his form in 2010;On face of it, this most realistic task he’s been set for some while, Stoute team have had 2 good days at this meet and booking of Oliver Peslier is a plus, but was nearer last than first in listed contest earlier this season and that tempers enthusiasm.
Halicarnassus: Tough as nuts horse who got yet another win in Dubai with a valiant all-the-way success over 1½m at Meydan in February; Been well beaten since and last behind Rainbow Peak latest, so hard to recommend.
Harrison George: Put in a number of good handicap efforts last term and has already improved on them with 2 wins this year, the first being a handicap romp off a mark of 95 and then a tight win in Conditions company; Has continued in same vein but behind Rio De La Plata last time and looks rather exposed on basis of that.
Kings Gambit: Has some very high class form (is a Grade 1 winner in South Africa in 2008) and while he hasn’t run to that level (second in 2 hot handicaps the last twice) he has held his form well; Was well beaten in second when behind Rainbow Peak and same thing looks set to happen off 2lbs worse terms.
Rainbow Peak: Showed immense promise last year when winning AW Maiden, Classified Stakes, and decent Newmarket handicap; Desperately unlucky not to win here on seasonal return, but put that right when landing immense gamble at Royal Ascot in the Wolferton last time; Looked Group class that day and major chance here.
Rio De La Plata: Looked like a potentially immense horse when landing National and Prix Jean Luc Stakes as a 2 year old, before injury curtailed plans; Has come back to form but still looks nowhere near his best and does look best at a mile now; Ran badly in soft ground last time and comes here rather quickly after that.
Vesuve: Won twice up to 11f in France for Elie Lellouche and ran up to that level in Dubai, coming midfield in decent Group 3/2 affairs; Hasn’t run up to that level since and behind Cesare last time, so a fair bit to do on face of things.
Critical Moment: Made a nice debut and got off the mark in good style on his first 2 starts as a juvenile; Has found steady improvement this year, winning a listed event at Goodwood 3 weeks ago (made most, found plenty) in good style; That form gives him chance to be there or thereabouts.
Field Of Dream: Improved drastically on all previous when beating Red Jazz in listed race at Newmarket in May, and has bettered that effort with fifth in Jersey Stakes and third behind Critical Moment last time; Needs more here but booking of Fallon could be difference.
VERDICT: A rather ordinary listed race which is there for the taking. Based on the fact that he’s progressing fast, has recent form and the yard is going well, RAINBOW PEAK gets the vote. The form of his Wolferton win has been boosted with the second filling that position in the John Smith's Cup , the fourth doing the same in the Ebor and the sixth horse landing a strong Goodwood handicap. Critical Moment will be hard to pass infront and looks a decent each/way saver.
York Ebor Festival 2010 (Day 3) Supporting Races
Sky Bet Melrose Handicap (Class 2) (1.45) - With plenty of front runners in attendance, we know they’ll go fast and whatever wins will have to stay well. With that in mind, MONTREPASSE (each/way) has ideal credentials seeing as he’s won over the trip, will be suited by a strong pace as he’s held up in his races (should settle better) and he’s got a capable claimer on to negate a 7lbs rise, which he should be progressive enough to handle. Zuider Zee is unexposed but is 7lbs higher then when flopping behind Harris Tweed and a big handicap and this is the same test he faces today. Berling is on a serious mark if recapturing his best for but the trip is a worry. Moose Moran and Desert Sage shouldn’t be so big in the market, as the former will like the drop back in trip for an in form yard, and the latter wasn’t disgraced when seventh in the Irish Oaks last time, although she has to prove her stamina. Bay Willow hasn’t given a big sign of being able to stay 1m6f so is reluctantly passed over, also due to the fact that he’s a lot higher than when a good third to Dandino at Royal Ascot, along with the progressive Trovare, whose yard remains in good form. As always, I like to have cover in these races, so I’ll have a second e/w. GREEN LIGHTENING (each/way) might suffer for acing up with what’s likely to be a strong pace but he was kindly treated last time, has had a relatively easy rise in the weight and has a lot of room for improvement based on the fact that he carried his head high but was still able to beat Harris Tweed (albeit a steadily improving one) by a pretty convincing margin.
Sky Bet City Of York Stakes (Listed) (2.50) - Not the greatest listed race, but a special mention given to Mr David who must be watched on the exchanges and in the ring as his Mill Reef fourth gives him the edge on his rivals and his yard are in form. A 5lbs penalty will make life difficult for RED JAZZ (each/way) but he wasn't beaten too far when eighth in Group 2 company at Glorious Goodwood and had previously got to within a length of winning Group 3 races at Ascot and Newmarket, and they were decent affairs too. A bold bid is expected from Yaa Wayl and Castles In The Air, while the presence of Fallon on Place Moon (who should be competitive on his best handicap form) gives him a good shout. Next best for me in a trappy race however, is SKYSURFERS (each/way) on the basis that he was a smart performer on the AW in Dubai earlier this year and will go close if replicating that form here, with his yard in much better form.
Racing Post Convivial Maiden Stakes (4.05) - Strong market support and a short opening price of 7/4 indicate support for Terdaad, Edmaaj was unlucky not to win his maiden first time out, Group 2 entries indicate much better is expected of Star Of Dance, but EL MQUBIL (win) may have achieved most when a very kindly handled fourth to Group race prospect Native Khan and with that under his belt, can go well here.
A rather unattractive affair. DEAUVILLE FLYER (win) boasts the best form and is still progressing based on his fifth in the Northumberland Plate (hampered after 1 & 2f) and his third behind Free Agent (since gone onto better company) in a Listed handicap last time.
Sky Bet City Of York Stakes (Listed) (2.50) - Not the greatest listed race, but a special mention given to Mr David who must be watched on the exchanges and in the ring as his Mill Reef fourth gives him the edge on his rivals and his yard are in form. A 5lbs penalty will make life difficult for RED JAZZ (each/way) but he wasn't beaten too far when eighth in Group 2 company at Glorious Goodwood and had previously got to within a length of winning Group 3 races at Ascot and Newmarket, and they were decent affairs too. A bold bid is expected from Yaa Wayl and Castles In The Air, while the presence of Fallon on Place Moon (who should be competitive on his best handicap form) gives him a good shout. Next best for me in a trappy race however, is SKYSURFERS (each/way) on the basis that he was a smart performer on the AW in Dubai earlier this year and will go close if replicating that form here, with his yard in much better form.
Racing Post Convivial Maiden Stakes (4.05) - Strong market support and a short opening price of 7/4 indicate support for Terdaad, Edmaaj was unlucky not to win his maiden first time out, Group 2 entries indicate much better is expected of Star Of Dance, but EL MQUBIL (win) may have achieved most when a very kindly handled fourth to Group race prospect Native Khan and with that under his belt, can go well here.
A rather unattractive affair. DEAUVILLE FLYER (win) boasts the best form and is still progressing based on his fifth in the Northumberland Plate (hampered after 1 & 2f) and his third behind Free Agent (since gone onto better company) in a Listed handicap last time.
Wednesday, 18 August 2010
York Ebor Festival 2010 (Day 2) Supporting Races
DBS Premier Yearling Stakes (Class 2) (1.45) - It’s impossible to know where to start with this, but the obvious major contender and probably worth favourite is Wotton Bassett, who comes here having won both starts, readily asserting to beat another smart prospect over 6f at Doncaster last time who has won since. The inform Paul Hanangan makes this his pick of the week ad he should run a good race. There don’t seem to be many reasons to oppose him on the face of it but this is a 20 runner race and there are plenty of promising types in attendance. CAPE TO RIO (win) finished seven lengths clear of Sir Reginald when second to Al Aasifh at Newbury last month in a useful looking listed contest and that horse boosted the form yesterday when a staying on third in the Gimcrack. I always like to have an each/way saver in races like this, and it was a very tough choice this time. Despite his Norfolk second being the best form, I don’t get the impression that Reckless Reward really wants 6f and the last time he was in a sales race he below out, so the vote goes to TOM SAWYER (each/way) who needed every yard of the 5 furlong trip when winning at Tipperary last time, with the first 2 coming well clear.
Addleshaw Goddard Handicap (Class 2) (2.50) - Another tricky race to sort out, and one where a lot of horses have run badly on their last start. The draw could have a big effect on things, and as such I’ going for 2 100 rated 3 year olds, one drawn in 20, the other in 1, and both having valid excuses for bad runs last time. RANSOM NOTE (each/way) Has done nothing but improve this season and has run respectably on his last 2 start considering that 1m2f was too far for him at Newmarket and he was simply drawn out of things in the Tote Mile last time. He’s retained a mark of 100 which he should be up to running a big race from given an ideal trip. CAPPONI (each/way) was well beaten off this mark at Goodwood last month but the 1m 2f trip might have been the problem more than the mark that he had, considering that the pace was relentless, the winner, second and third came from quite far back, and he only weakened out of things late. All things considered it was quite a good run. Of the others, the booking of Murtagh for the Noseda yard means that Stoic is obviously not running for the fun of it, the locally-trained Extraterrestrial is now very attractively handicapped, and so might Al Muheer and Proponent, although they had good draws in that race Acrostic might spring a surprise.
