Castres (4/3) v
Ulster (10/11)
Ulster can seal a Ravenhill quarter final with a win over
Castres. Mark Anscombe’s men have been one of the most impressive sides in this
season’s competition and have developed a very strong away record over the last
two years, winning at Munster, Northampton and Glasgow in style recently, and
while Castres are traditionally very strong at home, Glasgow showed more than enough
weaknesses in the hosts to suggest Ulster can take this, with the 1-12 winning
margin the first port of call.
Advice: 2 pts Ulster to win by 1-12 points (8/5 Hills)
Glasgow (9/4) v
Northampton (8/15)
Northampton have to win with a bonus point and hope that
other results go their way to progress and while that doesn’t look likely, they
can take a win from Scotland. Saints have fronted up of late after a strong of
big match losses, with wins and Ravenhill and Sandy Park also complimented by
an impressive performance against Saracens. Glasgow have done themselves proud
in terms of performance but have lost both home games so far.
Advice: 1 pt Northampton to win by 1-12 points (6/4
Ladbrokes)
Cardiff (1/6) v Sale (8)
Cardiff have been battered on many occasions this season but
their Heineken Cup performances have been admirable and they can give the long
suffering Blues faithful something to cheer when Sale come to town. A points
mark of 28 or more looks achievable.
Advice: 1 pt Cardiff to score 28 or more points (5/6 general)
Montpellier (10/11) v
Toulon (evs)
With only a losing bonus point needed to seal a home quarter
final, there’s not a giant incentive for Toulon to go all out, hence Montpellier’s
status as slight favourites for this tie. With a strong home record, big pack,
and massive emotional incentive in the case of Eric Bechu’s death this week,
the hosts are tempting, but the pure class of Toulon’s side will always make
things close. In 4 of their 5 games so far, Toulon have scored more points in
the second half than the first, so that option appeals far more than any match
points.
Advice: 3 pts 2nd half to be highest scoring
(10/11 Ladbrokes)
Exeter (11/2) v
Leinster (2/9)
To qualify, Leinster need one thing; A massive bonus point
win while hoping that Montpellier especially don’t win in France beforehand. The
Dubliners haven’t looked as good as they have in recent years but they can call
upon a full strength team for tonight’s trip and make great appeal against an
Exeter side which has begun to run out of steam as the season as gone on. The
second half handicap of 5 points with Betfred makes considerable appeal given
the forward power in the Leinster pack.
Advice: 3 pts Leinster -4.5 on 2nd half no draw
handicap (5/6 Betfred)
Scarlets (11/2) v
Clermont (2/9)
Clermont can seal a home quarter final in style with a comprehensive
win over Scarlets in Wales. The Jaunards have been so often bridesmaids at both
domestic and European level but have been incredible form so far this season
and scored over 60 points at Sandy Park and the Aviva this season, so a handicap
of 9 points seems reasonable, with the 2nd half handicaps also looking
secure if one worries that they’ll ease up late.
Advice: 2 pts Clermont -9 (10/11 Hills)
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