5 things I learnt this weekend......

1) Bet with your bloody instincts

All thorough Saturday the signs were there. The better players, the better league form, the more confident fans. Langdon AND Cascarino in the post. A million tweeters talking about how good they were, and one who kept telling me;

“Evens Barcelona to win in 90 mins? Surely that is like finding money in the street?”

And I still missed it. Yep, I still missed it.

2) Once you’ve used your bloody instincts to find a bet, keep things simple

While I could have just smashed into Barca at their price, I picked correct scorecasts of 2-1 & 2-0 (not wise on a team that keeps on going). I also had Scholes to be booked, Hernandez to score, and Utd in a bookings bet. All of which rendered useless, making the comments I had read from traders Colin Campbell (Sportingbet), Charlie McCann (Victor Chandler) & Paul Lowery (Totesport) in the Racing Post all the more galling.

3) If you don’t have the gut feeling, don’t go in on it

There were plenty of well contested races on Saturday that I was able to find a pick for but none which I had a proper gut feeling about (Regal Parade being the only one, who was sadly given rather a lot to do) and I predictably had a horror day, being saved only by Mezzenah’s place in the Listed race at Haydock.


4)      Stamina over 12 furlongs doesn't mean you've got a stayer

The admirably consistent and highly classy Fame & Glory made a winning step up to 1m6f in the Saval Beg Stakes but not after being pushed very hard by Vivacious Vivienne in a race which may have made Rite Of Passage the banker of Royal Ascot. Dermot Weld’s previously unbeaten stayer only failed for fitness and is a guaranteed stayer of the Gold Cup trip. I know which is the better horse (and certainly one that I like more, so I’ll still be backing him should he go) but that may not be what’s required over 2m4f in June. Fame & Glory has more than enough class to win Group 1’s over 12 furlongs and maybe that’s what’s best for him.


5)      He may not be good enough for Barcelona, but Wesley Snedijer is one of the best midfielders in Europe

While a couple of well-known Spanish midfielders were adding their names to the History books, one particularly depth Dutch maestro was powering Inter to a Coppa Italia triumph with some excellent passing of his own. He’ll never be ranked alongside the magic pair at Barcelona but I’d bet good money that a number of mangers (including Ferguson himself) were disappointed when he declared his loyalty to the Nezzauri for another year.

Fame & Glory - Good enough to take a Group 1 over 1m4f

Saval Beg Stakes 2011

3.55 Leopardstown 

Seamus & Rosemary Mcgrath Memorial Saval Beg Stakes (Listed) (Class 1)  (4YO plus)
Winner €30,875 

Pick: Fame & Glory (win)

Fame & Glory: Developed into a top class older horse last year, taking a Group 1 double with wins in the Tattersalls & Coronation Cup (took two other Group events); Lined up for another crack at the Arc last year but hit by Planetur & lost all chance after that (so clearly much better than fifth suggests); Made first appearance over a staying trip when only just holding off Nebula Storm in Vintage Crop Stakes (travelled extremely well before folding) but should improve for that, and hopefully stronger gallop today.

Rite Of Passage: Top class bumper / hurdler couple of seasons ago, going off favourite for Neptune Hurdle off back of two impressive wins; Unbeaten in this sphere, having landed November Handicap with ease & career best when landing Gold Cup from Age Of Aquarius; This his first run since but still  a major contender and probably the one to beat.

Admiral Barry: Went forward at a rate of knots last season with big wins in Galway (78) and Curragh (90) handicaps and ran a very respectable race when fifth in the Chester Cup; This harder and more vulnerable even though he should improve.

Dirar: Rapidly progressive through much of 20102 over both flat and jumps but has struggled since turn of the year, disappointing on flat before eighth in County Hurdle (set large amount of ground to make up); Needs to improve again.

Fictional Account: Winner of three races in 2010, (one of them a competitive 2m event at Ascot) and ran a good race on her seasonal comeback when third behind Nebula Storm and Fame & Glory in Saval Beg (went some way clear about 2f out); Needs to improve again to reverse form.

Nebula Storm: Rightly unexposed horse (Presumably hard to train with just 4 runs behind him) and career best by some way when all but catching Fame & Glory on his reappearance (would have won over today’s trip, which is 1f further); Likely to improve for the run and gets to race off the same terms, so must be taken seriously.

Top Spin: Gained deserved successes at  Roscommon in May and at Killarney in August but no successes at this level.

Universal Truth: 4 wins from 6 starts over jumps and progressive too on the flat, although well beaten when favourite in Cesarewitch, a high draw possibly scuppering his chances (also very keen); Hard to fancy on first run since and clearly stable’s no 2.

Vivacious Vinienne: Won handicaps at Navan, the Curragh and here in excellent 2010 season and while shaping as in good heart this season, this far better company.

VERDICT: A listed race but one with two Group 1 winners, so it shapes with plenty of depth & it would be hoped that they go a good gallop. The two main attractions for many will be Gold Cup winner Rite Of Passage & FAME AND GLORY, with the latter preferred having had the benefit of a run this year. He didn’t impress a lot on his seasonal comeback but it’s worth noting he was only third on his seasonal return last term and went on record four straight Group wins, including two at the highest level. Nebula Storm will like the step up in trip and rates as place value. 

Brian Yeardley Continental Two Year Old Trophy 2011

3.45 Beverley

Brian Yeardley Continental Two Year Old Trophy (Conditions Stakes) (Class 2)  (2YO only)

Winner £9,346

Pick: Hamza (win)

Arnold Lane: Made a promising winning debut with bit in hand in fair 5f Leicester maiden earlier this month (revered well from slow start, well on top despite idling late on); Stable have made a useful start with juvenile this season and bold bid likely.

