Tuesday 11 May 2010

Musidora Stakes 2010

Avaite: Created good impression when winning both starts, having plenty in hand when beating useful opposition over 1m at Ascot on return; Sure to improve a lot for the debut run and must be respected, although will need to get this longer trip very well.

Bikini Babe: Very head – strong as a 2 year old,, and was better than the bare form of her good results last year; Showed she had trained on with 2 very good runs in Meydan; Decent horse who was brushed aside by colts in Classic Trial, and should take a hand.

Cabaret: Stoutly bred Galileo filly who suffered from serious greenness on debut, labouring for a long time before making some eye-catching progress into 2nd late on; Different story entirely when winning by 3 lengths at the Curragh always up with the pace and then kicking clear along with Ronan Irish on the way to a comfortable 3 length success and did the same again when winning Silver Flash Stakes; Run in Marcel Boussac can be written off as the saddle slipped, and retains plenty of potential, especially for a longer trip.

Cracking Lass: Wasn't disgraced in valuable sales races at Newmarket final 2 starts last year and made good return (for which she will improve) behind Coordinated Cut in Sales race; Might need to come on again but could take a hand in open event.

Elanora Duse: Showed much promise for better things in 3-y-o career when landing 1m Kempton maiden and duly built on that when strong-finishing second in handicap on seasonal debut; Not to be discarded taking into account improvement she could make in an open race.

Gold Bubbles: Winner at Leopardstown on debut and has improved into useful sort since (undone by draw when sixth in Lowther Stakes); Does look very exposed now and has stamina to prove, while racing freely is a negative.

Pink Symphony: Progressed a lot with racing as a 2 year old, looking sure to improve at 3 and did so, when being strong at finish despite carrying head high when successful in Newbury maiden over this trip; Likely to make a lot of improvement for that run and can’t be dismissed here.

Red Fantasy: Left juvenile form behind when excellent second in 1m3f listed event at Newmarket earlier this month; Big plus that there is no reason to think that flatters her, but will need to step up again.

VERDICT: A very open renewal of this race. The 2 fillies that jump to mind as credible Oaks winners are Avaite and CABARET, with Avaite having a nagging doubt about her stamina (although Dansil’s best performers all got 12f and the mare & damsire both got this trip)and Cabaret’s stable runners all badly needing the run. The race is there for the taking. My idea of the likeliest to upset them would be PINK SYMPHONY, and at a likely 14/1 she appeals as a small e/w.

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