European Breeders' Fund Galtres Stakes (Fillies' Listed) (4.05) - Celidh House is open to stacks of improvement following a good third in the Lingfield Oaks trial (second has won Sandringham Handicap), and the booking of Jamie Spencer is a great plus for Zarebiya, but ELDALIL (win) may have achieved more when second in the Ribblesdale and was unsuited by the ground in the Irish Oaks last time. It says a lot that connections supplemented her on the back of an impressive workout for the Irish Oaks. Honimere has run some good races this season while Copperbeech needs to find her best form again. Sense of Purpose has outside claims if visor enables her to pull out a bit more.
eventmasters.co.uk 25th Anniversary Handicap (4.40) - Not the most attractive looking betting heat. PEFECT BLOSSOM (each/way) is up 7lbs in weight and class him but stretched her winning streak to five with victory at Goodwood last month and might still have a lot in her. KINSGATE CHOICE (each/way) looked like a sprinter going places when scoring impressively at Ffos Las and Windsor in May/June.
Addleshaw Goddard Handicap (Class 2) (2.50) - Another tricky race to sort out, and one where a lot of horses have run badly on their last start. The draw could have a big effect on things, and as such I’ going for 2 100 rated 3 year olds, one drawn in 20, the other in 1, and both having valid excuses for bad runs last time. RANSOM NOTE (each/way) Has done nothing but improve this season and has run respectably on his last 2 start considering that 1m2f was too far for him at Newmarket and he was simply drawn out of things in the Tote Mile last time. He’s retained a mark of 100 which he should be up to running a big race from given an ideal trip. CAPPONI (each/way) was well beaten off this mark at Goodwood last month but the 1m 2f trip might have been the problem more than the mark that he had, considering that the pace was relentless, the winner, second and third came from quite far back, and he only weakened out of things late. All things considered it was quite a good run. Of the others, the booking of Murtagh for the Noseda yard means that Stoic is obviously not running for the fun of it, the locally-trained Extraterrestrial is now very attractively handicapped, and so might Al Muheer and Proponent, although they had good draws in that race Acrostic might spring a surprise.
European Breeders' Fund Galtres Stakes (Fillies' Listed) (4.05) - Celidh House is open to stacks of improvement following a good third in the Lingfield Oaks trial (second has won Sandringham Handicap), and the booking of Jamie Spencer is a great plus for Zarebiya, but ELDALIL (win) may have achieved more when second in the Ribblesdale and was unsuited by the ground in the Irish Oaks last time. It says a lot that connections supplemented her on the back of an impressive workout for the Irish Oaks. Honimere has run some good races this season while Copperbeech needs to find her best form again. Sense of Purpose has outside claims if visor enables her to pull out a bit more.
eventmasters.co.uk 25th Anniversary Handicap (4.40) - Not the most attractive looking betting heat. PEFECT BLOSSOM (each/way) is up 7lbs in weight and class him but stretched her winning streak to five with victory at Goodwood last month and might still have a lot in her. KINSGATE CHOICE (each/way) looked like a sprinter going places when scoring impressively at Ffos Las and Windsor in May/June.
Yorkshire Oaks 2010 - York Ebor Meeting 2010 (Day 2)
3.25 York
Darley Yorkshire Oaks (Fillies' Group 1) (Class 1) (3YO plus)
Winner £175,987
Pick: Sariska (win)
Barshiba: Consistent mare who’s run series of cracking races and last season no exception, especially when upped back to 1m4f for her last 2 starts, which include a Yorkshire Oaks among an impressive rout of the Plantation Stud Stakes field under a hefty penalty; Same story with 2 wins this season in listed race and Lancashire Oaks and will give it her all even though she could be left flat footed (behind Midday last time).
Flying Cloud: Has actually improved since joining Godolphin form last season, running away with Ribblesdale Stakes (did not like soft ground when unplaced in Italian Group 1); Would be the pick of this field on her 2 efforts this season, a good third behind Midday and Sariska and a close second to Chinese White in Group 1 Pretty Polly; Didn’t’ t stay 1mf at Goodwood last time but held by Midday and Sariska on earlier form here.
Midday: Improved no end last season, coming second and fourth in the Epsom and Irish Oaks before bolting up in last year’s Nassau, third in the L’Opera and then topping that with an impressive Breeder’s Cup filly and Mare Turf win; Great comeback run when fast closing in on Sariska (giving 5lbs) and bolted up in Nassau last time despite wandering; Major chance here and weighted to trun form around with Sariska.
Sariska: Was the stand out filly of last year with impressive Musidora /Oaks double before completing an Oaks double with consummate ease when landing the Irish Oaks; Beaten in this last year by top class Dar Re Mi before staying on third in Champion Stakes; Reappeared with great win in Middleton Stakes (getting 5lbs from Midday) before a top class second in Coronation Cup; That effort probably sets the standard here and major chance.
Elanora Duse: Showed much promise for better things in 3-y-o career when landing 1m Kempton maiden and duly built on that when strong-finishing second in handicap on seasonal debut; Has since finished close third in Musidora and won listed race easily, so not done improving although this is a very hard race.
Hibaayeb: Improved all the time and is Group 1 class on the basis of her 4 runs as a 2 year old, which included a Fillies’ Mile win on her last start as a 2 year old; Run in 1,000 Guineas can be forgiven and efforts in Prix Saint Alary and Ribblesdale are up to this grade but big blowout in Irish Oaks last time and needs a lot more to make mark here.
Meezenah: Behind 2 pattern winners on her two juvenile starts and improved no end for step up to 12 furlongs when trashing maiden field by 9 lengths; Stepped up hugely on that when an unlucky second in the Epsom Oaks, having been all at sea on track and meeting trouble in running; Should have been closely matched in Irish Oaks with Snow Fairy but hated ground, coming lacklustre fourth; Could come back to form but this is altogether tougher race.
Snow Fairy: Has improved out of all recognition this season for step up to middle distances, showing impressive turn of foot to land the Height Of Fashion Stakes before making mockery of her price when coming with powerful burst under brilliant ride form Ryan Moore to land Oaks, even with troubled passage; No such trouble in Irish Oaks next time, completing Oaks double in emphatic style on soft ground; Comes here on a roll and major chance.
VERDICT: As Michael Bell described it, “a race for the purists”. Snow Fairy comes here after an absolute demolition job I the Irish Oaks, and Midday had a lot in hand despite wandering when bolting up in the Nassau, but SARISKA may have just achieved more when a good second to Fame And Glory in the Coronation Cup last time and is picked on that basis, despite being on negative weight terms with Midday from their meeting at York earlier in the season.
Darley Yorkshire Oaks (Fillies' Group 1) (Class 1) (3YO plus)
Winner £175,987
Pick: Sariska (win)
Barshiba: Consistent mare who’s run series of cracking races and last season no exception, especially when upped back to 1m4f for her last 2 starts, which include a Yorkshire Oaks among an impressive rout of the Plantation Stud Stakes field under a hefty penalty; Same story with 2 wins this season in listed race and Lancashire Oaks and will give it her all even though she could be left flat footed (behind Midday last time).
Flying Cloud: Has actually improved since joining Godolphin form last season, running away with Ribblesdale Stakes (did not like soft ground when unplaced in Italian Group 1); Would be the pick of this field on her 2 efforts this season, a good third behind Midday and Sariska and a close second to Chinese White in Group 1 Pretty Polly; Didn’t’ t stay 1mf at Goodwood last time but held by Midday and Sariska on earlier form here.
Midday: Improved no end last season, coming second and fourth in the Epsom and Irish Oaks before bolting up in last year’s Nassau, third in the L’Opera and then topping that with an impressive Breeder’s Cup filly and Mare Turf win; Great comeback run when fast closing in on Sariska (giving 5lbs) and bolted up in Nassau last time despite wandering; Major chance here and weighted to trun form around with Sariska.
Sariska: Was the stand out filly of last year with impressive Musidora /Oaks double before completing an Oaks double with consummate ease when landing the Irish Oaks; Beaten in this last year by top class Dar Re Mi before staying on third in Champion Stakes; Reappeared with great win in Middleton Stakes (getting 5lbs from Midday) before a top class second in Coronation Cup; That effort probably sets the standard here and major chance.
Elanora Duse: Showed much promise for better things in 3-y-o career when landing 1m Kempton maiden and duly built on that when strong-finishing second in handicap on seasonal debut; Has since finished close third in Musidora and won listed race easily, so not done improving although this is a very hard race.
Hibaayeb: Improved all the time and is Group 1 class on the basis of her 4 runs as a 2 year old, which included a Fillies’ Mile win on her last start as a 2 year old; Run in 1,000 Guineas can be forgiven and efforts in Prix Saint Alary and Ribblesdale are up to this grade but big blowout in Irish Oaks last time and needs a lot more to make mark here.
Meezenah: Behind 2 pattern winners on her two juvenile starts and improved no end for step up to 12 furlongs when trashing maiden field by 9 lengths; Stepped up hugely on that when an unlucky second in the Epsom Oaks, having been all at sea on track and meeting trouble in running; Should have been closely matched in Irish Oaks with Snow Fairy but hated ground, coming lacklustre fourth; Could come back to form but this is altogether tougher race.
