3.10 Doncaster
Scarbrough Stakes (Listed) (Class 1) (2YO plus)
Winner £23,704 - Draw Advantage: High
Pick: Rose Blossom (win & each/way)
Burning Thread: Has made a marked imporvemt in 3 starts this year, coming a fair second in a Median Auction Maiden Stakes before pulling out plenty more to win at Beverley in May, and confirmed himself a progressive sort when following up in listed race at Sandown following month; Had little in hand that day and this much stronger affair, with tons of pace likely to be poured on from front.
Captain Dunne: Has progressed again this year, winning Gosforth Park Cup off a mark of 100 in June; Has run well in listed/conditions company since, but this is a tough race and he has to reverse form with a lot of horses.
Group Therapy: Improved a ton for joining the Noseda yard, fairly bolting up in conditions race at Beverley before coming a close second to Triple Aspect at Sandown (decent event) and ahead of several of these rivals when second in King George Stakes at Goodwood (no reason why he shouldn't confirm that); Form working out well and strong pace will only help.
Moorhouse Lad: Clearly not as good as he once was and well beaten behind Group Aspect, Spin Cycle, Captain Dunne and likely to be back marker here.
Prohibit: Split Mister Hughie and Captain Dunne when second in Beverley Bullet last time, having to wait for a run as customary tact8cs demand; Possibly unlucky but same thing will happen again and winner that day had to go through horses as well, not to mention he has a rather low draw; More needed.
Tax Free: Had been running well for the last 3 seasons running, but had rather lost his form until coming a staying on second in the Flying Five at the Curragh last time; That form good enough to take a major hand here, and will get strong pace to run at.
Rose Blossom: Impressive wins either side of her Queen Mary 7th last year, which is easily forgiven (raced impossible pace to keep that day) and ran respectably here in Flying Childers at end of season, showing plenty of promise; Blitzed rivals over 5f at York to begin season and when things have gone her way, she has been way too good for 9 rivals in Group 3 contest; Showed blistering pace in Nunthorpe and creditably only beaten 3 & ½ lengths; This lesser test and must have chance despite draw.
Star Rover: Thrived on a busy juvenile campaign last season, winning 5 times and running creditably having been racing very early on in season; Run well on occasions this season and won minor event last time but will do well to have impact in this company.
City Dancer: Better than result last time, but often spoils chance at the start and well behind most of these in listed/Group 3 this season.
Impressible: Won 4 handicaps for Eric Alston last season; Only shown form once in 4 starts for current yard, however.
Look Busy: Has done connections proud over last 2 season but holding her form less and less now and hard to fancy.
Julius Geezer: Won minor event at Chester in May, and improved further when third in listed race at York; Plenty more needed again to place here, even if it’s worth taking note of the fact the stable saddled a juvenile to be placed in this last season.
VERDICT: There’s always the proviso that ROSE BLOSSOM will go off too fast and set the race up for closers Prohibit, Tax Free and notably Group Therapy, but her best form will make her very tough to beat (not least the blistering speed she showed in the Nunthorpe) and she’s a very fair betting proposition.
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