3.30 Ascot
victorchandler.com Handicap Chase (Class 2) (5YO plus)
Winner £43,834 - 11 run - Draw Advantage: None
Picks: Breedzbreeze (win) & Piraya (each/way)
Breedzbrezze: Very high class novice over fences a couple of seasons ago, winning Grade 2 at Wincanton and Feltham with ease; Subsequently injured but back with great run when second to Tartak (form boosted) last time and should have excellent chance.
Mahogany Blaze: Thoroughly capable horse on his day who has been placed in very good races and ran near his best when third behind Tartak and Carole's Legacy last time; A repeat of that gives him every chance.
Panjo Bere: Last win came off 147 in handicap company here, and ran well in the face of a stiff task latest here; Not out if it although trip doesn't encourage.
Edgebriar: howed a good attitude when winning in very similar contest on seasonal debut and this looks easier than the Paddy Power Gold Cup; Can get involved.
Piraya: Although tricky to win with, has probably matched his last winning form twice in defeat this season already; Makes each/way appeal off mark that's not too harsh here.
The Sawyer: Bold front-runner who has won two renewals of similar contest run at Cheltenham and 6 out of his eight wins are in January; Does seem to have lose his spark with age.
Tatenen: Lost his way (formerly smart chaser for Paul Nicholls) although he showed promise for Richard Rowe on his first start at Kempton; Can't be relied on to produce that form again.
Pickamus: Won three out of his four starts last season, making up into a very useful chaser; Hasn’t done nearly as well this year, and looks vulnerable off this mark in this company.
Minella Theatre: Seemed back on track and nearly as good as ever over fences when landing Stratford handicap chase on return in October; Has run badly since and hard to recommend with stable in such patchy form.
Soulard: Front runner who likes it here and may have needed his October run; Should improve but this a much harder race.
I'm A Legend: Has been in superb form of late and upped his game again when finding only a well-treated and useful rival too good last time; Can go well getting 7lbs and upwards from all contenders here.
VERDICT: If avoiding the bounce factor the first place to turn is BREEDZBREEZE in a very open handicap following his excellent return in the Peterborough Chase. Mahogany Blaze and I'm A Legend can also run big races but PIRAYA might be one for the places.
Really think Piraya will win something one day and wish this was less runners as he is a small boy.... Good luck for both of us on that.
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