Snow Fairy: Has improved out of all recognition this season for step up to middle distances, showing impressive turn of foot to land the Height Of Fashion Stakes before making mockery of her price when coming with powerful burst under brilliant ride form Ryan Moore to land Oaks, even with troubled passage; No such trouble in Irish Oaks next time, completing Oaks double in emphatic style on soft ground; Comes here on a roll and major chance.
VERDICT: As Michael Bell described it, “a race for the purists”. Snow Fairy comes here after an absolute demolition job I the Irish Oaks, and Midday had a lot in hand despite wandering when bolting up in the Nassau, but SARISKA may have just achieved more when a good second to Fame And Glory in the Coronation Cup last time and is picked on that basis, despite being on negative weight terms with Midday from their meeting at York earlier in the season.
Lowther Stakes 2010 - York Ebor Meeting 2010 (Day 2)
2.15 York
Jaguar Cars Lowther Stakes (Fillies' Group 2) (Class 1) (2YO only)
Winner £56,770
Pick: Margot Did (win)
Maqaasid: Showed immense promise on debut and realized that very quickly when winning Queen Mary Stakes last time, always cruising nicely and picking up smartly; Form of that race has fallen to pieces since though, and 3lbs penalty makes her no certainty here.
Hooray: Went some way to confirming big impression that she made on debut when eighth (behind Margot did but third on her side) and then third in Cheery Hinton Stakes; Can be forven lacklustre effort (hampered start) when tried at 5f at Newbury last Friday but has some ground to make up on form and only 6 days since hard race on soft round.
Imperialistic Diva: Looked quite average when taking three tries to get off mark at third attempt in maiden at York in June; Took a step up when third behind Khor Sheed in listed race, but that event did not look strong beforehand and although she has done well with Princess Marget fourth (behind Margot Did and Perfect Tribute.
Joyously: Has run series of decent races since landing Bath seller in May and was only a couple of lengths behind Margot Did 3 starts back in Yarmouth Novice Stakes; Has since been beaten in receipt of more than 8lbs last time out and looks to have a tough task.
Margot Did: Smooth winner of first 2 races and bold bid in Albany Stakes at Royal meeting here, quickening a couple of lengths clear only to be collared late by Memory; That renewal working out well and solid effort when collared late on by Sorayya in Princess Margret Stakes, so should go well again.
Perfect Tribute: Made comfortable work of landing 8-runner maiden at Salisbury (5f) on introduction, drawing away at finish; Ran a solid race when 2 & ½ lengths behind Margot Did on her latest start, pulling hard early and only just weakening at finish; If settling nicely can take a hand in proceedings here.
Queen Of Spain: Taking her time to come to hand but probably put up best effort yet when seventh in Albany (3rd of 12 on her side, having beaten Hooray); Long odds on when clear-cut winner of maiden at Naas, but has since finished behind 3 opponents when sixth in Princess Margret Stakes.
Rimth: Bred to be a flying machine (By Oasis Dream; half-sister to high-class 2yo/sprinter and King´s Stand winner Dominica and duly confirmed promise of breeding when produced a fine turn of foot to win 16-runner maiden over 5f at Windsor in May (form worked out very well for the grade); Hasn’t been seen since which is a slight worry but excellent prospect and booking of Jamie Spencer augurs well.
VERDICT: Massaquid overcame trouble to win the Queen Mary and is sure to be well supported here, but that form has fallen to pieces since and a 3lbs penalty makes life tougher, so the percentage call is to take her on. MARGOT DID may have achieved more when coming a close second to Memory and Sorayya on her last 2 starts and has a big chance getting 3lbs from Massaquid, which will help in a battle. Rimth looks like an excellent prospect and should go nicely under Jamie Spencer, while Perfect Tribute could also be in the shake – up in not pulling early.
Jaguar Cars Lowther Stakes (Fillies' Group 2) (Class 1) (2YO only)
Winner £56,770
Pick: Margot Did (win)
Maqaasid: Showed immense promise on debut and realized that very quickly when winning Queen Mary Stakes last time, always cruising nicely and picking up smartly; Form of that race has fallen to pieces since though, and 3lbs penalty makes her no certainty here.
Hooray: Went some way to confirming big impression that she made on debut when eighth (behind Margot did but third on her side) and then third in Cheery Hinton Stakes; Can be forven lacklustre effort (hampered start) when tried at 5f at Newbury last Friday but has some ground to make up on form and only 6 days since hard race on soft round.
Imperialistic Diva: Looked quite average when taking three tries to get off mark at third attempt in maiden at York in June; Took a step up when third behind Khor Sheed in listed race, but that event did not look strong beforehand and although she has done well with Princess Marget fourth (behind Margot Did and Perfect Tribute.
Joyously: Has run series of decent races since landing Bath seller in May and was only a couple of lengths behind Margot Did 3 starts back in Yarmouth Novice Stakes; Has since been beaten in receipt of more than 8lbs last time out and looks to have a tough task.
Margot Did: Smooth winner of first 2 races and bold bid in Albany Stakes at Royal meeting here, quickening a couple of lengths clear only to be collared late by Memory; That renewal working out well and solid effort when collared late on by Sorayya in Princess Margret Stakes, so should go well again.
Perfect Tribute: Made comfortable work of landing 8-runner maiden at Salisbury (5f) on introduction, drawing away at finish; Ran a solid race when 2 & ½ lengths behind Margot Did on her latest start, pulling hard early and only just weakening at finish; If settling nicely can take a hand in proceedings here.
Queen Of Spain: Taking her time to come to hand but probably put up best effort yet when seventh in Albany (3rd of 12 on her side, having beaten Hooray); Long odds on when clear-cut winner of maiden at Naas, but has since finished behind 3 opponents when sixth in Princess Margret Stakes.
Rimth: Bred to be a flying machine (By Oasis Dream; half-sister to high-class 2yo/sprinter and King´s Stand winner Dominica and duly confirmed promise of breeding when produced a fine turn of foot to win 16-runner maiden over 5f at Windsor in May (form worked out very well for the grade); Hasn’t been seen since which is a slight worry but excellent prospect and booking of Jamie Spencer augurs well.
VERDICT: Massaquid overcame trouble to win the Queen Mary and is sure to be well supported here, but that form has fallen to pieces since and a 3lbs penalty makes life tougher, so the percentage call is to take her on. MARGOT DID may have achieved more when coming a close second to Memory and Sorayya on her last 2 starts and has a big chance getting 3lbs from Massaquid, which will help in a battle. Rimth looks like an excellent prospect and should go nicely under Jamie Spencer, while Perfect Tribute could also be in the shake – up in not pulling early.
York Ebor Festival 2010 (Day 2) Supporting Races
totesport.com Handicap (Class 2) (1.45) - A very hard handicap and a minimum stakes affair, despite it being a good quality race. LIFE AND SOUL (each/way) is still going the right way and should have won at Ascot in the Shergar Cup last time out. Stawa Moon should go close and is the main danger, while the Mark Johnston pair are also big players. It might be best to have a small each/way on ANHAR, who shouldn't be written off with the headgear discarded this time.
totesport Ebor (Heritage Handicap) (3.25) – MARTYR (each/way) is a rightful favourite that will be very hard to beat after what looked a competitive handicap at Glorious Goodwood into a procession. He must go close under a 4lb penalty and is well in. ELYAADI (each/way) has run crackers in 2 races this season, running away with a Leopardstown handicap over this trip on her return and then posted a might effort to come second in the Ascot handicap next time, a race which has worked out really well with the winner (Junior) and fourth (Ghimaar) fighting out a good handicap at Goodwood last time. She’s only 2lbs higher today. Overturn is on an absolute roll and has been a revelation but the other jockeys might be wiser to his tactics today, and he does seem a little reliant on the lead, not to mention he had a hard race in the Galway Hurdle just 20 days ago. Fortuni needed a lot of time to get over sickness but should go nicely here and will stay this far. However other horses seem to hold stronger claims on a lot of levels. Dirar has run stormers on his last 6 runs and was a good solid third in the Galway Hurdle last time. The draw is perfect, this trip should be OK, the booking of Jamie Spencer is a massive plus, but he’s 17lbs worse off on Galway Hurdle form. Hillview Boy should like a step up in trip but just needs a lot more to be frank. Dangerous Midge is a group horse in the making but the 13lbs rise and topweight could stop him today. Rosika is on a very decent mark too, for a horse that will stay 1m6f.
Julia Graves Roses Stakes (Listed) (4.05) - It’s hard to oppose FACE THE PROBLEM (win). After a good fourth on his debut at Newbury in May, he has won his next three starts, including a C&D success and looked easily group class on both his last 2 starts. He is only 6/4 and you could hardly go wrong with an each/way saver on CHOOSE WISELY, who made progress to land his first win when knuckling down well to land a Carlisle maiden, and probably improved on that when fifth in a listed race in France next time before his career best third In the Molecomb Stakes. Cadeaux Pearl had nothing to beat at Sandown last time but was still impressive and represents the leading yard for 2 year olds, whilst Pabausar looks well a worth a crack at this grade.
