Day 3 of the experimenting with football betting. We had a shocker on Saturday, with dire draws for Birmingham and Fulham, not to mention a low scoring 1-0 loss for Chelsea, but those things happen and I was always running a risk with so many specific bets.
All but 2 of Europe’s major teams struggled over the weekend in their respective leagues, REAL MADRID included, but Auxerre are probably one of the weakest teams in the competition and it would be considered disappointing for the Galacticos if they were unable to come away from Auxerre with all 3 points.
Auxerre showed defensive problems when conceding a two goal lead against Nancy to draw 2-2 and their squad looks lacking, with the team relying heavily on Benoit Pedretti and Irezuz Jelen, who may struggle to break down a Madrid defence that looks so much tighter than last year.
Over in Amsterdam, we have the first of the real glamour ties as Ajax face AC MILAN and if the latter can create the amount of chances they did against Genoa, they should take all the beating in what’s likely to be a close tie. Milan were slow to click against Genoa but in the end were full value for their 1-0 win (which arguably should have been more) and managed to keep the Genoa team from scoring when they were on top, a tactic which will need repeating in Amsterdam.
Ajax played very well against Twente but let things slip in the second half and Milan may just have too much quality for them in the end.
The only other pick of the night comes in Group H, where BRAGA, who approached Arsenal with a rather tactically naive game at the Emirates, look value at 8/13 with the draw in your favour at home.
Make no mistake, The "Archbishops" are a tough nut to crack at Estádio AXA as they proved when beating Naval there on Friday. They were comfortable 3-1 winners and have the firepower to make it a difficult night for their Ukrainian opponents.
In the other games, Chelsea should win easily against Marsellie but are no value and it;s not going to easy predicting the score, Spartak are way too short to beat Zilina, Bayern aren’t value after their recent issues, with the same going for Arsenal while Roma are just too short after the confidence boosting win to Inter a few days ago, which they were rather lucky to get in all honesty.
Recommendations
Real Madrid to beat Auxerre (8/13 Boylesport, Betfred, William Hill)
AC Milan draw no bet against Ajax (10/11 Ladbrokes, Skybet, Coral)
Braga draw no bet against Shaktar (4/6 SportingBet, Blue Sq, 888 Sport, William Hill)
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