Gabrial: Made probably the most impressive debut in the field when defying poor draw, start and wide trip to get up in Chester maiden (well backed) & while form of that race been let down, that best ignored; Can go close for in form pair.

Hamza: Was a ready winner of a 5f Musselburgh maiden on debut from subsequent winner & bettered that form significantly when clear second to Royal Ascot prospect Gatepost, with four other winners behind (excellent time); Stiff uphill finish will test him today but holds excellent chance.

Mitchum: Cantered home in a 5f Fibresand maiden on debut at Southwell and while form of that event not been franked, must be respected off the back of that; Will do well to follow up here but entirely capable of doing so.

Cravat: Seemed as if he’d enjoy a step up in trip when showing good attitude in making winning start in ordinary C&D maiden this month but well held in useful York novice event last time (Hamza second) and not fancied, despite having endured a rough passage.

VERDICT: HAMZA’S debut win makes him look as good as any of these and he enhanced his reputation if anything when making a bold bid in a useful York conditions contest last time. He can get the better of Gabriel, Arnold Lane & Mitchum. 

Timeform Jury Stakes 2011

3.35 Haydock

Timeform Jury Stakes (Registered As The John Of Gaunt Stakes) (Group 3) (Class 1)  (4YO plus)

Winner £28,385

Pick: Regal Parade (win)

Beacon Lodge: Only made it to track three times last season but performed admirably in good races & at best when winning C&D listed event with something to spare on return; Will go forward from this and one of main contenders to better second in this event a year ago.

Doncaster Rover: Well behind Jimmy Styles when first run back from stint in Dubai, having been well beaten on both runs there; Well beaten in series of top races last season and has a lot of work to do to be making an impact here.

High Standing: Has made up into a very high class sprinter over the past year and a half and got not run until last furlong in Maurice De Gheest, so very encouraging to see him making such fast late progress into third; Not matched that form since and blinkers need to improve him (although he will come on for seasonal comeback).

Himalaya: Confirmed himself group class when making frame in 5 Group races last year; Lost race at the start on debut but just plain poor last time out and much more needed.

Inler: Gambled on and duly delivered on debut here when making all to win by four lengths here October 2009; Not reached same form since but did get first win since at last backend & well beaten in Duke Of York Stakes  last time out.

Katakotsi: Hit a hot streak last season when racking up 4-timer over 7f & proved well up to his mark of 103 when second to Beacon Lodge on seasonal comeback; Well beaten in second last time and needs more.

Regal Parade: Confirmed himself top class in winning Maurice De Gheest and Hackwood last year, although bettered both those efforts when fourth in Prix De La Foret; Things didn’t work out for him on seasonal reappearance but back to best when beating all but Delegator in Duke Of York (slowly away) and the standout on that.

Shakespearian: Tough reliable sort who won well on Godolphin debut at Epsom to start season but had been seemingly exposed since in better races; However, dangerous when allowed to go infront, and beat field rated much higher when allowed lead in Hungerford; If getting easy lead, will be hard to catch but that not likely.

The Cheka: Had immense potential at end of 2009 and failed to fully realize that potential last year (ran below form on a number of occasions) and while he’s run back to form this year, more needed on even that.

VERDICT: The clear choice is REGAL PARADE, whose York second has been majorly boosted since. 

Fairway Stakes 2011

2.50 Newmarket

Novae Bloodstock Insurance Fairway Stakes (Listed) (Class 1)  (3YO only)

Winner £17,031

Pick: Naqshabban (win)

Barbican: Stepped up markedly on form of his first two wins when a creditable fourth in the Sandown Classic Trial, and very game second behind Buthelezi over C&D latest; Has it harder on 3lbs worse terms though.

Buthelezi: Had his quirks but still rapidly progressive as a juvenile when winning maiden and nursery & confirmed his progress when winning competitive C&D handicaps on seasonal reappearance; Should confirm form with Buthelezi on better terms and entitled to serious respect.

Cai Shen: 2 from three as a juvenile when taking a maiden and novice stake with plenty in hand on both occasions, and same story when enterprisingly ridden to land Newbury Conditions Stakes on reappearance; No disgrace when second to Ocean War in a listed event here and one of main players on form.

Laajooj: Stepped up on debut for Godolphin when winning 1m Newbury maiden, and not disgraced when fourth in Dee Stakes next time out; Can run a solid race here although possibly vulnerable.

Nambian: Shaped as if this trip would suit when third in a 1m Nursery at Doncaster (good) and confirmed that impression when fourth despite not getting a run in sales race on return; Form since then solid, although needs to prove he wasn’t flattered by his second place last time out.

 Naqshabban: Impressed when beating a useful field on his Leicester debut back in the autumn (only run as a two year old) and stepped up markedly on that when beating subsequent Musidora winner Joviality at Sandown on reappearance, mastering his rival in last strides; Should only be able to go on from that reappearance in number of ways and the one to beat here.

VERDICT: A tight race but a strong fancy in NAQSHABBAN, who’s Sandown form has been boosted majorly since & will improve physically for his opening run, and also for the step up in trip. 

Pinnacle Stakes 2011

3.05 Haydock

E.B.F. New Approach Grosvenor Casinos Pinnacle Stakes (Fillies' Listed) (Class 1)  (4YO plus)

Winner £17,031

Pick: Meezenah (each/way)

Crystal Capella: A Group 1 filly in all but name, with 7 wins from 12 (notable for this assignment that she has won first time out for the last three years running) & proved as good as ever when slamming her field in the Pride Stakes last season; Too free when well behind Mastery in the Hong Kong Vase but that forgiven and class act of the field.

