12.45 Longchamp
Qatar Prix De L'abbaye De Longchamp (roup 1) (Class 1) (2YO plus)
Winner €200,232
Advice: 1 pt win Sole Power and Reckless Abandon (9/1
general)
Hamza: Known to run his heart out at every attempt, and
shown a level of form that would entitle him to be on premises when second in
three group races in 2013; Plum draw in 2 augurs well, but well beaten in last
two tries at this level (albeit over 6 furlongs) and others make more appeal.
Kingsgate Native: Ran in this and was second as favourite in
2007, having won Nunthorpe on previous start, and then winner of Golden Jubilee
the season afterwards; Since become harder to judged but most coinsestent
campaign for some time and second to Maarek latest goof effort in this context;
Can go well if in the mood.
Myasun: First win in 4 landing Deavuille group three latest,
getting there in last stride, but that form probably not as strong as his
defeat of Maarek at Maisons-Laffite last year; That said, much different test
for him today and will be much harder for him to pull back the ground late
today.
Stepper Point: Had smart form as a juvenile on soft surface
and last two runs, making all to land 5f Beverley event in August and then
wilting late to be fourth in Newbury Group 3 behind Maarek; Could take some
catching here if able to get a prime pace spot and worth respecting.
Ballesteros: Loves to get toe stuck in and was fourth in
this last year but shown little since and others make much more appeal here.
Dutch Masterpiece: Rapidly progressive 3 year old who took
step up tog pattern level in stride when taking Flying Five at Curragh last
time out, form boosted by Russian Soul taking Group 3 since; First time
blinkers could potentially bring more out of him and lost just once at this
trip, so high on shortlist from low draw.
Cape of Approval: Won five of his last eight, including
upset of odds on Maarek in Cork listed event; Best to forgive his Group 3 failure
latest given the zip in the surface that wouldn’t have suited him at all and
while he has plenty to find, not hard to think he’s still got something to
give.
Maarek: One of the most progressive sprinters around last
year, but blew out on two starts this
season when midfield in Golden Jubilee (ground potentially) and never able to
land a blow in weaker event after that; Back right to best form when landing
Newbury 5 furlong event on favoured ground however, and sure to take some
beating here with 6 furlong prowess a helpful asset as ever.
Mirza: Midfield, always challenging, and shared the spoils
with home team’s best chance over C&D latest here; No reason why he can’t
be involved here but that form does need improving on if he’s to pose a serious
challenge to others today.
Gammarth: Career bests the last twice, runner up in
Deauville listed event and Baden-Baden Group 2 over 5 and 6 furlongs
respectively; That form looks a way off what’s required here.
Reckless Abandon: Reckless Abandon: Top two year old
sprinter last year, going unbeaten in 5 when winning Norfolk, Robert Papin,
Morny, and Middle Park over 5 and 6 furlongs; Solid return behind Kingsgate
Native in Temple Stakes and fifth in King’s Stand behind top quality
opposition; 110 days since that run, but form amongst the best and while he’ll
need to be either right out of the gate or have some luck, class could see him throw down a big challenge and hasn't had a hard season.
Sole Power: Crack 5f sprinter, rarely away from the top
sprints since landing Nunthorpe at 100/1 more than three years ago, and as good
as ever when landing King’s Stand this year, with 6 furlongs at Newmarket not
quite suiting; Possibly further behind than ideal when launching challenge in
Nunthorpe behind Jawala, but strongest average level of form here and third and
fifth in two previous renewals of this so must be considered strongly.
Spirit Quartz: Finally gained the elusive win that he had
been promising for so long when landing Chantilly Group 3 but struggled serious
since then and very hard to see him being involved at the finish; Plenty of
soft ground form in Italy.
Justineo: Revitalised by drop down to this trip last thrice,
winning newbury conditions contest, coming third in Goodwod Group 2m and then
landing Doncaster listed event having gone hard from the front;
Catcall: One of the leading French hopes for this race out
of a small sample of four, but only just behind Mirza and Dibajj; Short neck
separated him from that pair but had been worn down in last 100 yards before
target there.
Kingsgate Choice: In form of his lifetime this year, winner
of two valuable handicaps in less than a month at York and Musselbrugh before
close fourth to Nunthorpe winner Jawala and then a close up fourth to Dutch
Masterpiece; A tough ask to be winning this saddled with the widest stall of
them all however which is a massively offputting sentiment.
Dibajj: Had look of thoroughly exposed horse over 6 and 7
furlongs before half length third at Deavuille and then dead heat with Mirza in
C&D trial, getting up to force a dead heat in the shadow of the post; Not
sure that will suffice in much deeper race today.
Ladies Are Forever: Slightly revitalized in 2013, having won
York Group 3 convincingly in July, and second there over that same C&D by
just a nose latest, but not shown the sort of form that would entitle her to be
given serious respect.
Jawala: Had been improving but not showing anything near as
much as her Nunthope win, an extremely convincing front running performance
where she was always front rank and in the end held off Sole Power and Shea
Shea in style; Repeat of that form gives her rock solid chance and stall 4 is a
plum draw but not sure how she handles slow ground, let alone ground this slow.
Tickled Pink: Impressive in victory when taking Group 3
events at Newmarket and Sandown in April/July, but frankly quite disappointing
elsewhere and many others make more appeal with less questions.
VERDICT: Persistent rain has made the ground soft, although
nowhere near as heavy as last year, it would seem. Outsiders have often
prospered but there looks to be little lurking beneath the surface apart from
Cape Of Approval who can outrun decent odds and take a hand. Jawala has a fine
form chance but a big doubt as regards to the ground which is just enough to
turn us off her chances, and it could pay to back outright class in RECKLESS
ABANDON and SOLE POWER, who have shown form arguably better than anyone else in
this field. Sole Power was beaten fair an square by Jwala last time but was a
good fifth on a bog here last year and will handle this ground, while Reckless
Abandon’s confirmed stamina for 6 furlongs could prove handy for a horse that
likes to race aggressively.
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