E.B.F. totepool Fillies' Handicap (Class 2) (4.40) - Soorah is going the right way and was infront to soon last time, while Gobama is going to be taking a hand in events like this as she’s still going the right way, but she’s not the easiest of rides and PATH OF PEACE (each/way) was unlucky last time at Thirsk when hampered and snatched up two furlongs out. She’s 11lbs better off for an unlucky 8 length beating with Gobama and should go well here.
totesport Ebor (Heritage Handicap) (3.25) – MARTYR (each/way) is a rightful favourite that will be very hard to beat after what looked a competitive handicap at Glorious Goodwood into a procession. He must go close under a 4lb penalty and is well in. ELYAADI (each/way) has run crackers in 2 races this season, running away with a Leopardstown handicap over this trip on her return and then posted a might effort to come second in the Ascot handicap next time, a race which has worked out really well with the winner (Junior) and fourth (Ghimaar) fighting out a good handicap at Goodwood last time. She’s only 2lbs higher today. Overturn is on an absolute roll and has been a revelation but the other jockeys might be wiser to his tactics today, and he does seem a little reliant on the lead, not to mention he had a hard race in the Galway Hurdle just 20 days ago. Fortuni needed a lot of time to get over sickness but should go nicely here and will stay this far. However other horses seem to hold stronger claims on a lot of levels. Dirar has run stormers on his last 6 runs and was a good solid third in the Galway Hurdle last time. The draw is perfect, this trip should be OK, the booking of Jamie Spencer is a massive plus, but he’s 17lbs worse off on Galway Hurdle form. Hillview Boy should like a step up in trip but just needs a lot more to be frank. Dangerous Midge is a group horse in the making but the 13lbs rise and topweight could stop him today. Rosika is on a very decent mark too, for a horse that will stay 1m6f.
Julia Graves Roses Stakes (Listed) (4.05) - It’s hard to oppose FACE THE PROBLEM (win). After a good fourth on his debut at Newbury in May, he has won his next three starts, including a C&D success and looked easily group class on both his last 2 starts. He is only 6/4 and you could hardly go wrong with an each/way saver on CHOOSE WISELY, who made progress to land his first win when knuckling down well to land a Carlisle maiden, and probably improved on that when fifth in a listed race in France next time before his career best third In the Molecomb Stakes. Cadeaux Pearl had nothing to beat at Sandown last time but was still impressive and represents the leading yard for 2 year olds, whilst Pabausar looks well a worth a crack at this grade.
E.B.F. totepool Fillies' Handicap (Class 2) (4.40) - Soorah is going the right way and was infront to soon last time, while Gobama is going to be taking a hand in events like this as she’s still going the right way, but she’s not the easiest of rides and PATH OF PEACE (each/way) was unlucky last time at Thirsk when hampered and snatched up two furlongs out. She’s 11lbs better off for an unlucky 8 length beating with Gobama and should go well here.
Tuesday, 17 August 2010
Gimcrack Stakes 2010 - York Ebor Meeting 2010 (Day 2)
2.50 York
Irish Thoroughbred Marketing Gimcrack Stakes (Group 2) (Class 1) (2YO only)
Winner £89,963
Pick: Casual Glimpse (win)
Approve: Showed promise early on and has run to a high level since, winning the Norfolk Stakes, coming fourth in the July Stakes and third in Prix Robert Papin (unlucky to lose); Once again has penalty but sets a decent standard and will be right there.
Formosina: Showed promise when third behind Strong Suit on debut and made formality of breaking maiden at Doncaster; Improved again when he broke the Aidan O'Brien stranglehold on the Railway Stakes, edging out Samuel Morse by a short-head at the Curragh; Ran flat when last in Superlative Stakes but only beaten 3 & ½ lengths under a 3lbs penalty, form of that race has worked out and trainer has admitted he was rushed out too early after Railway Stakes win; Booking of Murtagh signals yard means business and should go well here – NON RUNNER
Casual Glimpse: Comes from top yard for 2 year olds who made a good debut at Goodwood first time out (form looks good for the grade); Just couldn’t recover from bad start on second start at Epsom (hated track) and proved that wrong when comfortably winning good conditions Contest at Newmarket, with Coventry and Richmond Stakes third Royayh well beaten; Supplementary entry gives a lot of confidence and entitled to take a hand.
Crown Prosecutor: Form of his maiden win over 6f Goodwood has been franked time and time again and took another step forward when landing conditions event (form been boosted by runner-up since) only to have everything go wrong in Vintage Stakes, getting pushed around and shuffled back at the top of the hill and then weakening out of things; Promise remains intact and no surprise to see him go very well here.
Dubawi Gold: Well backed and bolted up on debut, drawing away readily after travelling well for long way; Pulled hard when beaten by High Award at Epsom and has since finished well behind Approve In Norfolk Stakes, so more needed for sure.
Gold Pearl: Was still green when breaking maiden last time out at Windsor, needing maximum assistance from Ryan Moore to win by a neck; Can step forward again but needs a lot more to take a big hand.
Move In Time: Improved a ton from debut here over C&D when winning 15-runner maiden at Newcastle in decisive fashion before proving out of depth in Coventry Stakes; Good third in Super Sprint last time but no reasons to reverse form with Temple Meads from that meeting.
Premier Clarets: A real trier who has run well on all runs, running into a good sort on debut getting job done in good style on his next start, before running well in defeat in listed company; Same story last time and has a lot to do on that.
Shropshire: Excellent pedigree and fetched 70,000 Euros at sales; Created excellent impression when cruising home in 6f maiden at Haydock, easing to front and going away for a cosily victory (second has won and finished second since); Smart prospect and could easily take a hand.
Sir Reginald: Travelled smoothly when finding only smart Elzaam too strong on debut over C&D in May but probably hasn’t run up to that form since, all out to land the odds here next time out and disappointing third in listed company last time; Probably one of better juveniles from in form yard but only 1 run entitles him to take hand.
Temple Meads: Justified good support on debut at Newmarket on 1000 Guineas day when running away with decent 5f maiden and ran out a decisive and impressive winner of Super Sprint last time, looking like colt with future in Group company; Gives impression there is more to come and major player.
Trade Storm: Has improved with each start in maidens and got of mark in pretty decent style over 7f last time, looking as if he’d improved for step up in trip; Needs to find a lot more and set to struggle on the face of things back down in trip.
VERDICT: Shropshire shaped with bags of promise on his debut, Temple Meads is improving and well worth a crack at Group races, Crown Prosecutor still retains the promise he showed before Goodwood and should do well down in trip, and all of them have a pretty high standard to shoot at in the shape of Approve. CASUAL GLIMPSE comes from the top 2 year old yard this season, and holds a good chance based on his smart win in the July Course last time. A supplementary entry gives a note as to what connections think of his chances.
Irish Thoroughbred Marketing Gimcrack Stakes (Group 2) (Class 1) (2YO only)
Winner £89,963
Pick: Casual Glimpse (win)
Approve: Showed promise early on and has run to a high level since, winning the Norfolk Stakes, coming fourth in the July Stakes and third in Prix Robert Papin (unlucky to lose); Once again has penalty but sets a decent standard and will be right there.
Formosina: Showed promise when third behind Strong Suit on debut and made formality of breaking maiden at Doncaster; Improved again when he broke the Aidan O'Brien stranglehold on the Railway Stakes, edging out Samuel Morse by a short-head at the Curragh; Ran flat when last in Superlative Stakes but only beaten 3 & ½ lengths under a 3lbs penalty, form of that race has worked out and trainer has admitted he was rushed out too early after Railway Stakes win; Booking of Murtagh signals yard means business and should go well here – NON RUNNER
Casual Glimpse: Comes from top yard for 2 year olds who made a good debut at Goodwood first time out (form looks good for the grade); Just couldn’t recover from bad start on second start at Epsom (hated track) and proved that wrong when comfortably winning good conditions Contest at Newmarket, with Coventry and Richmond Stakes third Royayh well beaten; Supplementary entry gives a lot of confidence and entitled to take a hand.
Crown Prosecutor: Form of his maiden win over 6f Goodwood has been franked time and time again and took another step forward when landing conditions event (form been boosted by runner-up since) only to have everything go wrong in Vintage Stakes, getting pushed around and shuffled back at the top of the hill and then weakening out of things; Promise remains intact and no surprise to see him go very well here.
Dubawi Gold: Well backed and bolted up on debut, drawing away readily after travelling well for long way; Pulled hard when beaten by High Award at Epsom and has since finished well behind Approve In Norfolk Stakes, so more needed for sure.
Gold Pearl: Was still green when breaking maiden last time out at Windsor, needing maximum assistance from Ryan Moore to win by a neck; Can step forward again but needs a lot more to take a big hand.
Move In Time: Improved a ton from debut here over C&D when winning 15-runner maiden at Newcastle in decisive fashion before proving out of depth in Coventry Stakes; Good third in Super Sprint last time but no reasons to reverse form with Temple Meads from that meeting.
Premier Clarets: A real trier who has run well on all runs, running into a good sort on debut getting job done in good style on his next start, before running well in defeat in listed company; Same story last time and has a lot to do on that.
Shropshire: Excellent pedigree and fetched 70,000 Euros at sales; Created excellent impression when cruising home in 6f maiden at Haydock, easing to front and going away for a cosily victory (second has won and finished second since); Smart prospect and could easily take a hand.