Myplacelater: Improved out of all recognition last year, beating top class Wigamore Hall at Doncaster before finishing with an excellent second in a Group 2 at Newmarket in October (well behind Crystal Capella); Reappearance run forgiven over a trip too short (needed it badly) and contender.

Ferdoos: Rapidly progressive filly who was given too much to do in hat – trick bid when just a nose behind Polly’s Mark in Ascot Listed race; Likely to go forward again for an extra winter on her back and can make a bold bid.

Meezenah: Behind 2 pattern winners on her two juvenile starts and improved no end for step up to 12 furlongs when trashing maiden field by 9 lengths & steady improvement for the rest of the year, when making frame in 3 consecutive Oaks; Well beaten on final start but must have been tired after long season (ground no help) and can go well here.

Never Forget: Vastly improved with racing last year, winning Prix Du Malleret for Elle Lellouche (other runs best forgiven; wants sound surface) & would hold solid chance on that form for Newmarket debut.

Pink Symphony: Proved herself useful last year when second in Newbury listed race (form worked out reasonably) but not really near that form for rest of year; Ran to solid mark first time out this season and again latest but vulnerable.

Pipette: Highly useful form as a two year old, impressing on debut before Listed third; Impressive listed win and second to multiple Group 1 winner Snow Fairy give her huge chance but likely to need the run.

Shimmering Surf: Lost her way badly as year went on after winning maiden/Listed second last year.

Vita Nova: Unbeaten in three, progressive and Created deep impression when making a mockery of 87 in well contested Newmarket handicap last time; Likely to improve again for that and clearly worth her place here.

VERDICT: A Listed race on paper but in reality more like a well contested Group 3. Crystal Capella is the best horse in the field, goes well fresh & makes considerable appeal despite her 7lbs penalty, while Vita Nova is well worth her place here, but at a much better price MEZZENAH is given a chance on her seasonal reappearance. She was running with the best last season and could be seen to be effect today. 

Sandy Lane Stakes 2011

2.35 Haydock

Blue Square Sandy Lane Stakes (Listed) (Class 1)  (3YO only)

Winner £17,031

Pick: Ladies Are Forever (win) 

Marine Commando: Broke his maiden in good style and showed plenty of promise at Carlisle first & looked set for big future when overcoming trouble to land Windsor Forest Stakes; Not reached anywhere near same form since and while this is easier than most of his races, still vulnerable to improvers.

Belle Bayardo: Never upto pattern class last year and Well held off 93 in Sandown handicap on last month´s seasonal bow.

March On Beetroot: Made no mistake when unextended to 7f Lingfield maiden in December and while this is easier than his stiff return (drop back in trip will help too) still has a lot to prove.

Murbeh: Looked like he had a future when landing a maiden and a sales race (very comfortable) on first two starts; Not reached same form since although should be sharp for today and this trip/ground will help.

Oor Jock: Found life tough in good company after winning 5f event at Naas and form tailed off badly since then.

Laides Are Forever: Might just have been tapped for a toe a little behind Maqaasid in the Queen Mary, taking advantage of being well treated when landing big listed prize at Beverley; Was fifth in Nell Gwyn on seasonal reappearance but hat form has been boosted majorly since; Down the field in Duke Of York Stakes but this far easier and can go close here.

Sweet Cecily: Messed around on debut but underwent complete transformation when making all in 6f maiden here; Held her own in better company, especially the last twice; Can go well.

Show Rainbow: Took four tries to break duck last year, having seemingly ‘spurted’ two chances before coming right away from field on heavy in October; Ran a good race in Nell Gwyn and while a mile was too far in the Guineas, her latest effort gives her a big shout.

VERDICT: LADIES ARE FOREVER should find this far easier than the Duke Of York Stakes last time and can take a race which may be dominated by fillies if Sweet Cecily & Show Rainbow do their best. 

Heron Stakes 2011

8.15 Sandown

Charles Heidsieck Champagne Heron Stakes (Listed) (Class 1)  (3YO only)

Winner £17,031

Pick: Fury (win)

Pausanias: Made deep impression when winning at Glorious Goodwood on debut before showing determination to dead – heat with Coventry third on next start & got going too late when staying into second in the Autumn Stakes, giving impression soft ground didn’t help him; Impressive on reappearance in Free Handicap, and while he will do well thanks to physical improvement, this just as hard with penalty.

Fury: Won maiden in very taking style and surpassed that when taking sales race at Newmarket with relative ease (form very strong for the level, strongest race of its type run last season); Ran with a lot of credit in 2,000 Guineas, when he hadn’t gotten a clear run beforehand and the firm ground was against him according to connections; This a drop in class and he can go very close.

Loving Spirit: Did it readily on debut and didn’t necessarily disappoint when beaten by Mantoba on last starts, although that form not been upheld since; 2,000 Guineas ninth respectable (likely to improve being a big horse) but well behind Fury on that form and may want further than this (Eclips entry).

Neebreas: Made highly encouraging debut for David Lanigan at Newbury last May before landing odds comfortably and finishing second in July Stakes, hanging badly left at finish; blew his race before the start & at stalls when reappearing over 6f but much better form when coasting home on bridle in conditions event (confidence booster) and can go close here.

Tazahum: Improved on debut winning form when a well beaten second behind Dubawi Gold (has been vastly improved since then) & reappeared with impressive handicap win; Can do better but form hardly been well represented since and bigger task on hands now.

VERDICT: A small but select field of already smart likely improvers. The rain has come for FURY, who was very promising when fifth in the Guineas and is reunited with Kieren Fallon. He can beat Neebras & Tazahum. 

