Sunday 13 January 2013

Premiership - Manchester United v Liverpool


For many, it’s the biggest game in English football and Manchester United can take a big step towards taking back their Premiership title with a victory over Liverpool in the biggest and most fiercely contested of derbies. Much attention in the build upto this game has been on Liverpool’s talismanic and at times more Tasmanian forward Luis Suarez, but the impressive record of Ferguson’s men this season and in this fixture seems to have gone unnoticed in the buildup.

United maybe celebrating again with some Deja Vu and a helping
hand from Van Persie 
21 points ahead of the Merseysiders after 21 games, United are a whopping 7 points clear at the head of the league and have won eight of their last 9 in the league, along with all but 1 of their games at Old Trafford. Many have commented upon the leaks in United’s defence that have been seen on numerous occasions this season but the fact of the matter is that no team in England have been able to match them over the course of the season when it comes to sheer attacking force. Although it’s largely thanks to Robin Van Persie, United’s goal tally of 54 goals – 28 of them at Old Trafford – Is ridiculous and It’s been 59 games since United failed to score at home in the league (they lost 1-0 to Aston Villa in December 2009).

Obviously this is a game where form can sometimes go array, but United have won the last three fixtures and seven of the last eight overall in this head to head which gives great encouragement in terms of United being able to handle the derby pressure. Admittedly they’ve been lucky not to lose some of those fixtures but they have a pretty dominant record at Old Trafford and in the biggest games of this season – winning at City, Chelsea, and Anfield already while wiping asideWest Brom and Arsenal (sides directly ahead of Liverpool in the table) – with relative ease.

Liverpool have been improving of late with two 3-0 wins in their last two games, but you’ll struggle to see even QPR play worse than they did and they should always be beating Sunderland at home. An away record which shows just three wins in 10 matches is a cause for concern and their three defeats on the road have all come to sides in the top 10 (Stoke, Tottenham and West Brom). Indeed, they’ve not won any games on the road against the top half of the Premier League this season, which does not bode well for a trip to the best team in England based on all known evidence this season.  While players such as Luis Suarez and Raheem Sterling are more than capable of wreaking havoc against United’s rearguard, Liverpool have let in 12 goals on their trips to Top 10 clubs this season and simply have to be the bet at 19/20 once all evidence is weighed up. Three of the last 4 games between the pair have gone United’s way by just the one goal (all being 2-1 home wins) so look at both of those for value options.

Advice

4 pts Manchester United (19/20 general)

1 pt 2-1 Manchester United (9/1 Bet Victor, Stan James)

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