Saturday, 18 January 2014

Premieship - Chelsea v Manchester United

It is a black mark on David Moyes’s so far unsuccessful reign that Manchester United are the biggest they’ve ever been for a Premiership game but the bookmakers could be generous in offering 3/4 about Chelsea putting yet more damage into their fast disappearing top 4 hopes and keeping pace with Arsenal and Manchester City, who both won yesterday.


Jose Mournihio’s side haven’t impressed everyone, including yours truly, at times this season but they’ve won 9 out of their last 10 home games and since a defeat at Stoke City, haven’t tasted defeat in the league. In the 6 games they’ve played in the league since, they’ve scored 10 goals and more impressively, conceded just once, a freakish Martin Skrtel flick on to a Liverpool side that have scored 51 goals this season.


 With this Eden Hazard now coming to the fore on a weekly basis going forward, Jose’s men have been much more fluent in recent weeks with even Torres and Eto’o chipping in with goals on a more regular basis – one of the pair has scored in their last three home games.


The continuing absence of Juan Mata is still a mystery for many but William has found plenty of success in his role on the right, Oscar too has been in fine form and Fernando Torres – who has often gotten the better of Nemanja Vidic in their previous meetings for all that things have changed since then should start with some confidence after scoring on his last two games.

Chelsea’s defensive record at home, and lately in general, has been exemplary, which spells bad news for a United side sorely lacking in creativity and threat but even more crucially coming here without either of the two best players this season in Robin Van Persie and Wayne Rooney. United have struggled in the attacking stakes this season but between them Van Persie and Rooney have scored 16 of their 35 goals this season, while Rooney leads the Premier League assists table with 9 so far, two more than anyone else.


It should be noted that United have a fine away record – they sit third in a table exclusively based on results away from home – but a closer look at those fixtures quickly shows that their recent wins have come against sides very much inferior to Chelsea (their last three road successes have come at Norwich, Hull, and Aston Villa) and defeats at Anfield, Eastlands, along with draws at Cardiff and White Hart Lane, suggests that they have a task too big to overcome and a slight shade of odds on about a home win looks well worth taking.


Advice



4 pts Chelsea (3/4 general)

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