Henry II Stakes 2011

7.05 Sandown

Charles Heidsieck Champagne Henry II Stakes (Group 2) (Class 1)  (4YO plus)

Winner £45,416 - 8 run

Pick: Holberg (win)

Aaim To Prosper: Did well last season, when repelling all comers to win the Cesarewitch off mark of 87 on final start last season; Ran respectably in Group 3 at Ascot on seasonal return but that form not shown up well and this tougher.

Akmal: Won this event last year to resume remarkable progression but form of that event far weaker than this year’s event, not matched same form since and does need fair bit of rope; Will give it a good go from the front again so respected although taken on.

Blue Bajan: Ran as well as he has ever done when second in 1m6f Yorkshire Cup in second run back from over a year off earlier this month, a run which gives him excellent form prospects; Respected but bounce factor a potential problem.

Buxted: Although not discredited, came up little short Group company last season after winning first three starts of his career; Will do well to turn around form with second placed Blue Bajan from Yorkshire Cup though.

Holberg: Began building on impressive 2009 Queen’s Vase win from Mark Johnson, winning on reappearance for second year running at Goodwood before signing off with very solid Melbourne Cup fifth (bad trip); Holds a very strong chance based on that run and can go very well.

Montaff: Only second win in 27 starts when taking 2m Ripon handicap in April but well beaten fifth in weaker renewal of this last year and has it all to do (this comes quickly having run on Saturday).

Nehaam: Looked like a Derby horse when winning maiden & sales race before not proving up to that class; Signed off with two solid seconds to Akmal in 1m6f/2m Listed/Group 3 races and can only be watched here after 588 days off.

Caucus: Steadily improving type and was making headway when third in Bahrain Trophy (form solid for the level); Improved getting very close to Drunken Sailor and Bergo before Longchamp flop and best watched on debut for new stable.

VERDICT: Akmal is sure to give it a bold bid but he might not get so much rope nowadays and HOLBERG, who performed so well when sixth in the Melbourne Cup on his last start and has won fresh for the last two seasons.

Piper Heidsieck Champagne National Stakes 2011

6.30 Sandown

Piper Heidsieck Champagne National Stakes (Listed) (Class 1)  (2YO only)

Winner £12,205

Pick: Magic City (win)

Bannock: Made no mistake on second start when coasting home in Redcar maiden & then able to win race in one go when turning over odds-on Magic City in Windsor conditions event; That a promising performance and can make a bold bid, although he’s 3lbs worse off with runner up.

Foxtrot India: Recovered from very poor start to win Goodwood maiden (beating a subsequent winner in process), but still made same mistakes again when well behind Bannock & Magic City on last start and more needed to turn around the placings.

Magic City: Made favourite for Coventry Stakes after demolition of strong field at Newbury (5 subsequent winners emerged from that contest) but not run to that form since, sore shins blamed when unsuccessfully giving weight to subsequent Listed winner Miss Work Of Art, and probably given a lot to do when beaten again by Bannock at Windsor 10 days ago; Running out of excuses but worth one more chance on 3lbs better terms tonight.

Powerful Wind: Showed early speed when well trashed behind Magic City on debut and again on AW; Probably lucky to win on last start (placed horses hampered at start) and this much harder.

Sixx: Made all to upset 2-5 stablemate and two others in cosy fashion (distance unflattering to style of win) at Salisbury and looks potentially useful on that, as he should improve (decent time) from that; Stable number two on jockey bookings but can take hand.

Miss Lahar: Hung badly left when third in Windsor fillies maiden in which the form was done no favours when the winner raced to freely to do herself justice in a conditions event next time out; Will improve and jockey booking notable but this too hard in all likely.

Pyman’s Theory: Obviously well regarded (sent off at 5/4 for debut, when not getting best of runs) & made no mistake at Leicester 10 days later; Disappointing when fifth in Listed race last time out and this better company.

VERDICT: One last chance is given to MAGIC CITY, who gets the benefit of a 3lbs turnaround with Bannock from their last meeting, is held in high regard, and comes from a yard which has won three of the last four runnings. Sixx makes plenty of appeal too on that score. 

Brigadier Gerard Stakes 2011

7.40 Sandown

Piper Heidsieck Champagne Brigadier Gerard Stakes (Group 3) (Class 1)  (4YO plus)

Winner £28,385 - 9 run

Pick: Elusive Pimpernel (win)

Workforce:  Realized immense promise when breaking track record to win Derby by seven lengths, following up with tenacious Arc success, using speed to avoid carnage in behind; Almost frightening to think what he could do this year if he’s wintered well (trainer reports so) given yard’s record with older horses, being giving away 7lbs on his seasonal debut at a trip that isn’t his best will be no easy task.

Afsare: Unlucky not to win on AW debut last season, but made up for that by going unbeaten, for the rest of the year, including a hard fought win at Royal Ascot when he neat subsequent Group 2 winner Wigmore Hall on two occasions); Showed nothing on seasonal comeback but that clearly not his best form and does represent some value for those looking to recoup.

Black Spirit: Showed plenty of ability when in the frame in Group races overseas (namely France) last year and carrer best when second (well ahead of Afsare) in Group 3 on return (Over C&D); Much more needed.

Calvaryman: Enjoyed a progressive 2009, winning three times (including the Prix Niel and Grand Prix De Paris) before coming third Arc; Not reached that form since for Goldolphin and needs to show his best form again.

Distant Memories: Tough and consistent performer who's sure to run his race, and gained deserved win in Winter Hill Stakes last season; Bettered that still when third in Group 2 at Longchamp and deserves respect, although flattered to get as close as he did to Await The Dawn (winner was carrying penalty.

