Thursday 29 July 2010

Lillie Langtry Stakes - Glorious Goodwood Day 3

4.00 Glorious Goodwood
Moet Hennessy Fillies' Stakes (Registered As The Lillie Langtry Stakes) (Group 3) (Class 1) (3YO plus)
Winner £39,739
Picks: Flying Cloud (win), Starfala (each/way)
Cassique Lady: Best 2009 efforts do not threaten the pick in this line-up, despite being a listed winner.

Eastern Aria: Tough front runner who won 7 times last year,( including at this meeting) and finish fourth in Grade 1 Company; Not reproduced that this year but did win in typically game fashion last time out and could be on way.

Flame Of Gibraltar: Generally acquitted herself with credit in decent company since getting off the mark in 10f Lingfield maiden in June, but form falls short of what will be required.

Flying Cloud: Has actually improved since joining Godolphin form last season, running away with Ribblesdale Stakes (did not like soft ground when unplaced in Italian Group 1); Would be the pick of this field on her 2 efforts this season, a good third behind Midday and Sariska and a close second to Chinese White in Group 1 Pretty Polly last time; Clear pick if staying.

Just Lille: Always tries her best but is out of her league based on her handicap form.

Polly’s Mark: Greatly improved last year, winning a listed event in good style, doing it well in the Shergar Cup and also only just getting nabbed on the line in listed company when last seen in 2009; Brilliant effort first time out to be fourth behind Harbinger in strong renewal of John Porter and next 2 efforts mark her down as real improving filly still.

Rosika: Won 3 times last year prior to good second in listed race at Lingfield final outing (poorly placed);Nearest finish when third behind Lez Fazzani and number of these on seasonal debut but regressed on evidence of seventh in Lancashire Oaks last time; Should improve for step up in trip and Muratgh riding is positive.

Starfala: Has been running fairly well in races that aren’t her forte of late, staying on well in the Queen Alexandra Stakes at Royal Ascot; Only beaten by a neck when just touched off for second in the Park Hill Stakes last year; Back in the same company today and could run huge.

Tinnar: Continued on upward curve when landing 1½m handicap at Newmarket in May but beaten off just 3lbs higher in listed handicap and limitations exposed fully when last in Lancashire Oaks last time.
Uvinza: Regular in listed/Group company over last couple of seasons but never finished better than third; This again an tough assignment.

Motrice: Has won last3 on trot, comes for yard with top record here and interesting to note that she’s the only runner with a win to her name over this trip; That could stand her in good stead if race becomes a grind.

Myplacelater: Has been a real money spinner this year, winning 3 times, on latest start in minor event at Leicester 2 weeks ago; Should not be discounted but this is a tough race.

Ship’s Biscuit: Only had 3 runs and steadily improving with each run, winning a maiden over 1½m here last time in impressive fashion; Bred to be suited by the longer trip and could be anything.

VERDICT: A really tricky race where most of the runners can have a case made for them. Polly’s Mark is likely to improve for the step up in trip and can have no better jockey than Richard Hughes for the job today, but the stronger form of FLYING CLOUD is too attractive to ignore and it’s worth taking a punt on her staying. I think that STARFALA is too big a price for a filly that has her form in fillies only company.

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