Saturday, 18 September 2010

Dubai Airport World Trophy 2010

3.40 Newbury
Dubai Airport World Trophy (Group 3) (Class 1) (3YO plus)
Winner £34,062

Picks: Astrophysical Jet (win), Total Gallery (each/way)

Triple Aspect: Fourth in this last year and has improved since, winning a listed and Group 3 event; Been unlucky elsehwrre unseating when coming with strong run in King George Spritna t Goodwood, and coming too late in Flying Five Stakes last time; Needs a stiff test of this trip and may be outsped today.

Gilt Edge Girl: Thriving filly who progressed from handicaps to take a listed and Group 3 event this year; Best effort yet when close third in Germany last time, but her penalty Is very tricky in open company.

Group Therapy: Improved a ton for joining the Noseda yard, fairly bolting up in conditions race at Beverley before coming a close second to Triple Aspect at Sandown (decent event) and ahead of several of these rivals when second in King George Stakes at Goodwood; Good third behind 2 classy rivals last time but this not easier contest.

Hamish McGonagall: Has landed 3 big-field handicaps this term and much better than bare result inlatest tilt at pattern company in Ireland last time; Should be on premises again.

Inxile: Looked back to best when landing Cammidge Trophy and ran great race in Duke Of York Stakes earlier this year, blitzing away until fading late on in the final furlong; Disappointing last time and this is hard task.

Masamah: Made successful transition from handicaps to listed company at Chester 2 starts ago, and is better than result in Portland handicap; That said, baiting off more than he can chew by behing here, and needs more than ever before.

Prohibit: Split Mister Hughie and Captain Dunne when second in Beverley Bullet, having to wait for a run as customary tactics demand and befitted from great Spencer ride in Scarbrough Stakes; Should be on premises again though, and powerful turn of foot means he can take on any opposition.

Secret Asset: Snuck a place behind Maurice De Gheest winner Regal Parade in Group 3 here earlier this year, but has been beaten in handicaps since (allowing for the fact he ran well),being beaten by Prohibit last time off 3lbs better terms.

Spin Cycle: Had some smart juvenile form and hasn’t exactly had things go his way since but has tried hard on all starts this year and last; Seems to fall on every start in good company now though.

Total Gallery: Did all his good work towards the end of last season, his biggest win coming in Prix L’Abbaye and running a very good race with the world’s best in Hong Kong when last seen that year; Hasn’t been at anywhere near best since but this is easier race’s he’s been in for about a year and best form (with no penalty) would make him tough to beat.

Astrophysical Jet: Drop back to this trip has been the making of her, realizing belated promise shown when fairly bolting up under heavy weight in Newmarket handicap before good third in King George Stakes and then easy win in Flying Five Stakes last time; Should go close again.

Mister Hughie: Lost confidence after having suffered a fall but has come back better than ever with fourth (running on) in King George Stakes at Goodwood, and then coming just on top in Beverly Bullet Stakes last time; Likes a stuff test and fast pace, although this is a tough race.

Golden Destiny: Has been beaten by Rose Blossom, Prohibit and Gilt dEge Girl (all on favourable terms) so hard to see her making an impact here.

Beyond Desire: Actually beat Astrophysical Jet convincingly when readily winning Haydock in May and second in Leopardstown Group 3 next time was good effort; Had absence and ran rather flat on comeback, so will need to have peak fitness on to take a major hand in this event.

VERDICT: Many horses here could win this if things go right, and the stronger the pace the better for the likes of Group Therapy, Triple Aspect and especially Prohibit. The drop back to 5f has made ASTROPHYSICAL JET, who was very impressive at the Curragh, and she will be tough to beat if in a similar mood here. This is the easiest race that TOTAL GALLERY has run in for a year and if back to his best, is a very fair price to get into the top 3.

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