Lithuania (11/1) v Spain (3/10)
Many will expect this to be a walkover but while Spain beat Lithuania 3-1 in Salamanca last October they had to work hard to open up their visitors, all three goals coming in the second half, while the minnows did beat Poland 2-0 using tactics they hope to use against Spain. Many in the Spanish camp have already expressed concerns about playing surface at the Darius and Girenas stadium, which has barely any grass on it after a harsh winter, but they can battle if needed and should be clear of their rivals once again.
Advice: 2.5 pts Spain/Spain double result, (5/6 Boylesports)
Northern Ireland (2/1) v Slovenia (17/10)
Northern Ireland played brilliantly for a long time away to Serbia but may have taken a lot out of themselves in the process, and will be hurt by absence of the injured Kyle Lafferty and suspended David Healy. Slovenia are an improving side who put up a very good fight against Cesare Prandelli's new-look Italy and may be able to snatch a win here.
Advice: 0.75 pts Slovenia (17/10 Blue Sq)
Sweden (1/5) v Moldova (18/1)
Sweden are the clear favourites but they don’t offer much at 1/5 and a handicap bet doesn’t appeal given that will be without the entire back four that started his country's previous home qualifier. Moldova have kept things tight in all of their last few matches and may be able to stay with Sweden here.
Advice: 0.5 pts Moldova +2.5 on Asian H’cap (evs Victor Chandler)
Belgium (1/5) v Azerbaijan (18/1)
Belgium showed serious promise when ending Austria’s unbeaten run on Friday and have a much simpler task against Azerbaijan at home. Not only did Axel Witsel score twice but Dietmar Constantini's team were muted as an attacking force and while Azerbaijan may put up a decent fight (only Germany have trashed them in their last 6 games) Belgium should be too good.
Advice: 3 pts Belgium/Belgium double result (4/6 Stan James)
Netherlands (1/7) v Hungary (26/1)
Holland were rampant when trashing Hungary 4-0 to maintain their 100% record on Friday despite Mark van Bommel missing out with a thigh injury, Klaas-Jan Huntelaar is recovering from a knee problem and winger Arjen Robben being side-lined with a groin strain. Home advantage will make things much easier and much the same result is expected.
Advice: 2 pts Netherlands to win both halves (10/11 SkyBet)
Turkey (8/15) v Austria (3/1)
Guus Hiddink’s Turkey are the clear market favourites, which is probably fair given Austria’s terrible away record (they have not won an away qualifier for six years) but they’ve have gone 372 minutes without scoring, including friendlies and may have to grind this one out.
Advice: 1 pt Under 2.5 goals (10/11 Sportingbet)
Czech Republic (1/33) v Liechtenstein (33/1)
Although they had what many would call a “freak strike” early on & defended for nearly all of the game, the Czechs showed marvellous determination to stay ahead of Spain for so long and will be bouncing after that effort. They should dispatch Liechtenstein with ease, who suffered a 2-0 reverse at home in the corresponding fixture two months ago.
Advice: 1 pt Czech Republic -2 (4/9 Victor Chandler)
Israel (3/4) v Georgia (5/1)
Neither side convinces entirely here, given that Israel had to wait until the 81st minute to get the better of Latvia last weekend and technically speaking, Georgia achieved much more in beating Croatia. This makes the Double Chance market worth looking at, but their record on the road and the class of Yossi Benayoun is enough to put me off.
Advice: 0.75 pts HT Draw (11/10 Bet365)
thanks for the tips!
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