Elusive Pimpernel: Two from three as a juvenile (second in Racing Post Trophy) and so impressive when winning Craven on 3yo debut; Fifth in 2,000 Guineas but no pace on that day so excellent performance to get as close as he did to principals and promises to do well this year, a view not at all dampened by his comeback run.

Jan Vermeer: Never quite realized the potential that his easy Group 1 juvenile / 3yo debut wins suggested, but not at all disgraced in top classic events, performing with credit behind top class French 3 year olds Bekhabad & Planteur when third in Grand Prix De Paris; Can do much better this year and entitle to considerable respect on these terms.

Poet: Thrived for Aidan O'Brien in 2009, winning 3 times including Group 3 Kilternan Stakes and now starting to build on that form for current yard, winning Rose Of Lancaster Stakes before running good second to Clowance; Generally needs further than this t0 show his best.

Sri Putra: Very talented and fairly very lightly raced colt who has an excellent level of form/consistency; Excelled himself when a fast closing second in the Eclipse, but bare for of that effort flattered him based on his next 2 seconds and this may be too much for him.

VERDICT: A Group 1 in all but name. The star is Workforce and recent rain should help the Derby and Arc winner’s cause, but 12 furlongs is his trip, he’ll need the run, and in any case, giving away 7lbs might be beyond him (9 out of the last 10 winners were unpenalized). Jan Vermeer has a big chance at these terms but he may need the run so the selection is equally promising ELUSIVE PIMPERNEL.

Prix D'Ispahan 2011

2.45 Longchamp

D'Ispahan Stakes (Group 1) (Class 1)  (4YO plus)

Winner €172,076 - 9 run

Pick: Goldikova (win)

Byword: Stamped himself down as a top class performer last year when winning Prince Of Wales’s Stakes after close second in this, and consistent efforts in other top races (such as Juddmonte International); Unlucky not to beat Rajasman giving away 6lbs on seasonal debut and can go close once again here.

Rajasman: Progressive through last year and continued that improvement last winter, with fourth in big Asian Group 1; Unsuccessful spell in Dubai, but used that to his advantage when just outrunning Byword late on in Group 2 Prix Du Muget latest; Can run well again but will have to improve to confirm that form on 6lbs worse terms.

Shamalgan: Improved out of all recognition last year when making the frame in French Guineas at ridiculous price, and again in Saint Cloud Group 2; That form not good enough to make impact here and needs more.

Cirrus Des Aigles: Enjoyed his usual consistent campaign in France last year (won Group 2 here) before then seeking Group 1  glory in Asia (without success); Made a good reappearance when just behind Polytechnichen & again when just behind Planteur & Sarafina in Prix Ganay; Offers value at price.

Dick Turpin: Revelation last year when running with credit in several classic and Group 1 races & back in style with easy win in Bet365 Mile at Sandown; Disappointing when well beaten in Lockinge only 8 days ago, and while he can take a big hand at his best, lot to be desired.

Ransom Note: Threatened to be a group performer with Brittainia handicap win last season, and showed merit of that when taking big York race over straight mile at Ebor meeting; Confirmed his arrival at pattern level with all the way in in Earl Of Sefton Stakes and interesting to see him rushed up to such a high level.

Pan River: One of best horses in Turkey, twice a Group 1 winner; Relatively successful spell in Dubai, winning on debut in that country before close second to Campanologist; Not upto the Sheema Classic  & while he comes here off two wins in Turkey, suspicion is that he wants more than this trip.

Flash Dance: Pacemaker for Goldikova.

Goldikova: Had another record breaking season last year, stamping herself as best European mare of recent times with stunning wins in this race last year, Queen Anne, Rotschlid, Foret & a third Breeders Cup Mile; Brought back in training for another year & this will be acid test of how much ability remains, if she’s lost any at all.

VERDICT: Today’s the day if we see that GOLDKIOVA’S still got it at the highest level at the age of six. The best miler in the world faces a stiff test from Byword, who ran a promising race when second in the Prix Du Muguet behind Rajasman, and Dick Turpin, who might struggle having run just 8 days ago. 

Irish 1,000 Guineas 2011

4.15 Curragh

Etihad Airways Irish 1,000 Guineas (Fillies' Group 1) (Class 1)  (3YO only)

Winner €188,500

Pick: Misty For Me (each/way)

Ballybacka Lady: Not always the most straightforward, unplaced on two occasions but four length winner on final two year old start; Improved out of all recognition (based on earlier form ) when registering comfortable success in 1,000 Guineas trial; Should be taken seriously despite marked step up in class.

Banimpire: One of most improved fillies this season, landing pattern hat trick which included defeat of Derby contender Recital with fairly confortable beating of Spin under a penalty in listed race latest; May still be able to improve further and one of main contenders, with likely strong pace enough to negate drop in trip.

Crysanthemum: Two from two so far, both in pattern company when comfortably winning Listed race on debut and good attitude to gain Group 3 win over 7 furlongs here; Form of that race been well upheld since, and big player if ready.

Claiomh Solais: Fancied and ran a decent race on debut in average maiden before suffering heavy form reversal with third placed horse at Leopardstown latest; Broke her maiden last time out but well behind Emiyna in Athasi Stakes and no reason for form reversal.

Emiyna: Was backed like a good horse when winning only modest 3 –YO maiden at Dundalk on seasonal reappearance, and far better when only just holding off multiple Group winner Lolly For Dolly; That form some of best in field, but she was getting caught at the line and must go further today.

Handassa: Shaped as a filly with considerable potential when making winning debut in maiden at the Curragh last year (backed as if she was a very good sort beforehand); Ran promising race on reappearance when well behind Ballybacka Lady and can do well again, but this demands more of her.

