Sorry for the lateness and shortness of it, but I’ve been away for a while this week. Richard Hughes is still going for the title at full pelt despite a 6 day ban and he may have a decent day, with several good looking mounts. The best of these may be first up at 1.55 with BIG ISSUE in the Conditions Stakes. There’s a doubt as to whether he is as far ahead of his rivals as BHA ratings suggest but, having run creditably in higher grade, he is likely to prove equal to the task anyway.
In the Cornwallis (2.30), Dinkum Diamond and Pabusar head the market, with Invincible Ridge and Marine Commando also respected. They all need to show form with serious cut in the ground though, and ELECTRIC WAVES has winning form with a bit of give in the ground and, although looking slightly outclassed in Group 2 company at Doncaster last time (took long time to find stride), this progressive filly could bounce back to form with less on her plate today, and is worth an each/way bet.
In the Bengough Stakes (3.05), Redford goes for a hat-trick with the inform Hughes on board, and while he should go close, he hasn’t screamed Group winner. The best thing to do maybe to go each/way on GENKI, who always runs his race and has come third in the Betfred Sprint Cup, so should be thereabouts again, not to mention the fact that he’s weighted to reverse form (6lbs better off form 3 lengths beating) and BEWITCHED, who has been very solid at this level all season, handles soft ground and may well be progressive enough to take a major hand.
The Autumn Stakes (4.15) should prove a very interesting race, with a 25/1 shot for the Derby in Masked Marvel turning a lot of heads. He does have a lot to prove though and even with the future in mind, today TOOLAIN may get the better of him. He’s been absent since beating Galtymore Lad over 7 furlongs here in July, and that form is rock solid as Wootton Bassett is the only horse to have beaten Mick Channon's runner since. Al Madina should run a decent race (he form of the May Hill looks strong) but Paunasias is more interesting as a prospect, especially as he’s shown a decent level of form so far.
Only one race at York interests me, and it’s the Rockingham Stakes (3.20). Paul Hanagan will be gutted if he can’t get the win on BAREFOOT LADY, following a drop in class from Group 3 to listed level.
Recommendations
Big Issue to win the 1.55 Ascot (10/11)
Electric Waves each/way in the 2.30 Ascot (6/1)
Genki & Bewitched each/way in the Bengough Stakes (6/1, & 9/1, 3.05 Ascot)
Toolain to win the 4.15 Ascot (5/2)
Barefoot Lady to win the 3.20 York (7/2)
No comments:
Post a Comment