Saturday, 18 September 2010

Ayr Silver and Gold Cup - Dubai Duty Free H'cap at Newbury

Ayr
2.15 – Ayr Silver Cup
I’ve had a couple of each/way pokes on:

Definightly: Will not be stopped by an 8lbs penalty if repeating his run from last week when pulverizing listed rivals on soft ground. Also is 10lb well in according to official figures, so just needs the breaks from his draw.

Irish Heartbeat: Had been slowly coming back to form before win last week and strong pace guaranteed, so that major help to chis chances. Only raised 5lbs for winning decent affair for in form Fahey yard and high side draw may well help things.

3.20 - Ayr Gold Cup
Have had each/way’s on:

Genki: Not at best here last year but is 8lbs well in following Sprint Cup third and even allowing for fluke factor, 14/1 was too good a price to miss based on his best form, including last time.

Johnny Mudball: Showed ridiculous speed in Steward’s Cup and must be right there at finish if in same form.

Hawkeyethenoo: Back to best last time and strong finish will help. Was put Victoire De Lyphar by fact that 3 year olds don’t have great record in this, and Poet’s Place by fact he had just run 5 days ago and this is harder anyway.

Newbury

3.05 – Dubai Duty Free Stakes
Have had 2 each/way’s:

Breakheart: May be still 10lbs higher than for last win but can be forgiven his run in soft ground last time and form he was showing before is progressive enough to take a hand if he’s still got the improvement in him.

Forte Del Marmi: With William Buick likely to make use of Senate’s stamina and Attash likely to blaze a trial, the pace should suit him down to the ground. Only been raised 4lbs for winning last time, which is very fair conserving he had lots in and the form is decent, and the pace scenario may well be the same this time.

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