History Note: Taking winner on debut & only run at two and didn’t get good trip when third behind Wild Wind and Empowering in trial for this event at Leopardstown; Can do better here although stable would seem to have better chances, so while not discounted, others preferred.

Laughing Lashes: Progressed with every run as a juvenile, showing plenty of talent when runner-up in maiden at the Curragh, Group 3 at Leopardstown, and in Moyglare; Did get better of Misty For Me in Debuante & can be taken seriously if awful comeback in Guineas ignored.

Look At Me: Won despite inexperience on debut but that factor too costly in Group 3 Oh So Sharp Stakes, pulling notably hard early before making eye-catching late headway (awkward when asked for effort but still clear of UAE Oaks/Derby winner Kawlah); Dissapointing on comeback but that seasonal return (and was reported in season after race) so another major player, albeit one with lot to prove.

Majestic Dubawi: Looked in need of the experience on debut at Newbury in very good maiden, and went onto to confirm that promise by winning maiden and then Group 3 at Ayr; Well beaten in Free Handicap on return and hard to trust after that, up in trip/class.

Misty For Me: Hugely progressive through last year, stepping off maiden win to come second in Debutante and reversing form with Laughing Lashes to grab all the way win in Moyglare before outbattling Helleborine to win Marcel Boussac; Well beaten on comeback in Guineas but clearly needed the run and major form chance if that forgiven.

Rose Bonheur: Never out of first two in 5 starts, nearly beating History Note as a two year old last season, and completed double with impressive win in handicap latest; That said, stamina for this trip extremely doubtful.

 Seeharn: Looked a filly with a future when winning her maiden and listed race, doing the job comfortably when asked on that occasion; Not lived up to that promise over longer trips, and well behind Emiyna latest.

Together: One of most consistent fillies of last year, following Moyglare fourth with Fillies Mile second & although didn’t run to that form afterwards, found best foot when making bold bid to come second in Guineas at Newmarket last time out; Can go well if repeating that form.

Wild Wind: Ran with credit for much of last season and has come back in good form this year, with Group 3 and Listed seconds; Carrer best third in French 1,000 Guineas last time and if repeating that effort literally, can have her say here.

VERDICT: A tightly contested renewal, as with the Newmarket guineas. Aidan O’Brien (3 wins since 2000) seems to have a very strong hand, and it might pay to side with him. His Together is favourite based on her 1,000 Guineas form, but it could be worth giving another chance to MISTY FOR ME. She didn’t look  prepared when 11th in the 1,000 Guineas, and with a run under belt, can do much better today. The stable’s 2,000 Guineas winner Roderic O’Connor had a similar profile.Of the other Ballydoyle runners, Wild Wind could be significantly overpriced if literally repeating her form from last time, while Look At Me has a lot to prove.  John Oxx’s Emyina holds a strong chance on her win last time out, but an extra furlong could pose a problem, Laughing Lashes is held by the selection on form, while Banimpire has been racing a lot of late. 

Tattersalls Gold Cup 2011

3.10 Curragh

Tattersalls Gold Cup (Group 1) (Class 1)  (4YO plus)

Winner €130,200

Campanologist: Consistent performer who reached peak last season with consecutive Group One wins in Germany in the Von Lotto and Pokal in July and August respectively; Third to Dangerous Midge in September reads well and forgiven Melbourne Cup flop at the backend of last season; Lacklustre return demands more of him here but capable of running a big race.

Famous Name: Come close to landing Group 1’s twice before (finished second in the French Derby in 2008 and this race in 2009) & dominant as ever in Group & listed events to start this season; Can go close again here.

So You Think: Australian sensation during 2009 and 2010 who won no less than five Group 1's down under, including the ultra-valuable Cox Plate (twice); All of his top-level victories were at either 1m1f or 1m2f, so remarkable effort to finish third in the Melbourne Cup over two miles, giving weight away to all bar one of his rivals as a mere three year-old; Confirmed he’d settled in when destroying his field on his Irish debut, scoring by ten lengths in a Group 3 contest over C&D this month; Looks a formality.

Windsor Palace: Pacemaker for So You Think.

Mid Mon Lady: Finished 12 lengths behind So You Think earlier this month; Little realistic chance.

VERDICT: Despite the presence of the classy horses Famous Name and Campanologist, we probably won’t learn too much about SO YOU THINK , so impressive when basically unchallenged to land the Mooresbridge Stakes on his seasonal debut. 

Preakness Stakes 2011

11.16 Pimlico

Preakness Stakes (Grade 1) (3yo) (Dirt) (3yo) Winner £384,615

Fast 1m1f110y Number Of Runners: 14

Pick: Dialed In (each/way)

Astrology: Winless in two starts in 2011, having run second to Twice the Appeal in the Grade 3 Sunland Derby on March 27 on his seasonal debut, and again to Adios Charlie in the Grade 2 Jerome at Aqueduct on April 23; Good prep for this, registering a career-high Beyer Speed Figure of 93 latest but this is much harder.

Norman Absojon: Kicked year off with allowance victory at Parx Racing on January 15, and then finished second to Grade 3 winner Stay Thirsty in Gotham Stakes; Winner didn’t do much for the form when well beaten in Kentucky Derby and well beaten when fourth in the Wood Memorial.

King Congie: Has been different horse this year, winning pair of Grade 3 turf races before career best when third and closing all the time in Bluegrass Stakes, only just failing to catch Brilliant Speed; Winner ran good race in Kentucky Derby but held on that form and switch back to dirt a problem.