Sir Reginald: Travelled smoothly when finding only smart Elzaam too strong on debut over C&D in May but probably hasn’t run up to that form since, all out to land the odds here next time out and disappointing third in listed company last time; Probably one of better juveniles from in form yard but only 1 run entitles him to take hand.
Temple Meads: Justified good support on debut at Newmarket on 1000 Guineas day when running away with decent 5f maiden and ran out a decisive and impressive winner of Super Sprint last time, looking like colt with future in Group company; Gives impression there is more to come and major player.
Trade Storm: Has improved with each start in maidens and got of mark in pretty decent style over 7f last time, looking as if he’d improved for step up in trip; Needs to find a lot more and set to struggle on the face of things back down in trip.
VERDICT: Shropshire shaped with bags of promise on his debut, Temple Meads is improving and well worth a crack at Group races, Crown Prosecutor still retains the promise he showed before Goodwood and should do well down in trip, and all of them have a pretty high standard to shoot at in the shape of Approve. CASUAL GLIMPSE comes from the top 2 year old yard this season, and holds a good chance based on his smart win in the July Course last time. A supplementary entry gives a note as to what connections think of his chances.
Lonsdale Cup 2010 - Ebor Festival 2010 (Day 2)
2.15 York
Weatherbys Insurance Lonsdale Cup (Group 2) (Class 1) (3YO plus)
Winner £79,478
Pick: Electrolyser (win & each/way)
Akmal: Ran on a real streak in 2009, getting 7 wins and landing 2m Group 3 at Newmarket on final start; Hasn’t been as consistent but best effort when landing Henry II Stakes under canny ride; More needed under penalty but capable.
Illustrious Blue: Admirable campaigner who has excellent record at Goodwood (7 wins there) and improved for first try over this trip when winning Sagaro Stakes at Ascot; Beaten on next 2 starts but was giving weight to King Of Wands and Akmal, and put in best effort yet when landing Goodwood Cup last time; Hard to tell if that was through real improvement or due to his favourite course (not to mention a leg injury suffered by Age Of Aquarius) but if repeating that form should go well here.
Ask: Always shown high level of form (sixth behind Zarkava in Arc 2 seasons ago) and romped home with Yorkshire Cup last season before winning Coronation Cup in good style; Excelled himself in improving still when third behind Conduit and Tartan Bearer in King George and won another top level race when wining Prix Royal Oak; Came to Ascot Gold Cup without a run but was still backed into 11/4 favourite; Disappointing when only fifth but would have needed the run following a break and ground was very fast; Should go well here under Oliver Peslier. – NON RUNNER.
Electrolysis: Won 2m listed race at Ascot in 2009 and showed further improvement when third to Illustrious Blue in Sagaro Stakes there in April; Possibly didn’t have to improve to come second in Goodwood Cup behind Illustrious Blue but he is 3lbs better off an d weighted to reverse form.
Free Agent: Although he never quite went on from his 2 year old promise, he shaped like a stayer when showing decent form last year; Improved on second start back, beating Drunken Sailor in listed handicap over 1¾m at York; Ran solid race when fourth in Goodwood Cup last time although has to repose top 2.
King Of Wands: Has made up into quite a useful stayer this season, actually getting better of Illustrious Blue last time out; That form on balance gives him strong hand but he was getting 5lbs and this is a much stronger contest.
Moon Indigo: Held some useful form for Ballydoyle last season and satisfactory start for Howard Johnson when fourth behind Free Agent last time but this a lot stronger contest.
Opinion Poll: Progressive sort who fairly romped away with big 12f handicap last year at Ascot and is even better with cut in the ground, as he showed when looking like Group horse all over when cantering away at Nottingham at beginning of season; Has since won a listed race cosily in France but well beaten on other 2 starts and others appeal more.
Samuel: Third in Yorkshire Cup 2 years ago before 2 useful efforts behind Tranquil Tiger and Distinction; Ran very well on comeback from long break last time out but needs more to make impact in this.
Tastahil: Did nothing but improve last year, taking his form to a new level with a nice all the way success at Newbury in soft ground before good string of efforts in group company; Gallant front running effort in Chester Cup under topweight but outclassed in Gold Cup and needs a lot more to be competitive.
VERDICT: King Of Wands is progressing nicely, A back to form Akmal should go well, Opinion Poll will like the ground more if it has cut, while Illustrious Blue should also take the beating but ELECTROLYSER is weighted to reverse form from their Goodwood Cup Meeting and is backed on that basis.
Weatherbys Insurance Lonsdale Cup (Group 2) (Class 1) (3YO plus)
Winner £79,478
Pick: Electrolyser (win & each/way)
Akmal: Ran on a real streak in 2009, getting 7 wins and landing 2m Group 3 at Newmarket on final start; Hasn’t been as consistent but best effort when landing Henry II Stakes under canny ride; More needed under penalty but capable.
Illustrious Blue: Admirable campaigner who has excellent record at Goodwood (7 wins there) and improved for first try over this trip when winning Sagaro Stakes at Ascot; Beaten on next 2 starts but was giving weight to King Of Wands and Akmal, and put in best effort yet when landing Goodwood Cup last time; Hard to tell if that was through real improvement or due to his favourite course (not to mention a leg injury suffered by Age Of Aquarius) but if repeating that form should go well here.
Ask: Always shown high level of form (sixth behind Zarkava in Arc 2 seasons ago) and romped home with Yorkshire Cup last season before winning Coronation Cup in good style; Excelled himself in improving still when third behind Conduit and Tartan Bearer in King George and won another top level race when wining Prix Royal Oak; Came to Ascot Gold Cup without a run but was still backed into 11/4 favourite; Disappointing when only fifth but would have needed the run following a break and ground was very fast; Should go well here under Oliver Peslier. – NON RUNNER.
Electrolysis: Won 2m listed race at Ascot in 2009 and showed further improvement when third to Illustrious Blue in Sagaro Stakes there in April; Possibly didn’t have to improve to come second in Goodwood Cup behind Illustrious Blue but he is 3lbs better off an d weighted to reverse form.
Free Agent: Although he never quite went on from his 2 year old promise, he shaped like a stayer when showing decent form last year; Improved on second start back, beating Drunken Sailor in listed handicap over 1¾m at York; Ran solid race when fourth in Goodwood Cup last time although has to repose top 2.
King Of Wands: Has made up into quite a useful stayer this season, actually getting better of Illustrious Blue last time out; That form on balance gives him strong hand but he was getting 5lbs and this is a much stronger contest.
Moon Indigo: Held some useful form for Ballydoyle last season and satisfactory start for Howard Johnson when fourth behind Free Agent last time but this a lot stronger contest.
Opinion Poll: Progressive sort who fairly romped away with big 12f handicap last year at Ascot and is even better with cut in the ground, as he showed when looking like Group horse all over when cantering away at Nottingham at beginning of season; Has since won a listed race cosily in France but well beaten on other 2 starts and others appeal more.
Samuel: Third in Yorkshire Cup 2 years ago before 2 useful efforts behind Tranquil Tiger and Distinction; Ran very well on comeback from long break last time out but needs more to make impact in this.
Tastahil: Did nothing but improve last year, taking his form to a new level with a nice all the way success at Newbury in soft ground before good string of efforts in group company; Gallant front running effort in Chester Cup under topweight but outclassed in Gold Cup and needs a lot more to be competitive.
VERDICT: King Of Wands is progressing nicely, A back to form Akmal should go well, Opinion Poll will like the ground more if it has cut, while Illustrious Blue should also take the beating but ELECTROLYSER is weighted to reverse form from their Goodwood Cup Meeting and is backed on that basis.
Monday, 16 August 2010
York Ebor Festival 2010 (Day 1) Supporting Races
Symphony Group Handicap (Class 2) (1.45) - Improvement for ease in the ground may help WALVIS BAY (each/way) compensate for an 8ls rise for a good win in a Ripon Handicap last time and he should go nicely here. HOTHAM is the second each/way bet advised as he won last time and should make a bold bid again.
Sportingbet.com Nursery (4.05) – A tricky contest so I’ll just pick 2 and move on. The Hannon and Hughes combo were dominant in Nurseries at Glorious Goodwood and JAAHIZ looks to have excellent credentials here, as he should be suited by the step up in trip and had looked like a great Nursery prospect when bolting up over this C&D 2 starts back. The second each/way pick is HONEYMEAD, who is almost certainly better than she was able to show in the Albany at Royal Ascot, and she can go close off a mark of 82.
Patrington Haven Leisure Park Handicap (4.40) - Royal Destination is dangerous to underestimate with Oliver Peslier on aboard off a mark just 1lbs higher then when winning last year. The top 2 take the eye here in a nightmare race. ALMUIDQAAD (each/way) is 6lbs better off with Changingtheguard from their Glorious Goodwood meet and if ridden with restraint this time, can go closer here. Party Doctor is a tempting pick but he ran poorly last time and might not stay. SIRVINO was one of the most progressive handicappers of 2009, his highlight coming when winning John Smith's Cup over C&D. He didn’t have to be knocked about to get to within 5 lengths of Mabait and Rio De La Plata on return and if he improves, he should go well.
