Sunday 6 May 2012

QIPCO 1,000 Guineas 2012


3.15 Newmarket
QIPCO 1000 Guineas Stakes (British Champions Series) (Fillies' Group 1) (Class 1)  (3YO only)
Winner £213,513

Advice:  2 pts each/way Lyric Of Light (10/1 general),
Ante Post: 1 pt Lyric Of Light to win today and the Oaks (20/1 Stan James)

Owner detailsAlla Speranza: Likely to have gone unnoticed by many but her two efforts last year aren’t looking too bad with hindsight – the well beaten runner up from her maiden, Hail is now rated 81 – while Call To Battle ran a great race when second to the race fit Light Heavy in the Ballysax Stakes; That form gives his a chance if race becomes a real stamina test.

Owner detailsDiala: Posted what turned out to be a very good effort when second on debut to the Fillies Mile winner (also here) in Lyric Of Light over 7f on debut (short of a run for just a bit), and made short work of landing her maiden In good style next time out; This her first start back but no reason why she can’t take a hand her especially if the visual improvement shown by her at the backend of last season was true.

Owner detailsDiscourse: Second string and took her time to get going but made strong late progress to catch her stablemate Gamilati (subsequent Cherry Hinton winner) on the post in 6f Newmarket maiden; Impressive when winning the Sweet Solera when last seen, drawing right away from Discourse on just her second start; Should improve again for the mile if all’s been well with her since and can take a hand in the finish.

Owner detailsGray Pearl: Backed as if she was a good filly when winning easily first time out at Newbury, so surprising that she was sent off 20/1 for the Rockfel Stakes where she ran a creditable third behind Wading; That form has taken some knocks since but could improve for it again and has to be respected.

Owner detailsHomecoming Queen: Made by front running towards the backend of last year, winning Listed event at the Curragh with ease  before finding the dirt against her liking in the Breeders Cup; Disappointment on her seasonal debut but like many from her yard, came on a huge amount for seasonal debut when landing Leopardstown’s Group 3 trial for this event gamely off the front end; Dominating this field will be far harder.

Owner detailsLa Collina: Defied her greenness when making an impressive debut at Limerick and then ran a good second to Maybe at Leopardstown; Got her own Group 1 when collaring Power late in the Pheonix Stakes, but once again beaten by Maybe in the Moyglare and hard to see that form being reversed today.

Owner detailsLaugh Out Loud: In three runs this year (unraced at 2), has proven herself to be an above average performer on the All Weather, winning by 10 lengths in maiden and then landing good conditions Stakes with Esentepe well held in third; Mick Channon (has Nayarra in this) booked Gerald Mosse for the ride and


Owner detailsLightening Pearl: Made eye-catching headway when looking like a sure fire winner on debut (behind a subsequent Group 3 winner) and confirmed that when she landed a maiden at Roscommon last time by two lengths; Third behind Maybe in Debutante before impressive Group 3 and Group 1 wins on quick ground at the backend of last season, and while that form gives her a solid chance, worry about her being able to show best form on this ground.

Owner detailsLily’s Angel: Raced exclusively at 5f on first 4 career starts, going through first three races unbeaten before bumping into useful pair in hot Beverley event; Only fifth in Albany (unsuited by the soft ground) but right back to form in Listed event/Super Sprint and good run even when put in her place by Discourse in Sweeet Solera; Returning third in Nell Gwyn fair effort but that looks weak in this contest.

Owner detailsLyric Of Light: Impressive late burst when getting the better of the impressive next time out maiden winner and reopposing Diala over 7f on July Course, and even better when winning May Hill, beating an impressive first time out winner despite wandering around late on, and much the same story when winning the Fillies Mile here, getting to Samitar in the nick of time despite wandering to her right and clearly not handling the dip; Extremely talented filly who while promising to improve for a trip, should make her presence felt here.

Owner detailsMashoora: Useful 2 year old, following up impressive Group 3 win with second to Group 1 winner Elsuive Kate before Group 3 second at Deauville (her only try over a mile); Career best on reappearance when eased down to win Prix Imprudence (which has provided the winner of this twice in recent years) and deserves a lot of respect as she’s likely to come on for that.

Owner detailsMaybe: Undisputed champion filly of last year, stepping up in Grade on each of her 5 starts before winning Group 1 Moyglare Stakes impressively; Also the clear form pick on that basis, given how her form has been franked on multiple occasions (herself holds La Collina and Lightening Pearl), and expected to stay with minimum of fuss, but only possible worry is that this represented a step up in class once again.

Owner detailsMoonstone Magic: Supplemented for this after going 2-2 in soft ground wins at Leicester and Fred Darling Stakes, impressive on both occasions; This a far toughest test for her but probably has more to come and any tacky ground sure to suit, so needs respecting and big each/way shout.

Owner detailsNayarra: Group 1 winner in Italy at the end of last season and not half bad in UK either, making the frame in Group races on three or four occasions; Comes out as the best horse in the Nell Gwyn too, giving away 3lbs in weight to Esentepe and Lily’s Angel; Interesting on that basis although most of her form looks very weak in this context.

Owner detailsRadio Gaga: Made up into a useful filly last year after winning very useful  6f maiden at Haydock on debut; Nursery and Listed efforts better on figures but not those races haven’t quite worked out as one would like and well beaten by Moonstone Magic in the end of the Fred Darling.

Owner detailsStarscope: Took many eyes when winning backend maiden at this track and once again better when coming an unlucky fourth in the Nell Gwyn, having been blocked for a rail run at one point; Can do better than that but form still leaves her with a lot to find.

Owner detailsSunday Times: Second in the Chevley Park to Lightening Pearl but disappointing on all other Group efforts, notable when only fifth to Wading in the Rockfel and once again when falling to show any of her best form in the Nell Gwyn;

Owner detailsThe Fugue: Impressive when travelling much the best in backend maiden before pulling well away from nicely bred Godolphin maiden in her own time; Pulled away from the third by 7 lengths with the easily beaten second and bred to make a three year old (who would excel at middle distances if pedigree’s anything to go by) and has to be notable that she’s the pick of Buick here today.

VERDICT: A strong renewal with no less than four Group 1 winners in attendance in what promises to be a good year for 3 year old fillies across the world. The ground’s not overly testing, but it’s likely to take some getting unless drying out rapidly. As with yesterday’s 2,000 Guineas there’s a hot Ballydoyle trained favourite in Maybe, and her credentials are pretty flawless given that she’s won on all ground and has already beaten two Group 1 winners in just 5 starts. She’s short enough now at 6/4 and faces her toughest test in terms of quality yet, with Goldophin fillies Discourse and LYRIC OF LIGHT capable of serving it upto her. Discourse should enjoy a mile if all’s gone well with her since the Sweet Solera Stakes but Fankie Dettori’s charge can travel just as well and quickened up smartly despite not handling the dip in the Fillies Mile; The worry is that she has a little bit of a quirk, but she should surely have something to chase here before the end her extra stamina she surely has is likely make a difference.  Those looking for another each/way alternative could do worse than to take a good look at either Moonstone Magic, an impressive winner of the Fred Darling, or Mashoora, who impressed throughought the Prix Imprudence, while Diala could also take a hand a at a generous price; But an even better chance could be Jim Bolger's Alla Speranza, already tipped by Pricewise but still as big as 33/1.

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