Friday 30 July 2010

Glorious Goodwood Day 3 - Handicaps

Rolf Group Stewards' Sprint Handicap (Class 2) (3YO plus) (2.45) – A race which is probably more important as a guide to the draw in the Stewards Cup than as a race. I’m just going to do each/way on the top 2, VICITORIA DE LYPHAR, who looked better the further he went at York last time and is fairly treated by a 7lbs rise, and BAGAMOYO, who has form at Epsom which bodes well for his ability to act here and ran a fine race when second at the July meeting, so off the same mark here and as an unexposed sort could well go close. Pastoral Player is a major player if getting the break.

Totesport Mile (Heritage Handicap) (3.25) - A lot of support for Majrajaa, who should go really close and has plenty going for him in that he won over this C&D at this fixture last year, ran well last time and gives the impression he´ll appreciate the return to 1m. However I do think that he can be taken on is such a competitive. The penalised Sea Lord is another to have plundered some big handicaps this year and might just have enough in hand to defy the handicapper but this is by far the hardest race he’s run in so far. Oasis Dancer is improving and has the perfect draw, and could be called Group class on his best 2 year old form. He wouldn’t need to be Group Class to win here either. Acrostic carries top weight but far from handicapped out of things judged on recent effort at Sandown and has an OK draw to deal with, so can’t be dismissed too lightly. The trip, draw and ground didn’t suit Ransom Note at Newmarket last time and if he can get cover from his draw he could well be the best of these. All of this leaves us with INVISBLE MAN (each/way), who is fairly treated for his Hunt Cup with with a 6lbs rise, is drawn very well and could well take all the beating here. The next preferred horse in the race is RANSOM NOTE (each/way) on account of that fact he’s overpriced.

RSA Nursery (Class 2) (2YO only) (4.35) - Memen should go well but I’m not so sure than a 10lbs rise is entirely fair for his latest win despite the second upholding the form and the third being a heavily backed favourite. With the form of Major Conquest and Diamond Geezah not looking super strong, ROYAL EXCHANGE (win) can make a bold bid off a very fair mark given some of his best form.

Turf Club Handicap (Class 3) (3YO only) (5.45) - In a tough race to close to proceedings, KINGSATE CHOICE (win & e/w double) can come back to form following a bad run when he lost his action at Newmarket run. There seems to be no obvious excuse for that Newmarket run but a return to five furlongs should help and the impression he'd created before than reversal was one of a progressive sprinter worth following. RULE OF NATURE (each/way) could find a strongly run 5f to her like and if they go fast enough (they usually do) her extra stamina could win the day under Ryan Moore, the best rider for the job.

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