Sportingbet.com Nursery (4.05) – A tricky contest so I’ll just pick 2 and move on. The Hannon and Hughes combo were dominant in Nurseries at Glorious Goodwood and JAAHIZ looks to have excellent credentials here, as he should be suited by the step up in trip and had looked like a great Nursery prospect when bolting up over this C&D 2 starts back. The second each/way pick is HONEYMEAD, who is almost certainly better than she was able to show in the Albany at Royal Ascot, and she can go close off a mark of 82.
Patrington Haven Leisure Park Handicap (4.40) - Royal Destination is dangerous to underestimate with Oliver Peslier on aboard off a mark just 1lbs higher then when winning last year. The top 2 take the eye here in a nightmare race. ALMUIDQAAD (each/way) is 6lbs better off with Changingtheguard from their Glorious Goodwood meet and if ridden with restraint this time, can go closer here. Party Doctor is a tempting pick but he ran poorly last time and might not stay. SIRVINO was one of the most progressive handicappers of 2009, his highlight coming when winning John Smith's Cup over C&D. He didn’t have to be knocked about to get to within 5 lengths of Mabait and Rio De La Plata on return and if he improves, he should go well.
Acomb Stakes 2010 - Ebor Festival 2010 (Day 1)
2.15 York
sportingbet.com Acomb Stakes (Group 3) (Class 1) (2YO only)
Winner £29,630
Pick: Lake Ontario (win)
Dream Ahead: Smashed into on debut and didn’t disappointing, looking group class colt with a future when bolting in by 9 lengths on debut, still green as he hung badly left when clear; Could well be more to come and probably sets the standard to aim at.
Katell: Probably took another step forward from winning start in 5f Beverley maiden when 5 lengths second in 6f Nottingham minor event last time but major step forward needed to take hand here and he didn’t look too progressive last time.
Lake Ontario: Well-regarded Johannesburg colt who was well beaten on his debut at Leopardstown but improved immensely to win a Naas maiden by five lengths last time, drawing away steadily in last furlong; Good vibes coming from trainer and more improvement on cards.
Rigoletto: Came on from debut when winning 7f Chester maiden, looking about in front before responding when under pressure getting better of odd- on Profoundo Rosso; Yet again more needed to make mark here.
Satin Love: Overcame greenness when winning maiden at Hamilton by 5l on debut and ran respectable race when fifth in Richmond, having been green and not gotten best of runs; Still has to overturn form with The Long Game but should be there or thereabouts.
Silvertrees: Made promising debut in 7f Haydock maiden last month, making all and finding plenty off bridle; Could go well although form of his maiden seems a little low grade to be making big step up here.
The Long Game: Improved from debut to win maiden at Ascot in clear style, looking better further he went; Hard to say whether he improved or regressed when fourth in Richmond Stakes, as he was green and off the bridle early and was a laboured fourth; That form on paper gives him good chance and he should like the step up in trip; Interesting contender here.
Timothy T: Bagged the rail and made all when wining last time out confirming debut promise, but neither of his 2 runs really up to much on form and he had a relatively easy task in hindsight last time.
Waiter’s Dream: Improving with each runs, confirming promise shown when sixth at Newbury and seventh at Salisbury when making easy work of things last time out at Newbury, making all and having the race in the bag from long way out; Fallon on again and should go on improving although this is a good Group 3 contest.
VERDICT: A strong looking renewal of a good juvenile contest, with a number coming here on the back of impressive wins, although this isn't a race to go big in at all and probably more a watching brief than anything else. Irish or American Bred horses have won 10 of he last 10 renewals and LAKE ONTARIO looked a horse worth a crack at Group company when winning at Naas last time and should go well with the withdrawal of a number of horses possibly to his benefit. Satin Love is the main danger, as he didn't get a fair crack of the whip in the Richmond Stakes.
sportingbet.com Acomb Stakes (Group 3) (Class 1) (2YO only)
Winner £29,630
Pick: Lake Ontario (win)
Dream Ahead: Smashed into on debut and didn’t disappointing, looking group class colt with a future when bolting in by 9 lengths on debut, still green as he hung badly left when clear; Could well be more to come and probably sets the standard to aim at.
Katell: Probably took another step forward from winning start in 5f Beverley maiden when 5 lengths second in 6f Nottingham minor event last time but major step forward needed to take hand here and he didn’t look too progressive last time.
Lake Ontario: Well-regarded Johannesburg colt who was well beaten on his debut at Leopardstown but improved immensely to win a Naas maiden by five lengths last time, drawing away steadily in last furlong; Good vibes coming from trainer and more improvement on cards.
Rigoletto: Came on from debut when winning 7f Chester maiden, looking about in front before responding when under pressure getting better of odd- on Profoundo Rosso; Yet again more needed to make mark here.
Satin Love: Overcame greenness when winning maiden at Hamilton by 5l on debut and ran respectable race when fifth in Richmond, having been green and not gotten best of runs; Still has to overturn form with The Long Game but should be there or thereabouts.
Silvertrees: Made promising debut in 7f Haydock maiden last month, making all and finding plenty off bridle; Could go well although form of his maiden seems a little low grade to be making big step up here.
The Long Game: Improved from debut to win maiden at Ascot in clear style, looking better further he went; Hard to say whether he improved or regressed when fourth in Richmond Stakes, as he was green and off the bridle early and was a laboured fourth; That form on paper gives him good chance and he should like the step up in trip; Interesting contender here.
Timothy T: Bagged the rail and made all when wining last time out confirming debut promise, but neither of his 2 runs really up to much on form and he had a relatively easy task in hindsight last time.
Waiter’s Dream: Improving with each runs, confirming promise shown when sixth at Newbury and seventh at Salisbury when making easy work of things last time out at Newbury, making all and having the race in the bag from long way out; Fallon on again and should go on improving although this is a good Group 3 contest.
VERDICT: A strong looking renewal of a good juvenile contest, with a number coming here on the back of impressive wins, although this isn't a race to go big in at all and probably more a watching brief than anything else. Irish or American Bred horses have won 10 of he last 10 renewals and LAKE ONTARIO looked a horse worth a crack at Group company when winning at Naas last time and should go well with the withdrawal of a number of horses possibly to his benefit. Satin Love is the main danger, as he didn't get a fair crack of the whip in the Richmond Stakes.
Juddmonte International Stakes 2010 - Ebor Festival 2010 (Day 1)
3.25 York
Juddmonte International Stakes (Group 1) (Class 1) (3YO plus)
Winner £371,865
Pick: Rip Van Winkle (win)
Bushman: Lightly raced and good sort who has always been talented and finally put it together at pattern level earlier this year, winning listed contest and then Diomed Stakes; Built on that even when second in York Stakes last time but likely to be found wanting at this level.
Byword: Showed a lot of promise last season, winning listed race cosily before good efforts in Group company; Improved tons this season , winning Group 2 easily and confirming himself in top bracket when pushing Goldikova al the way in 9f Prix D’Isphan, cementing improvement when winning Prince Of Wales’s Stakes by half a length from fast closing Twice Over; Pair should be closely matched but improving all the time and should take big hand.
Calvaryman: Enjoyed a progressive 2009, winning three times (including the Prix Niel and Grand Prix De Paris) before coming third in the Arc; Yet to reach same heights for new stable (Saeed Bin Suroor) and well behind Byword last time; Dettoir picks him over Cutlass Bay, which is interesting.
Cutlass Bay: Took his previously unbeaten record to 5 wins from 5 start when coming away to win the Prix Ganay very nicely from Prix L’Opera winner Shalanaya, especially when you consider how much he hung when making his challenge; Was a major blowout on first start for Goldolphin and needs to improve majorly on that, although booking of Fallon is a major plus.
Jakkalberry: Italian raider who made it 6 wins from 10 starts when capturing 1½m Group 1 Gran Premio di Milano in June; Shorter trip and different ground are no problem and unwise to underestimate seeing as his beating of Getaway, Campanologist and Quiano is useful form; Peslier major coup on board.
Rip Van Winkle: Highly regarded horse who finally put it all together last season, when putting together string of high class efforts before romping away with Sussex last year, before using sheer class to put him through QE11 Stakes, beating Zacinto; Hasn’t been seen at best since but valid excuses having been over the top at Breeder’s Cup, before needing the run when sixth in Queen Anne; Ran a very good race when close second to Canford Cliffs and major chance seeing as he’s still nearing his peak.
Stimulation: Looked very good in 2008 when landing Challenge Stakes at Newmarket and best form since when excellent fourth behind Byword at Royal Ascot but poor run last time and hard to be positive about.
Twice Over: Always shown a high class level of form but was transformed by 2 confidence boosters last season before taking Champion Stakes and then coming third in Breeders Cup Classic; Needed the run badly when nearly last in Dubai World Cup and could be judged unlucky when second in Prince Of Wale’s Stakes behind Byword; Solid when winning Eclipse and should be right there on form.
Dick Turpin: Won first 4 starts, being as short as 16/1 for classics this season after winning sales race easily at Fairyhouse (Form flattened out but had excuses at the last backend); Has been super consistent revelation this year, winning Greenham before finishing runner – up in English Guineas, French Guineas, and St James’s Palace when running away with Prix Jean Prat last time; Step up 10f shouldn’t be a problem given way he races (very relaxed) and major chance.
