2.25 Cheltenham
Argento Chase (Registered As The Cotswold Chase) (Grade
2) (Class 1) (5YO plus)
Winner £56,950
Winner £56,950
1 pt each/way Cape Tribulation (8/1 general), 3 pts Cape
Tribulation to beat Quarts De Thaiix (5/6 general)
Midnight Chase: Beat
Tidal Bay by nearly 3 lengths last year in this giving him 6lbs but easy to
argue that runner up is in far better form now and lacklustre effort when
pulled up Lexus did not argue well for his chances; Needs more here to retain
this.
Wayward Prince: Produced two solid displays this season,
more than respectable second behind Silviniaco Conti being followed by strong
listed win at Aintree (race fell into lap a little, but good attitude shown in
dire conditions); Stamina a strong suit that he can use but can’t see him
playing anything more than a supporting role
Weird Al: Class act on his day when all comes together
(usually best fresh) but not been at his best over this C&D twice in recent
season (pulled up in last two Gold Cups) and 2011/12 campaign rather petered
out after an excellent start; Others preferred here.
Calgary Bay: Very much unproven on anything but good to soft
and peak form (landed big handicaps here and at Doncaster last term) not good
enough to challenge best of these.
Cape Tribulation: Pulled terrific handicap double at big
festivals over hurdles last year and continued in the same vein judged upon his
wide margin win at Wetherby on Boxing Day; This much tougher but got his act
together and if conditions deteriorate overnight then would be player with
front running style.
Hey Big Spender: Graded class horse on his day, as he showed
when earning a mark of 156 for winning good handicaps at Newcastle and Warwick; Lost his way a bit since then.
Grands Crus: As talented as any horse in the field based on
his novice chasing campaign, although not found the form to match his Feltham
success since and worrying that his two blowouts have come at this course
(clearly not at best though);Travelled so well for long periods of King George
third on atrocious ground on first run back since the operation and given great
chance at weights here but worry that this will become test of raw stamina.
Little Josh: Dug deep for Grand Sefton Chase win on heavy
ground but needed falling mark to do so then and this trip, along with this
much better class of race, a big stumbling block.
Quarts De Thaix: Proved himself well able to cope with 3
miles when winning at Bangor and Haydock and only just outside in big for a hat
– trick here over 3mn1f (heavy) in handicap; This demands another leap forward
and probably reliant upon others floundering to play a big role.
Hunt Ball: Back on the right track – one of jump racing’s
most popular horses after last season’s meteoric rise, including clear cut in
in the handicap chase here at Festival when second in Peterbough Chase, a
remarkable effort considering how averse ground conditions were; If conditions
stay decent here then should be respected but stamina potential flaw.
Imperial Commander: Arguably the best horse in the lineup
today by some way, having trashed Denman in 2010 Gold Cup (also past Ryanair
winner) and won Betfair Chase in same year; Chucked in at the weights too (3lbs
and upwards from rivals) but been off since finishing lame in 2011 Gold Cup;
Did love running fresh at prime and potential to give them all a run for money
but may need this run a touch too much to win; Watch market.
VERDICT: A really intriguing renewal, with some top class
staying chasers appearing here, but all of them having questions to answer. Grands
Crus has been given a great chance at the weights, but heavy ground and this
course bough him to standstill in the Paddy Power Gold Cup and he is unbackabale
here with testing ground over a longer trip. 2010 Gold Cup winner Imperial
Commander has no worries on that score but one has to ask if a horse who has
been off for 680 days can really be fit enough to take a race like this. In such
deep ground over an already testing course, maybe CAPE TRIBULATION can use his
stamina to good effect, and he looks to be well worth an each/way bet at 8/1;
He should also be well backed in a match bet against fellow handicapper Quarts
De Thaix.
Well done with the Cape!
ReplyDelete