Monday, 25 October 2010

Football Betting Blog - 25th October 2010

A quiet Monday sounds like a strange time to post a blog, but there is football on and I am on a good streak of late. I hope you all checked out the twitterfeed as I did advise backing Rangers to win (3 separate ways) and also backing Casamento and Seville in the RP Trophy, Hopefully I’ll be back in time for Saturday.

Sampdoria & Roma apart (and it now must be said they are nowhere near the force they were last season) Napoli haven’t faced a proper Italian superpower and they will face a very tough test when AC MILAN come to Naples tonight.

Napoli are unbeaten in their five matches in all competitions and have lost just once in the league all season. However, the Neapolitans were held to a 1-1 draw by Catania in Sicily last weekend and failed to regain momentum on Thursday evening when despite playing well the Azzurri had to settle for a goalless draw with Liverpool in the Europa League, a match they should have lost as Ryan Babel missed a very clear cut chance late on.
Under scrutiny, their top flight home record isn’t exceptionally great as they have won one, drawn one and lost one in their three matches at the Stadio San Paolo.

AC Milan’s experienced but ageing midfield severely failed against their youthful and balanced Madrid counterparts in the Champions League and their attackline too couldn’t conjure up much, but Los Blancos have been superb at the back and defeat was nothing to be ashamed about.

AC are on a high as far as winning in the league is concerned as their 3-1 win against Chievo last weekend was their third Serie A victory in a row, and even allowing for a modest away record (drawn one, lost one and won one in their three matches away from home ), they have an excellent chance here.

On another note, Napoli are draw specialists so back the draw and an AC win separately.

In the Championship, CARDIFF might be able to nick 3 points from Leeds at Elland Road tonight following on from a lacklustre 2-1 loss to Leicester last week. Leeds have been good going forward as usual this year and won’t fail to create or finish chances but the same can be said of Cardiff with Craig Bellamy, Michel Chopra and Joy Bothroyd in the line up and Leeds’ defence (have let in 11 in the last 4 games) may not be able to handle them. The fact that Leeds have lost half of their home games may not help either, a 6-4 loss to Preston being a prime example.

In a relegation 6 pointer in Spain, back REAL SCOIDEAD to get the better of Deportivo La Coruna with home advantage on their side. Both teams are in trouble (Real are 16th, Deportivo 19th) but while Deportivo struggle badly on the road, both of the their victories have come on home soil this term. The first came by way of an impressive opening day success over Villarreal, who were defeated 1-0, and they had to wait until the first weekend in October to score a similar result against Espanyol.

With four defeats in their last five fixtures, the Basques can’t take anything for granted going into this match, they should be aiming for maximum points.

Recommendations

AC Milan and Napoli to draw (11/5 Skybet, Boylesports, Paddy Power, Unibet)

AC Milan to beat Napoli (13/8 Bet365, Skybet, 6/4 Totesport, Betfred,VCBet, Blue Square)

Cardiff to beat Leeds (13/8 VCBet, 6/4 elsewhere)

Real Sociedad to beat Deportivo La Coruna (21/20 VCBet, Stan James)

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