Wednesday 26 January 2011

Dubai Carnival 2011 - Week 3

2.35 - Friday Trophy Handicap (Tapeta): A tricky way to start proceedings. REYNALDOTHEWIZARD looked very progressive when landing a double in the mid season here and with no reason why he shouldn’t get the mile, he’s taken. Should RIGGINS take to Dubai (and he is unbeaten on AW Surfaces) then he’s well in off 8-13 here based on his best form and could take the beating for Ryan Moore.

Advice: Reynaldothewizard (win) & Riggins (each/way)

3.10 -GNB Sprint Handicap (Turf): CLEARLY SILVER didn’t get home over seven furlongs here (raced prominently and took a wide course) but went down to a good horse in Dandy Boy and had Sir Gerry, Too Nice Name and Happy Dubai behind him on that occasion. Improvement for that first run should bring him on a lot, he’s well in on that form and he’s one of few that make real appeal. Happy Dubai looked better than ever last time and there's probably more to come from him with Dettori taking over and he should be ready to strike again, so he’s well worth backing if you want, especially at an each/way price. Montremoncy is probably the biggest threat.

Advice: Clearly Silver (win)

4.00 -Aquarius Trophy Handicap (Tapeta): PRIZEFIGHTING is preferred out of the four that reopposes from the 12 furlong handicap that was run a fortnight ago, having suffered a poor passage in a race that lacked pace. He’s potentially well in on that form and can confirm the form with Halicarnassus, Burdlaz and Dr Faustus (who suffered the worst passage of them all). It took KING OF ROME two starts to get to top form at the Carnival last year, and he’s taken ahead of the still promising Happy Valley with the step up in trip sure to suit.

Advice: Prizefighting & King Of Rome (each/way)

4.35 - Wheels Trophy Handicap (Turf): Godolphin, as with many races, probably hold the key here. I’m taking a big chance on OPINION POLL liking the ground, but he’s won on good before and is the best horse in the field to me. WHISPERING GALLERY will get every yard and is the each/way opinion with some solid Group 3 form under her belt, including a close defeat to the progressive Laaheb in the Cumberland Lodge Stakes at Ascot. Age Of Reason can usually be relied upon and made a winning reappearance in this race last year, but this read like a much better race and he has more on his plate. Drunken Sailor wasn’t given a fair crack of the whip in two tough Australian handicaps. Both can be relied upon to go well.

Advice: Opinion Poll (win) & Whispering Gallery (each/way)

5.10 – Inside Out Trophy (Tapeta): A spell in France may not have done MR BROCK too many favours, but he’s a real standout at his best and looked on the way back when fifth here last time. He’s well up to competing in Group class races and should take the beating.

Advice: Mr Brock (win)

5.45 -Al Rashidiya (Group 2, Turf): It’s very tempting top plump for Presvis but we’re at an odd stage of his career here, having failed to show anything like his ability on four of his last six starts. He may also need the run, so is passed for IRISH FLAME, who was a top class performer in South Africa. A Grade 1 and 2 winner at Clairwood in July before runner-up in the Vodacom Durban July, a race with a history of top class performers that have gone on to success here, he can take this onto bigger things.

Advice: Irish Flame (win)

6.25 - Xpress Trophy Handicap (Turf) - Big things were expected of RAIHANA in Australia last year but she cut little ice in races that didn’t suit and has every chance on her excellent form last year, winning the UAE Oaks before chasing home classy stable companion Musir in the UAE Derby on World Cup night last March. Hujaylea got closest to compatriot Dandy Boy here recently and holds Munaddam on that evidence although that might be the case with Start Right, who was conceding 12lb to Hujaylea in the Irish Cambridgeshire (came too late) and now gets 4lbs, having been drawn out of the Newmarket Version. Goldophin run two of their many fascinating French recruits, of which Lochinver is preferred. Never out of the frame for Andre Fabre, winning a couple of minor events along the way last year, he improved to come second to Royal Bench in the Prix Daniel Wildenstein last time and has big claims on that run. Royal Revival gets the ride of Frankie Dettori, but his form seems a bit patchy and it would be interesting to see where he’s being aimed at.

Advice: Raihana (win)

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