Thursday 29 July 2010

Glorious Goodwood Day 3 - Supporting Races

TurfTV Summer Vase Handicap (Class 2) (3YO only) (2.10 ) -Such a tricky handicap, and where to even start is impossible as anyone of 8 could win and the only advice I could give is to not play big and leave the race alone. LONDON STRIPE (win and each/way) ran a stormier when second to Dandino and that looks like one of the strongest handicaps run all season, so he gets the first vote. Now for the second vote to go to one of the of the Johnston 3. Capponi took the eye but seeing as the prices won’t matter a lot to me, I’ll go with SOLICTOR, who almost certainly is ahead of his mark after romping home last time by 7 lengths. The last each/way shout is MARKKAZZI, who made a really promising start as a 2 year old and has had excuses since. His mark is very flexible, allowing for improvement and his odds are too big. Invincible Soul has also held his own in good company of late and, given that he can be relied upon to give his all when it matters; But his poor draw makes him impossible to back in such a tough race. Anyone of Beachfire, Attash, Ransom Note, Cultivar or even topweight Big Audio could win, but the one I fear most would have to be Rigidity of Henry’s Cecil’s. He was beaten only 2 lengths by Dandino of level weights and would have won if held up for longer last time. He’s a big threat.

European Breeders' Fund New Ham Maiden Fillies' Stakes (Class 2) (2YO only) (4.45) - A confusing race which is not made easier by the lack of racecourse experience. 2 maidens hold the form key, but neither of them look great. It’s possible that DUBAWI GOLD (win) achieved more when third at Newbury behind Celebrity with the step up in trip likely to help her cause. She easily accounted for Kalahaag on debut at Newbury and looks to have a bright future. Opera Dancer is also worth bearing in mind, as she posted an improved effort last time out and is obviously going the right way, while Kalahaag will be much closer under a yard that are flying than on debut. Dubawi Gulf was unlucky to bump into a smart individual when she was introduced at Doncaster a fortnight ago but the experience will have done her the power of good, although the market is of the opinion that Fenella Fudge will reverse positions.

Vintage At Goodwood Handicap (Class 2) (3YO only) (5.15) - Fireback is still on the upgrade and can be a force to be reckoned with in this company, but the weight turnaround that GENE AUTRY (each/way) enjoys along with how fast he was finishing last time can help him turn the placings around. CITRUS STAR (each/way) would have gone close in different circumstances at Epsom last time, gets a good pull with that winner Cansili Star and has George Baker up for the first time.

RUK Leading Jockey Award Handicap (Class 3) (4YO plus) (5.45) -LOST IN PARIS could be the answer off a still potentially winning mark if Ryan Moore gets the best out of him. The booking of Jamie Spencer drew me to the 3lbs well in BAJAN TRYST, who has improved again this year and is holding his form well, having come a close third in Curragh handicap last time having shown blistering speed. Both are small each/way plays.

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