Flashpoint: Brilliant in winning back-to-back starts to open the year going gate-to-wire to win by 6 ¼ lengths at Aqueduct, before then sprinting clear to a 7 ¼-length victory in 1:22 for seven furlongs in the Hutcheson Stakes; Not quite up to winning the Florida Derby, when he was taken on for the lead and presumably outstayed over this trip; Form of that race well represented since and unlikely to be reversing that form here.

Schalkeford: Ran Dialed In to a head off a very strong gallop (which he set) in the Florida Derby, and underlined that effort when fourth in Kentucky Derby, although off much slower gallop and convincingly beaten by winner at line, so questions to answer.

Sway Away: Ran into The Factor in back-to-back starts to open this year, finishing second and sixth, respectively, in the San Vicente at Santa Anita and the Rebel at Oaklawn Park; had a rough trip in the Grade 1 Arkansas Derby, yet held short lead at the top of the stretch and wound up fourth, beaten 3 ¼ lengths; Unlikely to do any better here.

Midnight Interlude: Only had the 5 runs (unraced as juvenile) but making big progress, wiring field at Sanita Anita before quickening well despite modest pace in Sanita Anita Derby, winning with relative comfort despite having to be switched wide, before lacklustre Kentucky Derby effort; Needs to prove that all wrong.

Dance City: Third in Arkansas Derby last time on just fourth start of career, and while he seemed to lack answers at finish, he raced up with overly strong pace and winner was second in Kentucky Derby (fifth won Grade 2 next time out); Good chance of improving again if held up early and can do well.

Mucho Macho Man: Overdid it in speed duel with 4 others when fourth behind Dialed In (well beaten) in Holly Bull Stakes first time up; Able to show true worth when game winner of Risen Star Stakes, and while doubts over some of that form (closely matched) needs considering on that; Seemed to have no answer to Pants On Fire and Nehro latest but did lose a shoe early, and Kentucky Derby third gives him a great chance.

Dialed In: Exploded onto classic scene, turning many with impressive last-to-first run in Holy Bull Stakes at Gulfstream, atoning for odds on Allowance defeat (beaten by older horse, slow fractions) with dramatic win in Florida Derby at same track since; Allowed to drop way too far back early on and they didn’t go fast enough for him in Kentucky Derby, so eighth in that race as good an effort as any (final half in 47.00 off slowest opening 6 furlongs in 64 years) & can go close here with more active ride.

Animal Kingdom: Had been progressing fast before winning the Kentucky Derby, quickening well of a notably slowly run renewal; Some see that as reason to distrust form, but he made up a lot of ground and was a clear 2& ¾ lengths up at the line; This only sixth start and had been rested for 6 weeks off the back of that, so should be well prepared for this; Fast pace should suit just fine.

Isn’t He Perfect: Coming off a pair of fifth-place finishes, most recently in the one-mile Grade 2 Jerome Handicap at Aqueduct on April 23 over a sloppy, racetrack; All form not good enough.

Concealed Identity: Benefit of an overly strong pace when in Pimlico’s local Preakness prep, the $75,000 Federico Tesio Stakes; Times (despite a strong gallop) suggest he won’t be good enough and unlikely to be another Smarty Jones.

Mr Commons: Doubled up in a maiden (won by 5 lengths, wire – to – wire) before scrambling home in allowance race; Well behind Midnight Interude in Sanita Anita Derby and winner didn’t do form any favours in the Kentucky Derby.

VERDICT: The Kentucky Derby was run at an unusually slow early gallop this year but with Schalkeford & Flashpoint in the field they shouldn’t hang around this time. Much of the support will be for Animal Kingdom, who must hold strong claims of getting the second leg of the Triple Crown in the bag, but the party pooper may be DIALED IN, who was too far back to make an impact in the Kentucky Derby off a slow pace and should be better this time round if staying with the leaders early. Mucho Macho Man can go well, and the best of those who didn’t run at Churchill Downs could be Dance City.

Temple Stakes 2011

3.00 Haydock

betfred.com Temple Stakes (Group 2) (Class 1)  (3YO plus)

Winner £45,416

Pick: Kingsgate Native (win)

Markab: Career best after career best last season, winning the Sprint Cup (smashing track record in process) after several Group placed/ winning efforts; That form entitles him to serious respect but his 7lbs penalty might stop him again.

Borderlescott: Loveable veteran who outdid himself last season, coming third in the King’s Stand and winning a Group two in the Process; Shaped as well as ever when fifth in Palace House Stakes and can go close again.

Group Therapy: Improved a ton for joining the Noseda yard (now with David Barron), fairly bolting up in conditions race at Beverley before coming a close second to Triple Aspect at Sandown (decent event) and career best when second in Group two (decent efforts afterwards);Too keen after poor start when well beaten last time and more needed here.

Hamish McGonagall: Formerly useful/high-class handicapper who made jump into conditions/pattern company last season with useful efforts in Ireland; Shaped as well as ever on first could of starts but well held in 6f Group 2 latest; Should be happier back at best trip today but that still gives her mountain to climb.

Kingsgate Native: Top class when at peak form, a prime example being his win in this race last year; Didn’t match up to form for the rest of the year but still fourth in the July and Betfred Sprint Cup; Not easiest to predict but well capable of winning this.

Overdose: Sprung to prominence with a 10l win in an Italian Group 3 and a first past the post in the void Abbaye (well clear); Showed that he retained all ability after injury but poor temperament when sixth in German Group 2 (lost race at starting stalls); Demolished ordinary opposition on return at Hoppegarten and well capable of doing same to field here if visual evidence to be believed.

Prohibit: Has continued progression throughout winter in Dubai, taking valuable event by a head before respectable fifth in high class Al Quoz sprint; strong at the finish when close fourth in Longchamp Group 3 on Sunday, and if over that run, could have race set up.

