Saturday, 15 January 2011

Kempton Supporting Races - 15th Jan

Juvenile Hurdle (11.50) - Finally, the talk can be settled regarding Brampour. He should go really close here; As far as i'm concerned, he has to and will run big. A MEDIA LUZ settled a lot better at Newbury last time than on her debut at Cheltenham and did well to get within five lengths of stablemate Grandouet, runner-up in a Grade 2 on his previous start. The third won by 10 lengths at Catterick on Thursday so the form looks solid. Kazzene should also go well, while the market needs a check regarding him a big show's no surprise to see. 

Novices Chase (12.20) - I think that the weight concession will essentially give the race to NADIYA DE LA VEGA here, with a good run from Pepe Simo expected if his jumping holds up. DEE EE WILLIAMS is also a good each/way shout if he puts in a clear round; There are three places on offer and I don't believe that a lot separates him and Pepe Simo.

Novices Hurdle (12.50) - I'm not so sure about the form of SYBARITE'S second in a Grade 2 at Cheltenham last time but that still gives him a big chance and he'll be better for the experience. I don't think that the track should be a problem. Irish point-to-point winner Chablais will go well first time under Rules and gives the Henderson-Geraghty partnership another strong chance, while The Reformer is a perfect type for this type of race having won despite needing more time at Exeter. A 6lbs penalty might well do for him though. Made In Time is a horse who I have time for but I can't be backing him after that run last time. 


Handicap Hurdle (12.55) - A good race but not a cracking betting opportunity.A little greenness and the trip may have found SKINT out over 2m 5f at Plumpton last month and prevented him making it three from three. He's the pick to go close in this competitive race, without being exceptionally confident. Ski Sunday's on a very good mark with McCoy booked but I think that the break might catch him out race-fitness wise, for all that his up and coming new yard will be able to get him fit - However, after a good look at his hurdles and flat form I haven't seen him put in his best runs after a break, and he's never won off an extended absence. His career best was actually a second behind Walkon in the Anniversary Hurdle at Aintree and that came after a big effort at Cheltenham. Sampsons Son should have no such problems having run only 70 days ago; He's the main danger as his hurdles form is strong and rates a nice each/way price at 7/1. Via Galilei is one at an each/way price although this will be much more difficult for him than he race he won at Newbury last time. 

Recommendations

11.50 Kempton

3 pts win A Media Luz

12.20 Kempton

1 pt each/way Dee Ee Williams

12.50 Kempton

1 pt win Skint

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