Wednesday, 7 September 2011

Doncaster St Leger Meeting 2011 - Sceptre Stakes


1.55 Doncaster
Japan Racing Association Sceptre Stakes (Group 3) (Fillies & Mares) (Class 1) (3yo+) Winner £29,600
Advice: 1 pt win Chachamaidee (7/2 general)

Owner detailsChachamaidee: Good sort; Has found new level of form this year for being fitted with a hood, coming a good second in the Windsor Forest Stakes at Royal Ascot and ran out a really easy winner of competitive looking Oak Tree Stakes at Goodwood latest; 3lbs penalty makes things tougher but very big chance in any case.

Owner detailsDever Dream: Failed to show her progression on first two starts this season (found trouble in running) but much more like it when second to Chachamaidee (weighted to reverse form) and unlucky last time around, but needs more to win here (superiority of winner at Goodwood not in doubt).

Owner detailsFlambeau: Scorched clear of her field when making all and coming home unopposed in listed event on return but unable to repeat trick in Group 3 company, eventually coming home a well beaten second; Last run forgiven but might not be as good as she had looked previously.

Owner detailsJacqueline Quest: Finally back to some sort of form when second to Libranno last time out, although suspicion that she will always be flattered by her Guineas “win”; Could go well but others preferred and possible attitude problem based on way she was outbattled.

Owner detailsMagic Eye: Reliable performer in native Germany, winning 4 times in listed company and has done well again this season but too exposed, held by several.

Owner detailsOff Chance: Run creditably in several fillies races and was beaten by a strong bunch of fillies last time out, but might want a longer trip and this race no easier in any case.

Owner detailsSeta: Always shown potential from day 1 but never turned that into a win at anything higher than group level, having won 3 times at Listed level; Spurned an easier opportunity than this last time and despite drop in trip, one or too should prove too strong.

Owner detailsRimth: Very fast 2yo who showed she’d trained on when a clear cut winner of Fred Darling Stakes at Newbury, and probably didn’t get home in French 1,000 Guineas; Run well in trying circumstances since but others present more solid options.

Owner detailsAlanza: Has fulfilled promise of 2yo win this season over more suitable distance (today’s) the last twice with pair of impressive wins, doing well to get up last time out; Form been franked and should take the beating here.

Owner detailsCrying Lightening: Taken awfully long time to come to hand this year in Dubai after promising juvenile campaign in which she finished respectable second to White Moonstone; Had a long break since she came second to Barefoot Lady and may not be ready to fire on all cylinders.

Owner detailsMarvada: Actually got the better of Alanza early on this season but that form been well reversed since at longer trip; Drop down to 7 ought to help her today but needs more than that to place even.

VERDICT: Alanza’s progression may continue but it’s impossible to desert CHACHAMAIDEE after an easy win in the Oak Tree Stakes last time. Granted, a good draw was extremely helpful in that, but she looked a class above and can win again here, with Seta having something to prove and Dever Dream looking held on form despite having not had the best of runs on more than one occasion of late.

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