Sole Power: Shock winner of Nunthorpe last year who showed promise when last seen, third in Place House Stakes; Does have ideal conditions today for a big run but looks held by a few of these.

Tangerine Trees: Continued his ascent up the sprinting ranks by making all to win Rous Stakes at Newmarket last year and bettered that when showing blistering speed to win Palace House Stakes at Newmarket last time; Underrated.

Rose Blossom: Always had the talent to put together big performances and showed flashes of that when fifth in Nunthorpe; Lost her race at start last time and needs to dominate to show best, so while not ruled out, has a tall order.

New Planet: Well thought of (subject of really strong support for winning debut) and took another step in right direction with game success in York listed event before third in Flying Childers; This a very tough return for him against elders.

Stone Of Folca: Showed promise for sprinting when twice occupying fourth place within the space of 3 days at Royal Ascot in June, and Molecomb second; Well beaten in Nunthorpe Stakes and will do well to make an impact here.

VERDICT: The do or die moment for star attraction and “Budapest Bullet” Overdose, and he’ll take all the beating if he’s as good as visual evidence shows. Hopefully he can deliver but this won’t be at all easy and KINGSGATE NATIVE will have a big say if at his best. Many can win this if at their best, but the biggest threat may be Tangerine Trees, who showed a blistering amount of pace when winning the Palace House Stakes. Markab still has a penalty to carry while Sole Power’s Nunthorpe win could still be all smoke and mirrors. 

Marble Hill Stakes 2011

2.40 Curragh

T P Waters European Breeders Fund Marble Hill Stakes (Listed) (Class 1)  (2YO only)

Winner €31,201

Pick: Power (win)

Hexagonal: Showed plenty of early pace when fourth in a couple of AW maidens to start but looked well out of his depth when fifth in Naas conditions contest last time and this flying too high.

Power: Showed a strong and professional attitude when coming home two lengths clear of fellow debutant (landed gamble); Looked well able to making impact at high level and win here would underline possible Royal Ascot claims.

Signifier: Best of the rest  behind Magic City on debut and then made no mistake when winning at 2/5 next time (led all the way, very keen); Weakened out of things when third behind Bannock and Magic City last time and needs more here.

Tough As Nails: Winner of the first juvenile race of the season here but lost the race through greenness (form worked out); That nothing compared to his 7 – length destruction of subsequent winner at Tipperary last time out; Makes him the one to beat on form.

An Ghalanata: Ran a promising race first time out when making a good challenge and beating all bar Fire Lily (hung a little in closing stages) & and can improve on that here but not upto reversing form.

Danziger: Consistent maiden but unable to find any answers when behind Fire Lily and An Ghalanata at Naas and when disappointed on fourth start when 8-13 on AW, weakening into third behind Muckle Bahoochie; Unlikely to do any better today.

Fire Lily: Slowly away, green early and also unable to get a clear run until later stages when quickening smartly to beat An Ghalanta and Danziger at Navan on debut; That form makes her leading player.

Gold Lace: In need of the run when four lengths behind Tough As Nails on debut and improved when landing maiden next time (beat Danziger); Has to improve again to show up today but faster ground and doubt.

Muckle Bahoochie: Was behind three of these on debut but clearly needed it and had sore shins afterwards; Much more forward on second start, when readily beating Danziger by 2l;Not entirely disregarded under Murtagh.

VERDICT: Aidan O’Brien has won this 6 times in the last 9 years and that gives his POWER the marginal vote over Fire Lily and Tough As Nails.

Greenlands Stakes 2011

3.10 Curragh

Weatherbys Ireland Greenlands Stakes (Group 3) (Class 1)  (3YO plus)

Winner €40,626 - Draw Advantage: Low

Pick: Sing Softly (win)

Snaefell: Second in this last year and upheld himself well throughout last season, winning 6f Group 3 events; Weakened badly late on both times this season and hard to fancy on those runs here.

Artic: Abundant promise when he won first three juvenile races in 2009, and proved that he retained all that ability when fifth in the L’Abbaye (although well beaten in Group 3 at end of season); Needs much more.

Croisultan: Good at his best, and ran a solid race when fourth behind Lolly For Dolly latest on seasonal reappearance; Usually at best with dig in the ground and vulnerable if they go fast over 6f.

Hitchens: Made transition from top-end handicaps to listed company late last year, winning 6f event on AW; Efforts the last thrice not backed up that form, so fourth in York Group 2 sprint must be treated with caution; That said, holds a major form shout.

Partner: Looks likely to struggle at these weights based on this season’s form.

Santo Padre: Shaped well when ahead of Snaefell on reappearance and that promising effort; better than even when placed in listed/Group 3 races (not had much luck in running) and likelier sort if things go right.

Tiddliwinks: Success in big handicap proved beyond him last season, always looking as if drop in trip would suit; Outrun his odds big time when third behind two classy sorts in Duke Of York Stakes last time and has big chance if repeating that form, although doubts if that’s such a reliable run.

Sing Softly: Seventh on only run as a juvenile but came with withering late run to land maiden in impressive style and built on that when winning listed event against males here; Ran a great race despite hanging in Nell Gywn Stakes and that form been boosted majorly since, so major player.

Tell The Wind: Held on course form by Sing Softly and outsider here.

VERDICT: SING SOFTLY may be able to improve the dire record of three year olds in this event. She looked quick enough for the trip when second in the Nell Gwyn last time and many three year olds have made the frame here, notably for Aidan O’Brien. Tiddliwinks & Hitchens are the main form threats and can both make bold bids.