The drama of the Tour De France contributed with thrills and
spills – thankfully with only one person’s Tour being ended – and at the end,
like on 23 other occasions in the past, Mark Cavendish winning in a sprint.
Cavendish – our bet for the green jersey – had been suffering some illness but
was in top form to win clearly by a bike length over Edvald Boasson Hagen,
Peter Sagan and Andre Greipel.
Today’s stage (seen below) is the least complicated we’ve had since the
opening of the tour – some minor lumps but long flat stretches before a fairly
simple finish – and will be a bunch sprint. Mark Cavendish should feel
confident about making it two in a row after today’s win – a clear one of a
whole bike length from the perfect position – and while the 8/11 leaves no room
for error, he deserves that favouritism clearly and will take some stopping if
in the right position for the final effort.
Andre Greipel, fourth yesterday, is one of the few who can
beat Cavendish in a head to head but was so readily beaten yesterday that it’s
hard to imagine the form being reversed to such a point that even 9/2 doesn’t
tempt. This is the kind of stage in which Sagan is meant to struggle
badly but from an unpromising position – on the opposite side of the road to
Cavendish, sprinting straight into the wind having started his full effort
three bike lengths behind the Manx Missile – he took a solid third yesterday
and is a tempting 10/1 with Boylesports, who will pay ¼ the odds for 4 places,
well worth an each/way bet.
Evald Boasson Hagen – having a fantastic all round season -
is interesting following a superb effort today, his best sprinting effort yet
of the tour – when second behind Cavendish and was interesting at 25’s (3’s for
a top three finish), for those seeing value, while Marcel Kittel and John
Degenkolb will also be present at the finish given the ease of the stage, with
Kittel being preferred of the pair.
Advice
1 pt each/way Peter Sagan (10/1 Boylesports, 12/1 general)
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