VERDICT: As good a renewal of this race as we’ve ever seen, with 7 of the 9 horses having won a Group 1 at some point. Big cases can be made for Twice Over or Byword, but RIP VAN WINKLE is equally as effective over this trip and will take all the beating if near his peak on his best form, which is a close second to last year’s winner Sea The Stars in the Coral Eclipse. It’s fascinating that Frankie Dettori has chosen Cavalryman over Cutlass Bay, and while both could spring a surprise, the latter is preferred off the 2. It would be unwise to leave Jallakberry out of consideration seeing as his beating of Getaway, Campanologist and Quiano is useful form. Byword and Twice Over should be very close, with preference for the former as he looked to have a lot in hand winning at Royal Ascot; They could all be bypassed by the improving Dick Turpin, who should stay just fine.
Juddmonte International Stakes (Group 1) (Class 1) (3YO plus)
Winner £371,865
Pick: Rip Van Winkle (win)
Bushman: Lightly raced and good sort who has always been talented and finally put it together at pattern level earlier this year, winning listed contest and then Diomed Stakes; Built on that even when second in York Stakes last time but likely to be found wanting at this level.
Byword: Showed a lot of promise last season, winning listed race cosily before good efforts in Group company; Improved tons this season , winning Group 2 easily and confirming himself in top bracket when pushing Goldikova al the way in 9f Prix D’Isphan, cementing improvement when winning Prince Of Wales’s Stakes by half a length from fast closing Twice Over; Pair should be closely matched but improving all the time and should take big hand.
Calvaryman: Enjoyed a progressive 2009, winning three times (including the Prix Niel and Grand Prix De Paris) before coming third in the Arc; Yet to reach same heights for new stable (Saeed Bin Suroor) and well behind Byword last time; Dettoir picks him over Cutlass Bay, which is interesting.
Cutlass Bay: Took his previously unbeaten record to 5 wins from 5 start when coming away to win the Prix Ganay very nicely from Prix L’Opera winner Shalanaya, especially when you consider how much he hung when making his challenge; Was a major blowout on first start for Goldolphin and needs to improve majorly on that, although booking of Fallon is a major plus.
Jakkalberry: Italian raider who made it 6 wins from 10 starts when capturing 1½m Group 1 Gran Premio di Milano in June; Shorter trip and different ground are no problem and unwise to underestimate seeing as his beating of Getaway, Campanologist and Quiano is useful form; Peslier major coup on board.
Rip Van Winkle: Highly regarded horse who finally put it all together last season, when putting together string of high class efforts before romping away with Sussex last year, before using sheer class to put him through QE11 Stakes, beating Zacinto; Hasn’t been seen at best since but valid excuses having been over the top at Breeder’s Cup, before needing the run when sixth in Queen Anne; Ran a very good race when close second to Canford Cliffs and major chance seeing as he’s still nearing his peak.
Stimulation: Looked very good in 2008 when landing Challenge Stakes at Newmarket and best form since when excellent fourth behind Byword at Royal Ascot but poor run last time and hard to be positive about.
Twice Over: Always shown a high class level of form but was transformed by 2 confidence boosters last season before taking Champion Stakes and then coming third in Breeders Cup Classic; Needed the run badly when nearly last in Dubai World Cup and could be judged unlucky when second in Prince Of Wale’s Stakes behind Byword; Solid when winning Eclipse and should be right there on form.
Dick Turpin: Won first 4 starts, being as short as 16/1 for classics this season after winning sales race easily at Fairyhouse (Form flattened out but had excuses at the last backend); Has been super consistent revelation this year, winning Greenham before finishing runner – up in English Guineas, French Guineas, and St James’s Palace when running away with Prix Jean Prat last time; Step up 10f shouldn’t be a problem given way he races (very relaxed) and major chance.
VERDICT: As good a renewal of this race as we’ve ever seen, with 7 of the 9 horses having won a Group 1 at some point. Big cases can be made for Twice Over or Byword, but RIP VAN WINKLE is equally as effective over this trip and will take all the beating if near his peak on his best form, which is a close second to last year’s winner Sea The Stars in the Coral Eclipse. It’s fascinating that Frankie Dettori has chosen Cavalryman over Cutlass Bay, and while both could spring a surprise, the latter is preferred off the 2. It would be unwise to leave Jallakberry out of consideration seeing as his beating of Getaway, Campanologist and Quiano is useful form. Byword and Twice Over should be very close, with preference for the former as he looked to have a lot in hand winning at Royal Ascot; They could all be bypassed by the improving Dick Turpin, who should stay just fine.
Great Voltigeur Stakes 2010 - Ebor Festival 2010 (Day 1)
2.50 York
sportingbet.com Great Voltigeur Stakes (Group 2) (Class 1) (3YO only)
Winner £82,964
Pick: Rewilding (win)
Midas Touch; Progressive in three runs at two and ended season with a decent fourth in Criterium International; Made a very good return when landing Derrinstown Derby Trial so was disappointing when lacklustre fifth in Derby; Ran a brave race when close second in Irish Derby last time and should go well here with form looking solid (Cape Blanco & Jan Vermeer have run well since); 3lbs penalty does make thing tricky though.
Montrerosso: Comes here of the back of a truly amazing progression, having begun the season with a pair of all-weather victories in January and February, before taking better handicaps and then romping away with King Edward VII Stakes; Fair fourth in Irish Derby (used up energy on home turn) but disappointing last time and this not really any easier.
Dancing David: Very promising maiden win at Newbury considering that he was green from Pillar to post, making all to win impressively, and built on that again with a very good effort to finish fourth in Racing Post Trophy; Hasn’t quite built on that this year, being well beaten by Elusive Pimpernel and then getting nailed late on by Azmeel In Dee Stakes; Not sure what step up to 12f will do for him and h does have a lot to make up on main protagonists.
Harris Tweed: Progressive handicapper who was receiving 18lb from key form link Corsicawhen meeting for the first time, winning by over five lengths; Without any assistance from the handicapper he still ran Corsica surprisingly close and was only overhauled late on in the Bahrain Trophy, promoting him to favouritism for the Ebor; In here because he misses the cut and while he is entitled to run, he does have a tough task on here.
Joshua Tree: Scrambled home over 7f in the mud at Gowran on debut; Better effort when second in 8f nursery at Listowel before showing immense promise when taking Royal Lodge Stakes; Has suffered some holdbacks in spring and fascinating runner here but absence will surel mean he needs run too much.
Momkinzain: On and off bridle when third at 18/1 behind useful Tactian on debut at Newbury, sticking on before being outpaced and losing second on line; That maiden evidently a useful one and worth nothing that he was ahead of Total Command, who has since run a cracker in the Queen’s Vase.
Rewilding: Graduated from Andre Fabre's stable with flying colours when taking a Cocked Hat Stakes in great style visually and supplemented for Derby off the back of that; Ran a good race in Derby, proving very unsuited and losing lot of ground on Tattenham Corner before making good late progress; Been given long break to recover from that since and holds big chance for red – hot Al Zarooni stable.
Simeon: Consistent a tough type who never fails to run his race but has been beaten by Azmeel, Rewilding, Asfare and Corsica on his last four starts, suggesting that he won’t be cutting too much ice in this contest.
Ted Spread: Improved on all previous form and just pulled out more and more to win Chester Vase in gutsy fashion, beating off Icon Dream by ½ a length; Ran no sort of race in Derby but can be forgiven that and no forlorn hope here in improving on Chester Vase win.
Total Command: Steadily improving sort who was actually behind Momkinzain on seasonal debut before braking his maiden at Goodwood; stepped up in trip to 2m for the Queen's Vase at Royal Ascot, travelling strongly and showing a good turn of foot to go clear before faltering for stamina in the final furlong; Drop in trip should help him and Oliver Peslier is great sub booking in place of Ryan Moore.
VERDICT: The presence of Momkinzain (infront of Total Command on only run), Ted Spread (Forgotten Chester Vase winner who didn’t handle the track in the Derby), Total Command (was well on top at the 2f pole in the Queen’s Vase at Royal Ascot) and especially Royal Lodge winner Joshua Tree make this a fascinating much watch race and an important St Ledger trial. A pull of 3lbs for a advantage of 4 & ½ lengths from the Derby with Midas Touch makes REWILDING a pretty standard pick here, and with an absence hopefully having refreshed him enough to get over the race he had that day. That said, good runs can be expected from the top 2.
sportingbet.com Great Voltigeur Stakes (Group 2) (Class 1) (3YO only)
Winner £82,964
Pick: Rewilding (win)
Midas Touch; Progressive in three runs at two and ended season with a decent fourth in Criterium International; Made a very good return when landing Derrinstown Derby Trial so was disappointing when lacklustre fifth in Derby; Ran a brave race when close second in Irish Derby last time and should go well here with form looking solid (Cape Blanco & Jan Vermeer have run well since); 3lbs penalty does make thing tricky though.
Montrerosso: Comes here of the back of a truly amazing progression, having begun the season with a pair of all-weather victories in January and February, before taking better handicaps and then romping away with King Edward VII Stakes; Fair fourth in Irish Derby (used up energy on home turn) but disappointing last time and this not really any easier.
