2.35 Newmarket
Qatar Bloodstock Dahlia Stakes (Fillies' Group 3) (Class 1) (4YO plus)
Winner £31,190
Advice: 1 pt win Timepiece (6/4 general)
Izzi Top: Full of promise on only run at two and looked well
on way to bigger things when taking Windsor maiden with minimum of fuss; Mooted
for classic after that but unable to find an answer to Dorcas Lane in the Pretty
Polly Stakes at Newmarket she proved herself a horse of the highest quality when
third in good renewal of the Oaks, before winning Saint Cloud Group 3 in
France; Big chance on return here.
Captivator: 5 but lightly raced for it and career best by
some way when beating progressive Law Of The Range (reopposes here) at Kempton
on AW latest; This a fair bit tougher and wouldn’t want the ground to be too
soft if it’s not dried out, but deserves some respect and should come on for
the run.
Kawlah: One of the best – if not the best – horses in the
field based on her UAE Oaks/Derby double at Meydan when beating Master Of
Hounds and Mahbooba with something in hand at the end despite only winning by a
nose; That form looks very solid and exciting prospect for the future despite
her injury layoff; If back and ready to run has major shout.
Law Of The Range: Very progressive last season, landing
Ascot handicap of 82 before going onto win Listed event and ending up with
rating of 103 after Oak Tree Stakes third; Only just beaten by Captivator in
Listed AW Race at Kempton and should be close between the pair again but does have
stamina to prove and would want rattling quick ground.
Primevre: Closely matched with Law Of The Rage on a short head
second to Soorah at Ascot(soft ground) but getting weight from her that day and
makes little appeal despite her listed win afterwards.
Timepiece: Had always shown promise but really built on it
big time last season, posting solid efforts on first two starts before landing listed
race and then shock win in Falmouth Stakes when aided by very slow pace; That
form flatters her but held head high after that though with third in Prix Rotschild
and second in Prix Jean Romanet; That makes her one to beat.
VERDICT: A good renewal. TIMEPIECE is very flattered by her
Group 1 win in the Falmouth Stakes but her two efforts after that confirm that
she’s a high class sort and her first time out efforts in the Middleton last
year seems strong enough form in this context. Izzi Top, third in the Oaks
before then winning a Group 3 at Saint Cloud on soft ground, which is helpful
in today’s context. UAE Oaks third Kawlah has more than enough talent to win
this if straight enough but she’s been off for 407 days and this will take some
doing.
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