2.40 Longchamp
Qatar Prix Chaudenay (group 2) (3YO only)
Winner €83,044
Pick: Goldwaki (win)
Permit: Ran in snatches when aiming for a hat – trick in the Prix Du Luttece, being hard ridden just to take third behind Brigantin; Form leaves a lot to be desired, but Maxime Guyon is on board for sixth time in a row, so good run is probably expected and step up in trip could suit.
Ivory Blue: Has run two really solid races in Group 2 company this year, but has been beaten soundly by classic hopes Planteur and Silver Pond; Did very well last time though, and has right conditions to strike today; This is a tough race though, so needs to be on game.
Lawspeaker: Couldn’t find anything in the GP De Paris but has been progressive in most other starts, winning 2 listed race in the Provinces in nice style; Looks third string at least from the Fabre yard, but talented Miakel Barazlona helps chances.
Le Larron: Showed stamina and template for soft conditions in equal measure when winning the Prix Michael Houyvet 2 starts ago; Has been soundly beaten by both Brigantin and Goldwaki, so hard to see him winning this.
Caucus: Steadily improving type and was making headway when third in Bahrain Trophy (form solid for the level) and this greater test helped a fair but when getting very close to Drunken Sailor and Bergo; However, this tougher and weakened late on in last 75 yds and this much longer race.
Celtic Celeb: Had previously run well on all three starts this year, before then coming well beaten in Prix Du Jockey Club and in provinces listed race afterwards; Close second behind Ivory Land last time but that form needs a lot of improving on; Seems inconsistent.
Brigantin: Has been steadily improving in defeat all season, being beaten by Lawspeaker and Goldwaki before winning 3 on the bounce, culminating with smooth success in trial for this race last time out (Prix de Lutece); Progressive and one of four with chance from Fabre yard, although possibly significant that Guyon on board last 5 of 6) does not ride; Should be there or thereabouts.
Goldwaki: Taken major steps forward this year, impressing with smooth win in Prix Du Lys and coming behind 3 quality horses when supplemented into GP De Paris; Shaped much better than his fifth in the GP De Deauville last time though (not getting a run having been held up till late) and fourth in the GP De Paris makes him best horse in the race, so one to beat if things fall right for him.
Irish Song: Looks like total no – hoper, with only one win to his name in Prix Vieux Manoir.
VERDICT: A tricky start to proceedings and the advice is to tread really carefully with the ground likely to produce false and wide margin results. Andre Fabre being mob handed doesn’t make things any easier. If GOLDWAKI stays and things go right for him, he’s well worth taking as he’s the best in the race based on his last 2 runs and will handle the bog like conditions. The fact that Maxime Guyon is on Prix de Lutece third Permit would suggest a big run is expected, while Brigantin holds some solid form and was impressive last time.
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