Dancing David: Very promising maiden win at Newbury considering that he was green from Pillar to post, making all to win impressively, and built on that again with a very good effort to finish fourth in Racing Post Trophy; Hasn’t quite built on that this year, being well beaten by Elusive Pimpernel and then getting nailed late on by Azmeel In Dee Stakes; Not sure what step up to 12f will do for him and h does have a lot to make up on main protagonists.
Harris Tweed: Progressive handicapper who was receiving 18lb from key form link Corsicawhen meeting for the first time, winning by over five lengths; Without any assistance from the handicapper he still ran Corsica surprisingly close and was only overhauled late on in the Bahrain Trophy, promoting him to favouritism for the Ebor; In here because he misses the cut and while he is entitled to run, he does have a tough task on here.
Joshua Tree: Scrambled home over 7f in the mud at Gowran on debut; Better effort when second in 8f nursery at Listowel before showing immense promise when taking Royal Lodge Stakes; Has suffered some holdbacks in spring and fascinating runner here but absence will surel mean he needs run too much.
Momkinzain: On and off bridle when third at 18/1 behind useful Tactian on debut at Newbury, sticking on before being outpaced and losing second on line; That maiden evidently a useful one and worth nothing that he was ahead of Total Command, who has since run a cracker in the Queen’s Vase.
Rewilding: Graduated from Andre Fabre's stable with flying colours when taking a Cocked Hat Stakes in great style visually and supplemented for Derby off the back of that; Ran a good race in Derby, proving very unsuited and losing lot of ground on Tattenham Corner before making good late progress; Been given long break to recover from that since and holds big chance for red – hot Al Zarooni stable.
Simeon: Consistent a tough type who never fails to run his race but has been beaten by Azmeel, Rewilding, Asfare and Corsica on his last four starts, suggesting that he won’t be cutting too much ice in this contest.
Ted Spread: Improved on all previous form and just pulled out more and more to win Chester Vase in gutsy fashion, beating off Icon Dream by ½ a length; Ran no sort of race in Derby but can be forgiven that and no forlorn hope here in improving on Chester Vase win.
Total Command: Steadily improving sort who was actually behind Momkinzain on seasonal debut before braking his maiden at Goodwood; stepped up in trip to 2m for the Queen's Vase at Royal Ascot, travelling strongly and showing a good turn of foot to go clear before faltering for stamina in the final furlong; Drop in trip should help him and Oliver Peslier is great sub booking in place of Ryan Moore.
VERDICT: The presence of Momkinzain (infront of Total Command on only run), Ted Spread (Forgotten Chester Vase winner who didn’t handle the track in the Derby), Total Command (was well on top at the 2f pole in the Queen’s Vase at Royal Ascot) and especially Royal Lodge winner Joshua Tree make this a fascinating much watch race and an important St Ledger trial. A pull of 3lbs for a advantage of 4 & ½ lengths from the Derby with Midas Touch makes REWILDING a pretty standard pick here, and with an absence hopefully having refreshed him enough to get over the race he had that day. That said, good runs can be expected from the top 2.
Saturday, 14 August 2010
Jacques Le Marois Stakes 2010
2.40 Deauville
Jacques Le Marois Stakes (Group 1) (3yo+) (Class 1) (3YO plus)
Winner €355,140
Picks: Goldikova (win) & Makfi (each/way)
Fuisse: Steadily progressive as a 3 year old, coming second in the Prix Du Jcokey Club (decent renewal); Has continued his improvement this year at a rate of note, looking a Group 1 performer when bolting up in the Prix Messidor, never put under the slightest of pressure before drawing clear in the final furlong to win by four lengths; This another major step up but not to be discounted.
Runaway: 5th in this 2 years ago and last year, but just looks horribly exposed on all of his runs since then and this probably too much.
Paco Boy: Top class and well established miler who embarrassed field in this last year and looked just as good when landing Bet365 and Lockinge Stakes this season; Didn’t get the best of runs in the Queen Anne last time (too keen early, and Goldikova was clear before he got out) and while he was making serious ground before finish, he was never truly catching Goldikova; Major player with better run today.
Goldikova: Now record 10 time Group 1 winner who had arguably her best season ever last summer, winning the Falmouth before going on to trash high class fields, in Prix D’Astarte before romping this last year, putting up 2 of the best milling performances seen in years in process; Impressive on her reappearance run in Prix D'Ishphan, and even better when beating off numerous high class sorts in the Queen Anne, only just holding off Paco Boy late on having burst clear a furlong out; Taking same route as she did last year when cantering home in Prix D’Astarte last time out and going to take some stopping in bid to break Group 1 record.
Only Green: Actually holds some pretty high class form in her own right (came fifth in the Breeder’s Cup filly and mare sprint last November) but not likely to cut much ice as likely pacemaker for Goldikova.
Makfi: Impressed when taking his maiden and confirmed promise when taking Prix Dejibel in impressive style before causing major shock when confirming himself colt out of top drawer when landing 2,000 Guineas; Disappointing when 7th in St James Palace last time but excuses for that, having had a throat infection; Didn’t get the best of runs at all in the race, having been carried out wide and he was beaten less than 5 lengths in the end; Should prove even better off a fast pace if back to best and major each/way shout.
Royal Bench: Mauled field on his return on heavy ground and won cosily last time (both at listed level) but even though this might be unfair on him, a more accurate reflection of his talents may be his sixth placed effort in the Criterium International last year, or maybe his midfield finish in the Prix Du Jockey Club.
Saying: In here as pacemaker for Goldikova.
VERDICT: A top drawer contest and one of the match ups of the summer between Paco Boy and GOLDIKOVA, the latter taken to make history and pass the legendary Miesque’s record of 10 Group 1’s. She was getting caught late on by Paco Boy and with a clear run for the latter you can guarantee it’ll be a nailbiter, with the 2 pacemakers guaranteeing a fair run race. There are 8 places on offer, and assuming it stays that way, there is no way MAKFI should be as big as 8/1 on the basis of a slightly disappointing run last time at Royal Ascot. That form has since proven to be very solid and taking into account he had a throat infection, and was shuffled out wide on the track and should like a fast pace, and he could well easily be in the main shake-up, never mind the third place.
Jacques Le Marois Stakes (Group 1) (3yo+) (Class 1) (3YO plus)
Winner €355,140
Picks: Goldikova (win) & Makfi (each/way)
Fuisse: Steadily progressive as a 3 year old, coming second in the Prix Du Jcokey Club (decent renewal); Has continued his improvement this year at a rate of note, looking a Group 1 performer when bolting up in the Prix Messidor, never put under the slightest of pressure before drawing clear in the final furlong to win by four lengths; This another major step up but not to be discounted.
Runaway: 5th in this 2 years ago and last year, but just looks horribly exposed on all of his runs since then and this probably too much.
Paco Boy: Top class and well established miler who embarrassed field in this last year and looked just as good when landing Bet365 and Lockinge Stakes this season; Didn’t get the best of runs in the Queen Anne last time (too keen early, and Goldikova was clear before he got out) and while he was making serious ground before finish, he was never truly catching Goldikova; Major player with better run today.
Goldikova: Now record 10 time Group 1 winner who had arguably her best season ever last summer, winning the Falmouth before going on to trash high class fields, in Prix D’Astarte before romping this last year, putting up 2 of the best milling performances seen in years in process; Impressive on her reappearance run in Prix D'Ishphan, and even better when beating off numerous high class sorts in the Queen Anne, only just holding off Paco Boy late on having burst clear a furlong out; Taking same route as she did last year when cantering home in Prix D’Astarte last time out and going to take some stopping in bid to break Group 1 record.
Only Green: Actually holds some pretty high class form in her own right (came fifth in the Breeder’s Cup filly and mare sprint last November) but not likely to cut much ice as likely pacemaker for Goldikova.
Makfi: Impressed when taking his maiden and confirmed promise when taking Prix Dejibel in impressive style before causing major shock when confirming himself colt out of top drawer when landing 2,000 Guineas; Disappointing when 7th in St James Palace last time but excuses for that, having had a throat infection; Didn’t get the best of runs at all in the race, having been carried out wide and he was beaten less than 5 lengths in the end; Should prove even better off a fast pace if back to best and major each/way shout.
Royal Bench: Mauled field on his return on heavy ground and won cosily last time (both at listed level) but even though this might be unfair on him, a more accurate reflection of his talents may be his sixth placed effort in the Criterium International last year, or maybe his midfield finish in the Prix Du Jockey Club.
Saying: In here as pacemaker for Goldikova.
VERDICT: A top drawer contest and one of the match ups of the summer between Paco Boy and GOLDIKOVA, the latter taken to make history and pass the legendary Miesque’s record of 10 Group 1’s. She was getting caught late on by Paco Boy and with a clear run for the latter you can guarantee it’ll be a nailbiter, with the 2 pacemakers guaranteeing a fair run race. There are 8 places on offer, and assuming it stays that way, there is no way MAKFI should be as big as 8/1 on the basis of a slightly disappointing run last time at Royal Ascot. That form has since proven to be very solid and taking into account he had a throat infection, and was shuffled out wide on the track and should like a fast pace, and he could well easily be in the main shake-up, never mind the third place.
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