Saturday 22 May 2010

Marble Hill Stakes

2.40 Curragh
T P Waters European Breeders Fund Marble Hill Stakes (Listed) (2YO only)
Winner €29,250

Picks: Samuel Morse (win), So Stylish (e/w)

Foolproof: Likely to improve for both positive jockey change and initial first experience but does still look like a longer term sort and drop back in trip on this ground is not going to help.

High Award: Nice purchase with a high class pedigree who was sharp enough to be first winner of season here; May have been giving 5lbs to Lightening Thief (expected to reverse form) last time but that effort a little disappointing nonetheless.

Jolly Snake: Runner-up in a maiden at Dundalk on debut and didn't need to improve to go one better there last time; Will probably do better but hard to really fancy here, for all he’s rather an unknown.

Lightening Thief: ability when second at Naas on debut and duly improved markedly on that form when seeing off High Award by 2 lengths at Cork; Unlikely to get his own way out in front and was getting 5lbs that day though.

Moment Of Weakness: May be his turf debut but he boasts the best form in a head defeat of subsequent 8 lengths winner Meow on his second start at Dundalk; Must go well here if improving more and taking to surface.

Samuel Morse: Created good impression when scoring here on debut and almost certain to improve from that having appeared so early in the season; Yard have excellent record in this event and major chance here.

Purple Glow: Got up in game, determined style to win a Navan Maiden last time but that was off lightweight (good 7lbs claimer riding) and has been beaten by So Stylish; Probably has a bit to find in this company.

So Stylish: Quite taking on debut considering that she raced alone on the far side with no company on debut at Navan, and that race has thrown up 2 winners since; Was green that day and will only get better.

VERDICT: A trappy but promising listed event. Moment Of Weakness holds the best form on her defeat of subsequent 8 lengths winner Meow last time and is sure to take the beating but knowing the form of Ballydoyle debutants and how much they improve for the run, you would have to be taken by the way SAMUEL MORSE won so early in the season. SO STYLISH is also worth an e/w bet at the odds for me.

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